I'd written sometime back on the difference between an unrest , a riot , civil disturbance which is usually prolonged like what we're seeing in Manipur , an insurgency / LIC & a civil war .When WB Hindus don't want to be saved and keep electing that CM who herself is a WB Hindu then why should others come and save them from their fate? Let them deal with it. Its a disaster of their own making.
Btw entire world saw the so called 0.5 front in actual physical action in 2002, the same scenario will extend across the entire country minus perhaps Kerala and WB where it will be a one sided massacre and the side being massacred aren't us. If you guys think these internal elements pose even a modicum of threat infront of the CRPF, CISF not to mention the half lunatic genocidal ppl in VHP Bajrang Dal then take some pills honestly.
My IPS relative in CRPF took me to what he called a "medium" sized armory in the middle of nowhere in South India and there had to be something like 200 AK 47s, AK 203s among other weapons. @_Anonymous_ honestly what do you think these weapons are for? Warming their holders? I seriously dont understand how you guys think this "0.5 front" poses a real threat other than a few bomb blasts here and there. We LITERALLY have an entire internal army of 2 million people but somehow this 0.5 front living in slums is going to cause a civil war!!!
What we saw in Kashmir & prior to that in Punjab was somewhere between an insurgency / Low Intensity Conflict ( LIC ) & a Civil War . Check for the number of troops we deployed there , the costs / year , the fatalities leave alone the casualties & the duration of the insurgency.
For perspective we've still a considerable number of troops deployed in Kashmir to keep the peace besides the state police there & the armed forces patrolling the border along with CAPFs.
Besides Punjab & J&K are states with relatively low populations as compared to WB or even Assam & Kerala . In J&K too the insurgency was mostly confined to the Valley. That's 10 districts in the Kashmir Division which had a population of ~ 7 million in 2011 .
The insurgency broke out more than 2 decades earlier where the population would've been much less. Yet look at the resources we had to deploy to control & suppress it . It's still WiP - Work in Progress.
There was a report by TISS out a couple of days ago which reported the M population in Mumbai would be > 30% in 2050. Here's what I posted in another forum.
Posting this here coz a good deal of those Muslims would be malaun lungi sub humans from BD.
In addition to that , you've internal migration of Muslims to urban areas plus a higher TFR than the national average.
And this is true not just of Mumbai but all metropolises in India . Now consider the inter mixing between these two groups & you will understand why if we move against BD or even attempt population transfer from the NE & WB , the resulting unrest won't remain restricted to those areas but will be a nation wide phenomenon.
As per the last census in 2011 , M population was ~ 15% . Add 2% for undercounting / margin of error which makes it 17% .
As on December 2025 , the official population which was ~ 15 ought to be at least 18-19 % . Add 2-3 % to it & you come to 20-23% of the population. And that's in 2025.
If you check urban M population tends to be higher than rural areas by a few percentage points. I wouldn't be surprised in the least if M population in Mumbai municipality is ~ 22-24% already.
Add to that the plummeting TFR of the H & the above replacement rate TFR of the M & that scenario isn't far fetched . In fact I'm of the view M population should touch 30% by 2040 .
The H population in that survey is suspect. It should be > 60% at the minimum by 2050.
You just had the bursting of a few modules of white collar terrorists a few months ago where the scale of what was planned was mind boggling including the Ricin attack. Those were not more than 2-3 dozen people.
The M population today in India including the illegal immigrants here would be close to 250 million. And their TFR is well above replacement rates as opposed to the H TFR which is already ~ 1.9 , well below the replacement rate of 2.1 & falling rapidly. Check out what it is in Kerala.
And you think a civil war will be contained by a CAPF with an armoury of some few hundred rifles ? I don't think you've understood the gravity of the problem especially since the Muslims of the sub continent are a very enthusiastic & over confident lot & our lot is usually caught in paralysis by analysis.
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