India cannot look beyond it's elections, and eventually that will be our downfall.
There was a time when I used to call Pakistanis novice at foriegn policy. That is no longer the case. they have negotiated a fantastic deal from the US. India couldn't even get a cent worth of concession. That is the reality.
Why not material. We did not shy away from sending IL76's full of supplies to Gen Ahmed Shah Massoud. Why didn't we secure a fallback plan for the NA similar to 96.
We were totally outclassed by Pakistan. And some of the blood that will spill in Panjshir is on our hands too. I feel utterly ashamed of our statecraft.
From 2010 Americans request us for the military assistance in Afghanistan.
Did we provide that?
Because there is no point in providing the military assistance.Afghanistan is a quagmire and they fight only for tribes .
And Taliban have sufficient support among the Afghans .
If that was the case Americans will scoot like this one way or another and it would become our burden.
And another thing is this is not 90s anymore.
We have Chinese with unlimited coffers to support Taliban.If we give support to NA they will give support to Taliban and situation would remain fluid and on top of that Taliban will have a reason to create problem in Kashmir .
Americans deal was with Taliban .Thats why they give this much weapons to them.
India didnt provide any meaningful fall back plan in 90s also .If that was the case Dr Najibullah wouldnt had to face that fate.
It was literally the NA was ruiling for past 20 years they failed in earning the trusts of people and leaders .
India can meaningfully do something and creates a influence in Afghanistan only if we shares direct border with them.
But it all depends upon the activity of Pakistan.
And daredevil approach from our side.
If they creates worst problems again in valley.
Capture the GB and if posdible PoK
Mobilise entire inventory for that also.
We can shift the possible problems from the valley to there .
But it would be a gambling approach .