It will be a day at best.
Majority of Russian armor is 125-200 miles from Ukraine border. Once the order is given they will stage 40-50 miles which will be seen by US/NATO/EU ISR and whatever Ukraine has. Seeing hundreds of Russian armor moving closer to Ukraine will be obviously seen as an imminent invasion. So from their parking spots to staging area its going to take at least 2 days if they want to go in with overwhelming force.
The question is what NATO will do about it. I bet, nothing.
My head says US/NATO will do nothing... I just have this feeling the people pulling sleepy Joe's strings/folks who are really running the US are setting us up for a conflict. I mean the world has gone nuts and we're living in pestilence pretty much so I don't trust these people.
Putting my Spidey senses aside I think the only action will be a US/NATO mobilization in NATO nations bordering Russia and Ukraine since these nations will actually demand it. But even then doing that feels like a set up. Understand that right now US and NATO ISR planes fly over Ukraine with Ukraine's blessing is the US or NATO going to stop flying these planes over Ukraine when Russia invades? What happens if Russia shoots down a US/NATO ISR plane? See how easily this can turn into a US/NATO involvement?
US Air Force ramps up intel flights, weapons shipments to Ukraine
-Some American troops are on standby as the world waits to see whether Russia will invade Ukraine, but the U.S. Air Force’s involvement in the conflict is already well underway.
U.S. and allied reconnaissance flights in the region have been ongoing since at least Dec. 24, dispatching multiple types of military planes to serve as extra eyes and ears over Eastern Europe.
On Wednesday alone, aviation radar-tracking sites showed at least eight American and Swedish aircraft flying over Ukraine, the Black Sea and the Baltics. They included two RC-135V/W Rivet Joint planes equipped to listen in on communications signals and an RQ-4 Global Hawk drone that gathers high-altitude images and other data through various sensors.
The Global Hawk may have been peering down at a string of Russian troops built up along the border it shares with Ukraine, as well as to the smaller country’s south, expert analysis posted online suggests
“This is the second RQ-4 flight to make this pattern in the last week, making use of the same airframe,” aviation tracking hobbyist Amelia Smith tweeted Monday
. “There is a possibility that we will see the return of the daily RQ-4 flights over and around Ukraine.”
She noted an MQ-9 Reaper drone’s visit
to Russian-occupied Crimea in southern Ukraine on Jan. 21. Twitter user @ZaesADSB, another flight tracker, caught an E-8C Joint STARS jet — designed to track the movement of ground targets — headed east over Ukraine three days earlier as well.
They’ve been joined by Rivet Joints, E-3 airborne target tracking planes, P-8 antisubmarine patrol jets and other military airframes flown by NATO, the United Kingdom, Germany and the U.S. Army and Navy. Spokespeople for U.S. European Command and Air Force officials in the region did not respond to a request for comment on Wednesday.
“One of this command’s primary tasks is to provide indications and warning of military developments to our nation’s leaders and we also contribute to NATO’s shared understanding of developments in Europe,” EUCOM spokesperson Lt. Cmdr. Russ Wolfkiel told Air Force Times when contacted about the U.S. response to a similar Russian troop buildup last spring
. “With regard to U.S. activities, I can tell you that we have been watching the situation in Ukraine very closely and USAFE’s contributions with airborne ISR are indispensable to maintaining a coherent picture of ongoing developments. However, in the interest of operational security and as a matter of policy we do not provide details on specific missions.”
Flight trackers have spotted American Rivet Joint, Global Hawk, Reaper and Joint STARS aircraft, plus allied assets.
See how easily things can turn? Why would the US/NATO stop their recon flights when they have the right to be there? What happens as it starts to get real US/NATO decides to have fighters escort these recon planes and these fighters feel Russian fighters are getting aggressively close and shoot them down?
This is a set up. US/NATO will obviously allow Russia to invade to make them look like the bully which won't be hard and now thrown in the big bully Russians shooting down a US/NATO recon plane that has the right to be there and you have the excuse the US needs to use force.