Our foreign policy is risk-averse. We pussied out of fights with both Pak and China, although it was mutual, so there's that, but still pussied out. We are easily bullied by the US, it's easy for them to interfere in our foreign policy decisions. We are standing our ground on important stuff, but still giving ground in areas where it is of advantage to us but find it better to succumb to US pressure instead. Like Iran.
So this goes back to the previous point. The closer Russia gets to China, the more pressure the US can place on India and get better concessions. Like stopping more nuclear power deals in exchange for their own, trying to stop the SSN transfer. Russia is important for our gas security, but we may have to give up on some of that. NSTC may become difficult to implement. And so on.
It's no longer as simple as it used to be.
The Americans are very, very successfully playing to their strengths while taking advantage of others' weaknesses to gain a massive advantage for themselves, and the funny thing is the others can only watch. By pushing Russia into a corner on Ukraine, they are taking control of Europe's energy reliance on Russia thereby weakening them, while simultaneously pushing an unwilling Russia towards China, which is slowly driving a wedge between India and Russia. That's so many birds with one stone.
In this game, the weaker players are at fault for being weak, ie India and Russia. While stronger players like Germany got suckered into such a weak position all on their own, to the point where their entire economy is at risk, furthermore making their govt politically weaker and their companies less competitive than American companies.
The US wants a conflict. The only ones who will come out unscathed in this conflict is the US. Not even China, 'cause oil and gas prices will increase, something that will quite literally affect everyone. It gets worse in our case because, unlike the Chinese, we don't even have the option of taking advantage of Iran in such a situation due to American interference.
This situation is not good for India at all.