In which world do we have 410 Haubits? More than half of them were cannibalized back in 2016.No. It's a mix of budget and capability problems.
For example, ATAGS doesn't meet mountain requirements. The IA wants a lighter gun to navigate the terrain. Many of the bridges cannot handle its weight. It also needs to undergo an Mk1A/Mk2 transition to bring it on par with more modern Western guns. My guess is the IA will split the requirement between ATAGS and a second lighter gun.
K9 is going through, it's just a budget problem 'cause a lot of money was spent on emergency purchases to fill holes elsewhere. Now most of that emergency stuff has already been paid for. A signature is expected to happen soon, negotiations began in Feb.
MGS is awaiting prototypes from the private sector for testing. Both 105mm and 155mm. The 105mm ones are being upgraded. The 155mm will take until the end of the decade, minus an emergency purchase of 300 guns, which will follow the K9 purchase, but will take time to test and choose one.
Dhanush is a clusterfvuk, OFB screwed up, so new timetable. But more will be bought in the 52cal version. I won't be surprised if the pending order is also upgraded to 52cal.
Sharang is proceeding as usual. Another 500 are expected to be upgunned.
More M777s are on the anvil, it's a new extended range version with a 55cal barrel, in development.
Because of Bofors, K9, M777, Dhanush and Sharang, the IA is focusing much more on the technology side for the next round of procurements for the primary towed gun requirement and MGS. The idea is to get as much tech as possible right now so it remains relevant even 30 years down the line. New guns require all sorts of protection, anti-drone, anti-rocket, anti-missile etc alongside networking and electronic warfare. MGS in particular will need stealth as well.
With that said, our numbers are now pretty good. All 410 Bofors will be replaced by Dhanush Mk2, that takes us to about 414 guns. Sharang numbers could climb from 480 to 900-1000. M777 and M777ER could give us 145+300 guns. K9 will eventually climb to 300. ATAGS and MGS are expected at 300+ each. Of these only the M777 and K9 are foreign, without corruption to boot. That's practically 1350+ guns assured and 1100 more guns on the anvil, and only 1000 of the 2400+ guns are upgrades. So we are only unsure of around 1800 guns, towed and MGS. It's not bad at all. Especially if the remaining 1800 guns are expected to bring in new capabilities.