Lol. You decided the future based on number of research papers out of universities?? Did anyone bothered to check the quality of the papers?
Regarding patents, how many of these patents are filed in US? Just check the numbers.
Even in US, IBM has been filing and holding highest number of patents since decades. Do I need to tell you the condition of IBM?
The number of patents granted worldwide still sees China on top. IBM is a poor example because they don't have the funds to commercialise what they patent. Do you think China has money problems?
The best way you can judge a paper is how many times it was cited by others, and it's pretty high there as well. You should read the report.
Granted the majority of what they release is crap, but the stuff that's not crap is very competitive with the West.
Just like Pakistanis are more Muslim than Arabs, you are more Chinese than the people of China.
Me and many other China watchers who actually understand the threat they pose.
They are functioning at a level they shouldn't be at their economic level. We are looking ahead, not just going by what have demonstrated to date.
Recall the time when you were completely against starting semiconductor production in India, until the Americans sanctioned both China and Russia? You needed to experience the loss before you could change your mind. There are many people who can anticipate a loss before it happens.
Recall that in 2018-19, I pointed out HTT-40 won't be happening until at least 2022 and that the first batch will get trained only after 2025? Guess what? It's happening exactly as I predicted. The only saving grace is we don't have fighter jets anyway.
Similarly China can't be understood by looking at what they have today, there is a need to predict future outcomes for their actions. The Chinese are experiencing a pattern of exponential growth that's not commensurate with their economic standing. India is doing even better in that regards, although it's still not visible yet, like the fact that we have caught up with the West in military tech in many areas. A lot of Western analysts have not yet realised this, although active think tank analysts have picked up on it recently. But it's even worse with China, where ostrich and sand comes to mind. At least active analysts are keeping up.
Who cares about semiconductors? The whole world came to standstill without them.
Context. I wouldn't care about semiconductors myself if I have the ability to (and am allowed to) buy out Intel or even take it.
Old style, invade, conquer and take over. Now, the Americans plan to destroy TSMC in case of a successful invasion. But it's the human resources that actually count. Unless the US is able to rescue literally everybody associated with the industry, including their families, even extended families, they will fail. The Chinese have a habit of using family members left in China to bring back overseas Chinese illegally.
Anyway, you are hung up on semiconductors, where even the paper says the Chinese are behind. So we are already on the same page here. There's 37 other sectors where they are ahead and are headed towards dominating or having a monopoly in many of those. So, while the West has a lead in Si-based semiconductors, the Chinese are ahead in nanomagnets research. So, some company in China could just show up one day with a namomagnets based computer that can blow silicon out of the water. So you need to figure out if today's semiconductor industry will survive against future disruptive technologies, 'cause, just like ChatGPT or Sputnik, when it happens, it will happen overnight.
www.theguardian.com
techtracker.aspi.org.au
