Every technology becomes outdated after a while. I have heard from you few times how Tejas is far behind time. And I would agree with that point. What development is happening now is more than a decade late.
We are in position to develop 5th gen tech but can we really manage that independently? You know the development on 4th Gen tech, so it COULD be that the 5th Gen tech that India develops would be ready when world is talking of 7th or 8th gen plane.
FGFA/Su-57 MKI would be very much needed (depending on the price of course) at it gives us a plane that can check the chinese aerial juggernaut. And such plane should be operational in india in next 5-7 years in india. That might give our pilot and our scientist some idea of what the 5th Gen tech are, how they work and how we go about developing further on that.
Russians or anyone for that matter wont be major partner without taking a big chunk from it, unfortunately it was due to India's lack of foresight.
Let us accept few things
1. 5th Gen planes will be very expensive to develop, produce, buy and operate.
2. Not many countries can afford more than 72 5th Gen planes. Only the top economies can
3. If the country starts a program to say develop 5th gen plane, the cost per unit is going to be much higher.,
Thus Europe now wants to join hands together to make 5th Gen plane as that might help them to produce bigger nos at cheaper price something that Eurofighter was planned to do, but unfortunately since parts had to be produced and transfered everywhere, the cost rose.
One of the other partners we can work on is Japan. They have big requirement of these planes and they can afford it to ensure that their overseas assets are protected from China, which is same situation as our. Japan has the funds and aim to develop tech, and the combined nos could well go beyond 400 units. Remember at one point of time Japan wanted to purchase F-22 at almost 250 million a plane (this is from when F-22 was 5 years operational) and they wanted almost like 50 planes at least. Japan has some experience of plane building, but better than HAL, Also our interest are same as japan.
We can use Dassault tech if available, but I think Rafale is plane of 4th Gen, and if you feel Rafale tech is good then why not produce LCA and use Rafale tech in that, this way, we can use Rafale tech and also have our own plane.
Rafale is plane of yester years and its good enough, but its not good enough that India can rely on it fully. Su-30 MKI in its super form can easily give Rafale run for its money.
We are in position to develop 5th gen tech but can we really manage that independently? You know the development on 4th Gen tech, so it COULD be that the 5th Gen tech that India develops would be ready when world is talking of 7th or 8th gen plane.
FGFA/Su-57 MKI would be very much needed (depending on the price of course) at it gives us a plane that can check the chinese aerial juggernaut. And such plane should be operational in india in next 5-7 years in india. That might give our pilot and our scientist some idea of what the 5th Gen tech are, how they work and how we go about developing further on that.
Russians or anyone for that matter wont be major partner without taking a big chunk from it, unfortunately it was due to India's lack of foresight.
Let us accept few things
1. 5th Gen planes will be very expensive to develop, produce, buy and operate.
2. Not many countries can afford more than 72 5th Gen planes. Only the top economies can
3. If the country starts a program to say develop 5th gen plane, the cost per unit is going to be much higher.,
Thus Europe now wants to join hands together to make 5th Gen plane as that might help them to produce bigger nos at cheaper price something that Eurofighter was planned to do, but unfortunately since parts had to be produced and transfered everywhere, the cost rose.
One of the other partners we can work on is Japan. They have big requirement of these planes and they can afford it to ensure that their overseas assets are protected from China, which is same situation as our. Japan has the funds and aim to develop tech, and the combined nos could well go beyond 400 units. Remember at one point of time Japan wanted to purchase F-22 at almost 250 million a plane (this is from when F-22 was 5 years operational) and they wanted almost like 50 planes at least. Japan has some experience of plane building, but better than HAL, Also our interest are same as japan.
We can use Dassault tech if available, but I think Rafale is plane of 4th Gen, and if you feel Rafale tech is good then why not produce LCA and use Rafale tech in that, this way, we can use Rafale tech and also have our own plane.
Rafale is plane of yester years and its good enough, but its not good enough that India can rely on it fully. Su-30 MKI in its super form can easily give Rafale run for its money.
We are in a position to develop 5th gen and higher technologies, but it will take time. We will get new technologies on our own through LCA Mk2 and Ghatak programs even without help from foreign companies. Other countries like Turkey and SK do not have the same level of R&D capacity as we do. Our R&D is happening across all fields, nuclear, space etc, which the others are not as involved in. So it's not comparable.
Even if FGFA happens, the Russians won't be a major partner in AMCA. Eggs in basket.
If we partner with Dassault on pretty much everything, it is a huge drawback. We can't allow it to hold a monopoly in all our programs and lose control of all the programs in case differences come up, that simply does not make sense.
The fact is Dassault will share technology only if we start a MII program with them. Once that's done, the same laboratories that will be involved in developing future technologies for Rafale will also be involved in developing technologies for AMCA also. The same labs will be involved in FGFA as well, if it happens. There is no need to give Dassault a controlling stake in everything when the benefits are few. Rafale F4 followed by F5 or NG will provide enough buffer to the IAF until AMCA becomes available.
So what Picdel is proposing is we combine these two requirements into one. But I'm saying we need to keep them separated so tomorrow France does not screw us over because we decided to test nuclear weapons, or invade some Gulf country or something radical that can change relations overnight, which is bound to happen when India's hunger for resources and influence starts overlapping with the West. AMCA will be the insurance against Dassault's monopoly. Dassault isn't a charity, they will do only what's in their interests.
The only way it will work is if both France and India have an equal stake in AMCA, like it is the case with Russia and India with respect to FGFA. Why give massive amounts of R&D funds to Dassault unless ADLA is also buying a few squadrons? Aerospace isn't about outsourcing.
My proposal:
1. Go for Rafale MII.
2. Use French help in the LCA program. As much as is possible.
3. Develop future configurations of Rafale together.
4. Have an independent AMCA program.
2 and 3 will give us all the technologies necessary to carry us to the next half of the century. We shouldn't combine 3 and 4, nor will we have the need to do so. My proposal is a more expensive proposal, but it gives us a competing jet to the Rafale.
If FGFA happens, we will automatically get a competing jet, so we can combine 3 and 4 for an overall cheaper AMCA.
