They'd have annexed the whole world.If only Russia could make all the decisions.
And who owns the trade fleets? EU and China. Who owns the blue navies with global reach? US and EU. Russia is not a thalassocracy.Trade happens via sea.
Do they have time, though?The Russian economy will pivot to where the money is. Today, there's only the US+allies and China. Tomorrow, there will be other countries, like India, ASEAN and the African Union. It's only a matter of time.
Their gas trade is bigger than all their non-fuel exports combined.They have not been boxed in by the West either, they have a lot of options. Only their gas trade will see disruption. Their oil trade will continue.
First three categories are all basically 100% Western, and now they're gonna have to switch to 100% Chinese.Russian imports in 2021:
Iran can't even control their home but are looking to attack Israeli assets.
Not trying to Downplay the assistance effort here, but these 100 be barely enough for kyiv.To help the population cope with winter, France is sending 100 high-power generators to #Ukraine, while Russia wants to use winter as a weapon of war.
Ukraine are definitely all in. The US was going to offer a deal where Putin kept Crimea (only) but it was demilitarised and Zelensky rejected that even. They want ever last piece of their country back.At 1:33 Boris says " Zelensky isn't in position................His people wouldn't let him".
Folks, What do you think of this? Why ukrainians wouldn't let zelensky negotiate a peace deal?
To me it means "Ukrainians are all in". No half-way measures.
I also think that they have taken massive casualties.
Reminder: strikes against civilian infrastructures are war crimes
Their GDP is heading for $1400bn by end 2022, which is a 21% drop from 2021, and that's despite there being 33% more dollars to the rouble (officially) than last year and 17% inflation in Russia.
Other countries are helping too; and this is not the first such shipment, nor the last.Not trying to Downplay the assistance effort here, but these 100 be barely enough for kyiv.
Strikes against electrical power is one thing, and whilst not technically banned due to dual use, it's frowned upon. Gas infrastructure, not sure, however, attacks against water supplies are always illegal under the Geneva convention, and Russia has done that.Reminder: strikes against civilian infrastructures are war crimes
lapsus: readStrikes against electrical power is one thing, and whilst not technically banned due to dual use, it's frowned upon. Gas infrastructure, not sure, however, attacks against water supplies are always illegal under the Geneva convention, and Russia has done that.