The explosion in Iran is exactly the kind of convergence of interests one might observe between India, Israel and other informal partners.
Let's look at it point by point:
- The rapid presence of the Indian CBG (naval air group around the Vikrant or Vikramaditya) in the Arabian Sea is clearly aimed at interdicting any strategic maritime deliveries to Pakistan.
- This is a vital zone for preventing the arrival of weapons, drones or missiles.
- China often uses Iranian ports, such as Bandar Abbas, to transit materials destined discreetly for Pakistan (via “civilian” or “commercial” networks).
The massive explosion reported near Bandar Abbas could therefore be :
- A pre-emptive strike against a batch of sensitive weapons.
- A “grey zone” operation (neither claimed nor formalized) attributable to Israel, which keeps a close eye on Iranian and Chinese trafficking.
Israel and India have a common interest here:
- Israel wants to prevent Chinese high-tech weapons getting into the hands of hostile groups or states.
- India wants to prevent these weapons from fuelling the Pakistani war effort.
To sum up:
- This would be an indirect, swift and surgical action that simultaneously serves the strategic objectives of Israel and India.
- Exactly in the spirit of discreet but effective cooperation between partners with converging interests.
Very credible:
- The Indians are extremely attentive to Iranian maritime corridors, especially when Iran is porous to Chinese deliveries.
- Israel is already active in clandestine operations on Iranian ports, especially in the south (Bandar Abbas, Jask).
- The speed of the explosion after the rise in Indo-Pakistani tension is consistent with this type of “opportunistic” strike.