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The Generals’ Doctrine is falling apart

Imad%20Zafar-435.jpg


By Imad Zafar

When the Pakistani military establishment laid the foundation for a new doctrine according to which it would force the civilian government into submission and unofficially censor the media, it was certain that it would achieve its goal of ruling from behind while eating the share of the cake that was denied it by the previous government of Pakistan Muslim League-Nawaz.

It was not like the PML-N government had full authority over these matters, but because of former prime minister Nawaz Sharif’s consistent efforts to assert his authority, and former finance minister Ishaq Dar’s resistance to allocating more resources to the establishment and the famous Dawn Leaks case, in which Sharif asked the military establishment to clean up its own back yard by acting against banned outfits like Jaish-e-Mohammed and Jamadul Dawa, the generals considered Sharif a threat for their hegemony.

Sharif’s effort to achieve peace with India through his close ties with his Indian counterpart Narendra Modi and his refusal to give a big share of cake to the establishment in the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor proved to be the last nail in the coffin of the old General Kayani doctrine, which was aimed at controlling the proceedings from behind with a swift approach and by taking a “stick and carrot” approach to working with political leaders.

The generals who staged an undeclared coup against the Sharif government with the help of former chief justice Mian Saqib Nisar had to come out into the open to stop Sharif from coming to power at any cost, and eventually they succeeded in their mission but at the price of their credibility in their own fortress of Punjab province. With Sharif jailed and Asif Zardari, the chairman of the Pakistan Peoples Party (PPP), facing multiple corruption charges, the engineers of the new doctrine thought the newly installed government of Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf could deliver the desired results by improving the country’s economy, which began the journey into turmoil after Sharif was thrown out of office by a court decision.

Meanwhile, the emergence of the Pashtun Tahafuz Movement (PTM) from the province of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa kept threatening the hegemony of the establishment by arranging massive protests around the country, asking the military establishment to return to its role of protecting the borders instead of denying people their fundamental human rights in the name of security and hybrid warfare. Hybrid warfare is the new term the generals have invented to crush dissent and weaken the narrative of Sharif’s civilian supremacy. So even after the ouster of Sharif and the tying of the hands of the PPP, the establishment encountered resistance in the form of PTM. On the other hand, the inept and inexperienced PTI government installed by the establishment failed miserably on the governance front.

The inept and inexperienced PTI government installed by the establishment failed miserably on the governance front
The economic policies it devised achieved no positive results, the country’s exports fell and the trade deficit increased
, and the circular debt reached a new level with foreign reserves dwindling all the time in spite of help from the rulers of the Gulf states. The government has tried to reduce the deficit in the national exchequer.

However, it seems unlikely that it will work as the masses are left to bear the brunt of the games played behind the curtains. Imran Khan has fulfilled the biggest dream of his life by becoming prime minister, but he is as powerless as Punjab Chief Minister Usman Buzdar, who cannot remove any public servant without the approval of Khan. But Khan still has the egotistical satisfaction of calling himself prime minister.

The generals who are calling the shots find themselves in a tough situation. They have to act against the banned militant organizations due to immense diplomatic pressure and now they are cleaning their own backyard.


Dialogue with India

Sharif always advocated dialogue with India, and he was called a national-security threat and a friend of Modi, but now the generals are trying everything they can to engage in dialogue with India. Khan himself said he tried to contact Modi on many occasions but never got a response. The recent press conference of Bilawal Bhutto after meeting with Sharif in jail indicates that the PPP is also ready to go to battle. During the presser, Bilawal clearly stated that there cannot be a dual standard of justice and that no one can be given the status of “holy cow.”

He questioned why the political leaders’ assets can be checked but not the assets of the banned outfits, and why their financiers cannot be exposed with the help of a joint investigation team. Referring to his grandfather Zulfikar Ali Bhutto and his mother Benazir and the jailed ex-PM, Bilawal explained why only the political leadership of the country has to bear the brunt. This means Bilawal and his PPP are ready to adopt the old style of politics as they have probably realized that in almost all the provinces other than Sindh, the wind is blowing against pro-establishment politics and that unity among the opposition is the need of the hour to push the establishment-backed government to the brink of an abyss.

So for the generals who promoted Khan as a savior of the nation and were happy to control the discourse from behind the curtains, things are getting tougher day by day. They know it will not be easy to regain the power they once enjoyed while the economy is in shambles and social media is spreading awareness among the masses who have still not been brainwashed by their propaganda. The hegemony they once enjoyed was weakened by the likes of Benazir Bhutto and Sharif, and with the new lot of anti-establishment politicians like Sharif’s daughter Maryam Nawaz and Bilawal Bhutto, the generals will find it tough to maneuver on the political chessboard. And not to forget Manzoor Pashteen, who has virtually pushed the establishment on to the back foot with PTM, a peaceful movement. Even the lifeless media that are subject to unseen curbs cannot bring success for the establishment by spreading propaganda around the clock.

The generals are slowly but surely falling into their own trap, and with Khan helpless on the governance front, it is only a matter of time before they start feeling the heat like Pervez Musharraf, Muhammad Zia-ul-Haq and Ayub Khan did when they lost the game. It’s time for the generals to return to their constitutional role and let the political discourse take its own shape.

https://www.asiatimes.com/2019/03/opinion/the-generals-doctrine-is-falling-apart/
 
View attachment 5053
IAF Stripped a Mig-21 engine to match pictures shown by Pakistan of the crashed fighter jet Published March 16, 2019 |
SHIVA MUDGIL
Indian Air force Engineers are convinced that some of the pictures shown by the Pakistani military as those of drowned Indian Mig-21Bis flown by Wing Commander Abhinandan Varthaman don’t belong to the Mig-21 engine and to verify those pictures an old retired Tumansky R-25-300 after-burning turbojet engine of another retired Mig-21 was stripped and compared with few pictures at the Pathankot Air Force Station recently. IAF has submitted a detail report to the government of India after old and new hand (Retired and Active Engineers ) took a detail look at the pictures and at the several parts of the Mig-21 engines to identify some parts which were passed on as the wreckage of Indian jet. The bone of contention seems to be part of the engine cover passed off as part of Mig-21 engine but doesn’t match to any part of the disassembled Mig-21 engine. Several Online Defence Analysts had called it as part of Mig-21 engine but they don’t match to the one found in the picture with disassembled Mig-21 engine said IAF report. IAF which has operated several Mig-21 variants from 60’s have a pool of talented engineers and technicians who are familiar with Tumansky R-25-300 after-burning turbojet engine at the back of their hand and can identify each nut and bolt due to their vast experience and also since Mig-21 is vastly operated jet in Indian Airforce which from the ’60s has operated and procured nearly 800 of them which is till now the single largest fighter jet ever operated by IAF in its history . IAF is also likely to carry out a third party verification of the images with Independent Russian experts so that it backs up the credibility of their report. IAF is also likely to engage unknown former engineers and technicians of F-16 from friendly nations who operate them to nail Pakistani cover up. It is also strange that Second most production aircraft in the world and still in operation in several countries no former F-16 technicians and engineers have come forward to refute Indian claims yet and silence from Trump administration is also not helping Pakistan.
U.S. To Clarify On Pakistan's Use of F-16 Jets, AMRAAM Missiles Against India | Indian Defence News
Foreign secretary Vijay Gokhale took up the matter with Trump administration during his Washington trip. US has assured of public clarification
Where were they all this time ?
 
The Generals’ Doctrine is falling apart

Imad%20Zafar-435.jpg


By Imad Zafar

When the Pakistani military establishment laid the foundation for a new doctrine according to which it would force the civilian government into submission and unofficially censor the media, it was certain that it would achieve its goal of ruling from behind while eating the share of the cake that was denied it by the previous government of Pakistan Muslim League-Nawaz.

It was not like the PML-N government had full authority over these matters, but because of former prime minister Nawaz Sharif’s consistent efforts to assert his authority, and former finance minister Ishaq Dar’s resistance to allocating more resources to the establishment and the famous Dawn Leaks case, in which Sharif asked the military establishment to clean up its own back yard by acting against banned outfits like Jaish-e-Mohammed and Jamadul Dawa, the generals considered Sharif a threat for their hegemony.

Sharif’s effort to achieve peace with India through his close ties with his Indian counterpart Narendra Modi and his refusal to give a big share of cake to the establishment in the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor proved to be the last nail in the coffin of the old General Kayani doctrine, which was aimed at controlling the proceedings from behind with a swift approach and by taking a “stick and carrot” approach to working with political leaders.

The generals who staged an undeclared coup against the Sharif government with the help of former chief justice Mian Saqib Nisar had to come out into the open to stop Sharif from coming to power at any cost, and eventually they succeeded in their mission but at the price of their credibility in their own fortress of Punjab province. With Sharif jailed and Asif Zardari, the chairman of the Pakistan Peoples Party (PPP), facing multiple corruption charges, the engineers of the new doctrine thought the newly installed government of Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf could deliver the desired results by improving the country’s economy, which began the journey into turmoil after Sharif was thrown out of office by a court decision.

Meanwhile, the emergence of the Pashtun Tahafuz Movement (PTM) from the province of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa kept threatening the hegemony of the establishment by arranging massive protests around the country, asking the military establishment to return to its role of protecting the borders instead of denying people their fundamental human rights in the name of security and hybrid warfare. Hybrid warfare is the new term the generals have invented to crush dissent and weaken the narrative of Sharif’s civilian supremacy. So even after the ouster of Sharif and the tying of the hands of the PPP, the establishment encountered resistance in the form of PTM. On the other hand, the inept and inexperienced PTI government installed by the establishment failed miserably on the governance front.

The inept and inexperienced PTI government installed by the establishment failed miserably on the governance front
The economic policies it devised achieved no positive results, the country’s exports fell and the trade deficit increased
, and the circular debt reached a new level with foreign reserves dwindling all the time in spite of help from the rulers of the Gulf states. The government has tried to reduce the deficit in the national exchequer.

However, it seems unlikely that it will work as the masses are left to bear the brunt of the games played behind the curtains. Imran Khan has fulfilled the biggest dream of his life by becoming prime minister, but he is as powerless as Punjab Chief Minister Usman Buzdar, who cannot remove any public servant without the approval of Khan. But Khan still has the egotistical satisfaction of calling himself prime minister.

The generals who are calling the shots find themselves in a tough situation. They have to act against the banned militant organizations due to immense diplomatic pressure and now they are cleaning their own backyard.

Dialogue with India

Sharif always advocated dialogue with India, and he was called a national-security threat and a friend of Modi, but now the generals are trying everything they can to engage in dialogue with India. Khan himself said he tried to contact Modi on many occasions but never got a response. The recent pressconference of Bilawal Bhutto after meeting with Sharif in jail indicates that the PPP is also ready to go to battle. During the presser, Bilawal clearly stated that there cannot be a dual standard of justice and that no one can be given the status of “holy cow.”

He questioned why the political leaders’ assets can be checked but not the assets of the banned outfits, and why their financiers cannot be exposed with the help of a joint investigation team. Referring to his grandfather Zulfikar Ali Bhutto and his mother Benazir and the jailed ex-PM, Bilawal explained why only the political leadership of the country has to bear the brunt. This means Bilawal and his PPP are ready to adopt the old style of politics as they have probably realized that in almost all the provinces other than Sindh, the wind is blowing against pro-establishment politics and that unity among the opposition is the need of the hour to push the establishment-backed government to the brink of an abyss.

So for the generals who promoted Khan as a savior of the nation and were happy to control the discourse from behind the curtains, things are getting tougher day by day. They know it will not be easy to regain the power they once enjoyed while the economy is in shambles and social media is spreading awareness among the masses who have still not been brainwashed by their propaganda. The hegemony they once enjoyed was weakened by the likes of Benazir Bhutto and Sharif, and with the new lot of anti-establishment politicians like Sharif’s daughter Maryam Nawaz and Bilawal Bhutto, the generals will find it tough to maneuver on the political chessboard. And not to forget Manzoor Pashteen, who has virtually pushed the establishment on to the back foot with PTM, a peaceful movement. Even the lifeless media that are subject to unseen curbs cannot bring success for the establishment by spreading propaganda around the clock.

The generals are slowly but surely falling into their own trap, and with Khan helpless on the governance front, it is only a matter of time before they start feeling the heat like Pervez Musharraf, Muhammad Zia-ul-Haq and Ayub Khan did when they lost the game. It’s time for the generals to return to their constitutional role and let the political discourse take its own shape.

https://www.asiatimes.com/2019/03/opinion/the-generals-doctrine-is-falling-apart/
Internal politics sir. It shouldn't matter much to us. No matter who is in power their policy won't change. I only wish we had such consistency.
 
I doubt diplomatic or "process" will bear any results here. If it had to, then it would have in past 70 years. This requires deterrence. And this deterrence is not strategic in nature. It is more of a deterrence of personal and organization nature -- dare I say clandestine?

Its about time that movers and shakers of enemy feel the fear that they will be personally harmed for pursuing a terror agenda on India. They cann't gain political power by simply carrying out terror attacks in India. This is the message India needs to deliver.

Pakistan is not a democracy and not a people driven state. The movers and shakers of Pakistan and its state apparatus are callous towards its own people. India needs to "deal" with these movers and shakers directly.

The basic principle which keeps people honest and just is that of Skin in the Game. These movers and shakers in Pakistan have no skin in the diplomatic game. They don't even have any skin in the military actions. This is the reason why after so many years of diplomacy and even military intervention this problem is continuing unabated.

We need to deter. But we need to deter the right people. We need to set a precedence and it should be loudly clear that an attack on India will incur not just political, diplomatic or military cost to Pakistan: It will cost the movers and shakers of ISI and PA life, limb and family.

You should wait till election is over
 
Pakistani MOD explicitly mentioned F-16 on the ready against India.
Pakistan will use all assets in the face of Indian aggression including F-16, the spokesperson said.
 
Pakistani MOD explicitly mentioned F-16 on the ready against India.
Pakistan will use all assets in the face of Indian aggression including F-16, the spokesperson said.
What is new? Pakisan already used their best bets during trailer itself. ..Got 1 lost too...

India used only mig 21.... Rest assets have been kept away for another day (If atall any)

By the way what prompted this statement.... It's all cool this side of the border
 
Pakistani MOD explicitly mentioned F-16 on the ready against India.
Pakistan will use all assets in the face of Indian aggression including F-16, the spokesperson said.

Wait till our elections are over

If we start a big war right now
We will also have some
Losses and Above all Inflation will rise

After elections Modi will get a free hand to deal with Pakistan
 
Wait till our elections are over

If we start a big war right now
We will also have some
Losses and Above all Inflation will rise

After elections Modi will get a free hand to deal with Pakistan
Pakistan is waiting.
That's why the air space is only opened for flights to and from Pakistan and no transit flight allowed.
 
What is new? Pakisan already used their best bets during trailer itself. ..Got 1 lost too...

India used only mig 21.... Rest assets have been kept away for another day (If atall any)

By the way what prompted this statement.... It's all cool this side of the border
LOL.... Nice story bro.
Where's the wreckage?
Likewise we claimed to hit an Indian SU-30 but don't have wreckage.
So if your story is to be believed without proof, so ours must be credible too?
 
LOL.... Nice story bro.
Where's the wreckage?
Likewise we claimed to hit an Indian SU-30 but don't have wreckage.
So if your story is to be believed without proof, so ours must be credible too?


It could but not from people who does not accept Kasab as citizen of thier country until it became too shameful. There word is meaningless.
 
LOL.... Nice story bro.
Where's the wreckage?
Likewise we claimed to hit an Indian SU-30 but don't have wreckage.
So if your story is to be believed without proof, so ours must be credible too?
Tired of repeating this bro.... Keep a open mind and watch the first released armature videos and then try to understand..... Proof??? It is available.... but will not be released.... let us wait for a book to be released by one retired officer from your side

@safriz you haven't answered the question.... What prompted that statement from MOD
 
Pakistan is waiting.
That's why the air space is only opened for flights to and from Pakistan and no transit flight allowed.

This is a War of Attrition
That you have begun

As of now , it has already cost you a lot
In Human and Material terms

Add to it the damage done to economy

You have acknowledged only one attack

Where as Three Big ones have happened
Feb 21 , Feb 26, March 6

At LOC we have caused huge losses and damages,

4 Amraams lost , F 16 lost
Fuel and spares getting burnt for CAPs
And for Army Movement

We will make sure that this Ob session
With Kashmir brings nothing but destruction

@safriz.

On facebook and Twitter , there are many people who have confirmed this F 16 downed

Add to it the Electronic signature
CIA ground level intelligence , and also our own intelligence

If we can find out about the Existence of Balakot , this F 16 confirmation is no big deal
 
  • Agree
Reactions: Star Wars
Tired of repeating this bro.... Keep a open mind and watch the first released armature videos and then try to understand..... Proof??? It is available.... but will not be released.... let us wait for a book to be released by one retired officer from your side

@safriz you haven't answered the question.... What prompted that statement from MOD
Obviously the on ground intelligence.
India has been shooting down many Pakistani drones on the border areas, as Pakistan has been actively collecting intelligence on Indian troops .
Brahmos units are on the ready as per the intelligence, and so are Pakistani response.
Air India is taking 3 Caror Rupees per day losses , and so are other Indian airlines.
All for "Modi Jii" election victory via creating a war against Pakistan.
 
1552762090541.png

The image aptly represents the international image of country you represent. - great selection or family business i say
Something tells me a new branch is likely to open in UK??
 
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All for "Modi Jii" election victory via creating a war against Pakistan.

So Pulwama terror attack was some sort of a false flag attack by Modi to start a war with Pak?
Or you are free to train terrorists and blow up buses without expecting a response just because it is an "election"?
What exactly is the logic here? Finally the bigger question. If you do believe India wants a full fledged war, Why is it India is not worried about your Nuclear weapons?

Pakistan has suffered 10 years of a very bloody war on terror, if you don't deal with terrorism now. There is going to be another 10 bloody years. There is no further point in defending these Vermin. You know very well these people are a liability to the progress of your society. At some point you WILL have to consume the ego and deal with them.
 
Pakistani MOD explicitly mentioned F-16 on the ready against India.
Pakistan will use all assets in the face of Indian aggression including F-16, the spokesperson said.
They explicitly denied F-16's involvement in conflict with India on 27th.

Pakistan denies India’s claim it used F-16 jets during air skirmish

Pakistan has denied using F-16 jets during the dogfight, but it has not specified which planes it used. It assembles Chinese-designed JF-17 fighter jets on its soil.
 
Air India is taking 3 Caror Rupees per day losses , and so are other Indian airlines.
And Pakistani airports are completely free to operate? They are losing ALL of their revenues. More than 300 Caror per day.

You do know India also has airports in souther parts... They never had one single day of non operation or redirection..

It hurts Pakistan way way more. Becuase of its poor economic condition.

Any economic conflict will destroy Pakistan.

And lets not even talk about the disruption of sea lanes...
 
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