>"window of opportunity"
This window of opportunity will last till the time chinese companies are still behind american ones. BYD, Huawei, etc are their national champions that are competing with the best america has to offer. CPC is pumping enormous amount of money into its R&D, unprecedented in any country seen before in such quick time. They are climbing the value chains astonishingly fast.
Leading countries by gross research and development (R&D) expenditure worldwide in 2022
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1$ fetches a lot more value in China than it does in America. So, in some ways their supremacy is already set in stone. No one will want to piss them off due to trade relations.
India-China conflict will definitely happen and the more we delay in accelerating our own industrialisation the more we are axing our own feets.
In this little window we have, we should invite as many companies as we can to invest in india. Cause if its too late, then we would be begging chinese conglomerates mostly and they will always follow CPC diktats rather than profit margins. Indian PM will be touching Chinese president's feet then.
>France is in the EU but we deal with them bilaterally in defence. The EU is a different beast entirely when it comes to trade
Yes, EU is such a beast that pretty much all major EU economies want to defy US in maintaining their China trade links due to trade volumes. If they ignore India-China clashes today, 10 years in the future, they won't even acknowledge India-China boundary issues just to keep china happy.
You asked me to give 1 example of India-France trade dispute, I just presented to you a few months old case. You were so confidently incorrect.
>No one in their right mind would hitch their future to one single power
Everyone is hitching their future to 1 superpower, its either US or China. Everyone's value in this world is decided by the the value and importance of products they produce. China's supremacy is already forcing your old allies like Russia to toe to the Chinese versions of events.
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No one will be left to help India in our neighborhood when the next war with china happens.
>critical thinking
bruh....all my arguments have plenty of data to back them up. I can atleast respect Randomradio to argue with data, all you have done is just to say 'no' with almost no data.
>You seem like a guy disheartened and butthurt that India isn't where China is today.
Sure bruh, use any word you like. But atleast I can see the difference in bayanbazi & real actions. When my 56inch PM says - "...na koi ghusa hai, na koi ghusa tha...". When my Foreign Minister says ".......S. Jaishankar said that India cannot pick a fight with China because the latter has a bigger economy.......
The Wire: The Wire News India, Latest News,News from India, Politics, External Affairs, Science, Economics, Gender and Culture
thewire.in
I realise there is a lot of rhetoric and misconceptions around the power differentials bw India & China. I mean look at the cope in this forum. China can't do this...China can't do that.....blah blah blah. Its ok to be in delusion but don't get cranky when other don't share that same "ostrich's head in the sand" attitude. Same delusion is with rafale.
>Yes, Indian economy should be doing a lot better and growing at double digits but I don't see how that translates to sucking US pee pee dry
Again with the same delusion. I just think indian nationalists have a lot of hurt ego that US chose Pakistan over India. This insecurity is the reason behind the almost 'conspiracy nut' level of anti-americanism. Engaging with US does not mean sucking their PP. This is the 3rd time I am saying this.
Indian nationalists think in absolutes, there is no in-between.
>We are in a position now to capitalise on corporate supply chain diversification and ensure our masses prosper and build up a robust industrial base
Yeah, I explained this entire thing in my previous posts. You just didn't read any of it. So let me reiterate for one last time.
India has limited political capital. The more we spend it on France the less we would be able to extract from US. There was this news report where US Senators were complaining about how much bi-partisan support existed for India but India goes ahead and buys French Planes. These kind of things do affect the relationship. Buying Rafales again for Navy is axing our own feets. We will get much more industrial support from US. Moving anything in US Congress is a 'give and take' proposition. We are taking but not giving much.
Our silence on this cruel and blatant Russian invasion of Ukraine is further damaging ties. We are delaying our own industrialization with these steps. The fact that India cant openly criticize a smaller economy like Russia tells us what a farce our so called non-aligned policy is.
>The world is not binary.
Ironic, considering that you think increasing engagement with US is equal to sucking their PP.
>US govt. is accomodating as they want a strong ally in the region against China. Fairly recent development in the scheme of things. Not enough trust built up between to two countries to consider them a sole ally
You can keep this charade of trust when 4.4 million+ indians live in US and send back billions in remittances. Pray to god that Donald Trump doesn't come to power as he will tear up all the concessional deals that Biden has signed with India. Trump has a purely transactional mind which is why India bought so much american arms bw 2016-2020. It was to satisfy that egotistical maniac. The widening trade surplus we have with US will be wiped. Go look up the data I provided in my previous post for 2016, you will be surprised by the pattern.
>And our share of global trade is paltry compared to the others. We will first have to build our own supply chain and increase trade with South Asian neighbours, China and SEA nations.
"Our supply chains". We are so far down the value chain that we are struggling to be part of others' supply chain and my man is talking about our supply chains. Lmao. Every one of our neighbor likes to trade with China rather than us. SEA is far more industrialized than India. ASEAN is deeply connected to China that there is no competition.
".............China-ASEAN bilateral trade even bucked the negative trend caused by the pandemic, jumping from US$641.5 billion in 2019 to US$975.3 billion in 2022................"
China and the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) are pushing ahead with talks on a third version of a free trade agreement at an ASEAN summit in the Indonesian capital of Jakarta, China's top diplomat Wang Yi said on Thursday.
www.reuters.com
India chose to stay away from RCEP.
India has already missed the bus with SEA. China is making inroads so deep that forget competition, nobody there wants to buy anything substantial from India. ASEAN's largest economy is Indonesia. Chinese investments are so huge there that China will remain Indonesia's largest partner for decades to come.
China uses this relationship to dump its products into India, one of the reason's why India's trade deficit with China keeps on rising.