In the last Ten Days , there have been several new medicines in the News
Baricitinib and Molnupiravir from NATCO
Virafin from Zydus
Clevira which is an old anti viral drug
And now This DRDO molecule
But there has been no further news about their efficacy
DCGI gives approval to use 2-DG as adjunct therapy for Covid-19 patients
An adjunct therapy refers to an alternative treatment that is used together with the primary treatment. Its purpose is to assist the primary treatment
www.google.com
India and its vaccine maker stumble over their pandemic promises
Poonawalla defended his company and its ambitions. He had no choice but to hand over vaccines to the govt, he said. He cited a lack of raw materials, which he has partially blamed on the US. Making vaccines, he said, is a painstaking process that requires investment and major risks. He said he...m.economictimes.com
Another dickraa who's bitten off more than he can chew. I'm betting Modi & tem were sitting pretty conjuring up dreams of getting India completely vaccinated by Nov Dec 2021 till the crisis in March unravelled & they discovered Poonawallah the dickraa was talking thru his hat.
Hello Sir , Welcome Back
You were away for more than a month
A few immediate family members were down with the virus. Some didn't make it through.DCGI gives approval to use 2-DG as adjunct therapy for Covid-19 patients
An adjunct therapy refers to an alternative treatment that is used together with the primary treatment. Its purpose is to assist the primary treatment
Hello Sir , Welcome Back
You were away for more than a month
Amiet R. Kashyap (@Amitraaz) Tweeted:
DCGI approves anti-COVID drug(2-DG) developed by @DRDO_India for emergency use
Clinical trial results have shown that this molecule helps in faster recovery of hospitalised patients and reduces supplemental oxygen dependence.
The drug comes in powder form in sachet, which is https://t.co/oAz09Wszuc
Good News. DRDO developed covid19 medicine...
Active cases? No. It's impossible for any country to get an accurate number for this.
Deaths? Not very accurate but should be quite close to the actual number. It's because the cause of death will be quite evident and easily identifiable in the case of COVID. Plus most of these deaths will have family and acquaintances identifying the cause straightaway to the authorities in case the person was not hospitalised.
Even with the worst case of under-reporting, it's unlikely to be more than 2x the official numbers. At best, there could be 5-10% of under-reporting.
But it will definitely take time for all the reports to be statistically completed. Most death reports are likely from hospitals right now.
[/QUOTE]Oh dear! Ever the optimist.Thats not a bad thing given the current time.
My only gripe is we won't easily know if the situation has peaked. We are not tracking deaths properly, we are in high positivity region. We need to test 4-8 times more but we are no where close to that. We are basically flying with half closed eyes right now. We will know it only when the number of cases fall dramatically and our positivity rate falls due to rate.
I'm not the one saying it. Experts are.
India’s Modeling Has Covid Outbreak Peaking in Coming Days
A mathematical model suggests India’s coronavirus outbreak could peak in coming days, but new mutations can become a blindspot.
I'm not the one saying it. Experts are.
India’s Modeling Has Covid Outbreak Peaking in Coming Days
A mathematical model suggests India’s coronavirus outbreak could peak in coming days, but new mutations can become a blindspot.www.bloombergquint.com
From the very article you are quoting :
And
The truth is, data about extent of present situation is pandemic is highly unreliable. Only thing we know is that it is bad, really bad. What is the extent? No one knows. We are neither testing enough or capturing enough data about death and hospitalization or development of severe symptoms to comment on the disease.
Lastly, never compare predictions with past. Prediction are well unreliable for obvious reasons. Hence compare them to europe once it is done.
Remember, last year the same experts were saying the pandemic will peak in may then june then july. It went all the way upto october.
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You know this moral high ground is stupidity. Its like turning your face away from reality. The reality is that deaths and suffering in India are always celebrated in Pakistan and are always used for propaganda in China. In west it is used to feel good about their "western" self. Its about time we recognize it and hate the *censored*s in Pakistan back with equal force.
When ever and where ever we get chance, we should drive the dagger and twist it while we are at it. Because remember, they wont miss it.
Its the problem of order of magnitude.
For UK, it could be twice.
For India it is atleast 5 times if not 10 times.
How do I know?
Well, Positivity rate of UK at the last peak of their pandemic was 12.80%
India?
Its 24% now.
Its not passing the smell test (pardon my morbid language). 4000 to 5000 extra deaths cannot cause over flow of crematoriums all over India.
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They were wrong then because everybody was wrong at that point, when they assumed it was the UK variant going around, not the double mutant.
Last year, they said it will peak in September and it did.
Yes, it can. Our crematoriums have not been designed for mass cremations. And cremations itself take a long time.
Its not too hard to test your hypothesis. Here is the google search:
query: cases will peak in india
time limited: results seen TILL 30th April 2020
See the results for yourself.
Coronavirus epidemic could peak in India by mid-May: Study | India News - Times of India
India News: The coronavirus epidemic could peak in India by the middle of May and gradually peter out after that, a modelling exercise by Times Network in partner
timesofindia.indiatimes.com
Covid-19 likely to peak in India by early or mid-May
The coronavirus pandemic in India may peak in early to mid-May, according to projections in a study conducted by global consulting firm Protiviti and Times Network.
Coronavirus crisis: Expect COVID-19 cases to peak around May-end, say experts
Experts call for a staggered approach after lockdown while ensuring selective opening of regions and zones; India well-prepared in terms of hospital infrastructure unless there is a huge and a sudden surge in the number of cases, they believe
‘June-July could be the peak period of COVID-19 in India’
www.deccanherald.com
‘India may reach peak of Covid-19 cases by 20 April’ - The Sunday Guardian Live
Even as India sees a steep rise in cases of coronavirus with the number of positive cases doubling every 3.5 days, epidemiologists say that India is yet
www.sundayguardianlive.com
India COVID cases could peak early May; herd immunity likely by winter: Srinath Reddy - CNBC TV18
Business News: Get the latest Business News, Live Share & Stock Market Updates, Top News from India and across world. Read Top Business News and updates on financial, economic and banking news on CNBCTV18.
Well when districts say there are only 10-12 deaths a day and there are 30-40 pyres lit while equal number waiting for cremation, I don't see what else to conclude but that we are massively underreporting the deaths.
Its not too hard to test. Here is the google search:
query: cases will peak in india
time limited: results seen TILL 30th April 2020
See the results for yourself.
Coronavirus epidemic could peak in India by mid-May: Study | India News - Times of India
India News: The coronavirus epidemic could peak in India by the middle of May and gradually peter out after that, a modelling exercise by Times Network in partnerCovid-19 likely to peak in India by early or mid-May
The coronavirus pandemic in India may peak in early to mid-May, according to projections in a study conducted by global consulting firm Protiviti and Times Network.Coronavirus crisis: Expect COVID-19 cases to peak around May-end, say experts
Experts call for a staggered approach after lockdown while ensuring selective opening of regions and zones; India well-prepared in terms of hospital infrastructure unless there is a huge and a sudden surge in the number of cases, they believewww.businesstoday.in
‘June-July could be the peak period of COVID-19 in India’
‘India may reach peak of Covid-19 cases by 20 April’ - The Sunday Guardian Live
Even as India sees a steep rise in cases of coronavirus with the number of positive cases doubling every 3.5 days, epidemiologists say that India is yetwww.sundayguardianlive.comIndia COVID cases could peak early May; herd immunity likely by winter: Srinath Reddy - CNBC TV18
Business News: Get the latest Business News, Live Share & Stock Market Updates, Top News from India and across world. Read Top Business News and updates on financial, economic and banking news on CNBCTV18.www.cnbctv18.com
Are you trolling?
Don't just stop at the headline, look at who is doing the study first.
How do you under-report death?
Are people so stupid that they won't know the the reason for the death of their kin?
Will those people be able to update the number of deaths reported by Ministry of Health each day? I doubt that.
Thats under-reporting. Official data is under-reproting deaths.
Word on street is usually qualitative only.