Israel, US Strike Iran After Weeks Of Warning, Explosions Heard In Tehran


Middlebury Institute of International Studies researchers concluded with moderate-to-high confidence that the suspect missile was likely launched from a U.S. Patriot battery located about 4 miles (7 km) to the southwest of the impacted neighborhood.

An American-operated Patriot air defense battery likely fired the interceptor missile involved in a pre-dawn explosion that injured dozens of civilians and tore through homes in U.S.-ally Bahrain 10 days into the war on Iran, according to an analysis by academic researchers examined by Reuters.

Both Bahrain and Washington have blamed an Iranian drone attack for the March 9 blast, which the Gulf kingdom said injured 32 people including children, some seriously. Commenting on the day of the attack, U.S. Central Command said on X that an Iranian drone struck a residential neighbourhood in Bahrain.

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CIA/Mossed false flag attempt?
LMAO its not a false flag. Its just them trying to save face. They didnt plan the patriot malfunction. We all saw the vid where the patriot just flew horizontally and lost track. We also saw the patriot doing the same thing a year or two ago in saudi.
 
Pralay was always meant to be conventional only. Imo, this change in strategy has come about only because of our airpower asymmetry vs China. Every nook and corner of Pak is otherwise well within IAF reach.
It wasn't inducted although the prototyping & development was completed more than a decade ago IIRC for reasons given. Moreover just coz the IAF can cover every corner of Paxtan doesn't mean we actually deploy the IAF to every corner. It's always good to have alternatives.
GoI decision makers have historically been against the use of BMs for conventional strikes because they thought they were too expensive for that as single use weapons.
When have our lot not been bean counters ?
Brahmos is dual use? Since when? Afaik, all we have are gravity bombs + a short range ASM euphemistically called Air Launched Article for N delivery. Pak's messaging was meant to stoke peaceniks within foriegn govts and media.
I think we've has this debate plenty of times in the past . I'm not going to fetch those posts once again. The SFC has 40 MKIs under its command . The initial lot of MKIs retrofitted to carry the Brahmos were also 40 nos. You connect the dots.
Imvho, this could be part of CBMs negotiated between the two govts, just as there is a moratorium on the use of firearms along the border areas.
I sincerely hope you're not joking.
 
Get with reality, this is nothing like Iraq, Iran's nuclear weapons program is clear and indisputable. You don't enrich Uranium to >60% and build sites 100m underground for a civilian nuclear program.

They have had that for years. This war has nothing to do with Iran possessing what they have had for years.

This is an ideological war between Iran and Israel, and the Americans were roped in. And the Americans had to give nukes as a reason to justify intervention, the same way they did in Iraq.

America should be invading North Korea instead. Or even Pakistan.
 
A lot of their production is already within range of fighters carrying CMs, like SCALP and Brahmos.

Dunno why there's this intense focus on long range missiles to hit production just to halt it for a few years, which is of little military value to India.

Attacking energy and production only makes sense if the goal is to consistently degrade a nation with the aim of conquering it eventually or helping somone else take over, a regime change. If all we are gonna do is fight a single war for a short time, production becomes irrelevant.

Our goal in Tibet will be to isolate the PLA on the plateau, so we need to hit logistics, comms, and HQs, alongside bases, assembly areas, and weapons/fuel depots. So the bulk of our focus will be within a 500 km range.

The Chinese are in the same boat. They will want to finish things quickly, so there's no point in escalating things by hitting India's energy and production.

Long war changes things, but it depends on how long this long war is. Russia started hitting Ukraine's civil energy infra almost 8 months after it began. Even with the goal of demilitarization, they took 9 months before they started hitting Ukraine's military production. Basically, when they realized it was going to be a very long war of attrition lasting many years.

So both China and India will hit each other's civilian, dual-use, and military production only if the war is expected to last many years. A short war, less than a year, will stay at the border.
China is not stupid enough to launch a multi year war over some barren land.
 
China is not stupid enough to launch a multi year war over some barren land.

The ignominy of defeat hangs over their necks like a guillotine.

They politically can't stop fighting if they start losing too badly. So if we are winning, we will have to take measured steps that gives them enough room for an off-ramp.

But yeah, as long as we are sensible, it won't go into a multi-year slugfest.

Everybody is talking about missiles, but we cannot afford the bill for the war itself. Even a 90-day war will cost us well over $200B, not counting the post-war capital expenditure for compensation, replacement, and reconstruction.

Anyway, I'm no longer worried about a short-term China threat. Whatever advantage the Chinese had in 2020 has disappeared, and since then they have created no new advantages for themselves. One of the biggest indicators is their lack of investment in airbase infrastructure in Tibet, which shows they have no interest in bothering us for many years.

Russia's ridiculously rapid militarization is the new threat they are facing now. This went entirely beyond their calculations. Yours truly predicted this many years ago and it's being played out in 4K. And the next one up is Japan's upcoming militarization.
 
It wasn't inducted although the prototyping & development was completed more than a decade ago IIRC for reasons given

Orders for Pralay have been placed. It will likely form the core of IRF along with Brahmos ER variants, atleast until LRLACM and other progs are ready.

Moreover just coz the IAF can cover every corner of Paxtan doesn't mean we actually deploy the IAF to every corner. It's always good to have alternatives.

The IAF has been stocking up on SOWs like Crystal Maze-2 and Ice Breaker. As seen in Op Sindoor, incursions into enemy airspace during future conflicts will likely be very shallow - if required.

I think we've has this debate plenty of times in the past . I'm not going to fetch those posts once again. The SFC has 40 MKIs under its command . The initial lot of MKIs retrofitted to carry the Brahmos were also 40 nos. You connect the dots.

With its ~300kg whd, Brahmos is likely n capable. But there are no indications it has been adapted for the role. Besides, Brahmos is only ~70% indigenized after all these years. This makes it subject to supply chain risks and end use restrictions by foriegn govts.

Imo, the IAF would prefer a fully indigenous weapons system for strategic use.

It wasn't inducted although the prototyping & development was completed more than a decade ago IIRC for reasons given. Moreover just coz the IAF can cover every corner of Paxtan doesn't mean we actually deploy the IAF to every corner. It's always good to have alternatives.

When have our lot not been bean counters ?

I think we've has this debate plenty of times in the past . I'm not going to fetch those posts once again. The SFC has 40 MKIs under its command . The initial lot of MKIs retrofitted to carry the Brahmos were also 40 nos. You connect the dots.

I sincerely hope you're not joking.

Waehead discrimination is a problem for even the most advanced missile defence systems. The Chinese are reportedly moving towards a 'launch on warning' strategic early warning network with Russian help.


This will upset the strategic balance for India. So clear differentiation between nuke and tactical systems is no longer an option.
 
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They seem to be accepting barter or known crypto.


Iran is reportedly imposing transit fees of up to $2 million on select tankers passing through the Strait of Hormuz, in what officials describe as part of a new “sovereign” approach to controlling the strategic waterway. The move appears to coincide with heightened tensions with the U.S., including warnings from President Donald Trump over possible strikes on Iranian infrastructure.
 
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The Difference between Iran and Pakistan is that Pakistan always wants to AVOID A Land War ie they don't want INDIAN ARMY to enter Pakistan

Because when that happens Pakistan will loose soldiers and territory and that will Finish off their Rule over Pakistanis

Iran knows there is no chance of a Ground Invasion

So the regime will continue even if the whole country is left in Ruins

Just 50 Strikes by India and Pakistan Was on its Knees for a Ceasefire

 
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Amos Yadlin has spent his life defending the State of Israel - first as a fighter pilot in the Israeli Air Force, later as deputy commander of the Israeli Air Force, and then as head of intelligence for the IDF - and now as a respected strategic thinker in Israel.

Amos Yadlin was one of eight F-16 pilots who destroyed Iraq's nuclear reactor in 1981.
From 2006 to 2010, he helped oversee the 2007 Israeli strike that eliminated Syria’s covert nuclear facility and was head of military intelligence for the IDF during the cyber operations later revealed as Stuxnet in 2008. He now heads Mind Israel, a national security and strategic think tank.

This is a pivotal moment for the Middle East as the United States and Israel’s attack against Iran continues in its second week.

With consequences for Iran, its government and people, the future of the Middle East, and the world - including critical oil prices and the global economy.

We will talk about all things Iranian war, including the status on the ground, regime change, how the war ends, oil prices, its impact on the global economy, U.S. politics, global alliances, and great power rivalry.

Very interesting interview about what are the expectations of Israel from this war from Amos Yadlin interviewed by Charlie Rose.

Do bear in mind a few facts - Yadlin is ex Head of MI - IDF hence his views would be partisan & that this interview was recorded on 11th March , that's nearly a fortnight ago.
 
They have had that for years. This war has nothing to do with Iran possessing what they have had for years.
Years means they are getting close. Are you trying to claim there is no program?
This is an ideological war between Iran and Israel, and the Americans were roped in. And the Americans had to give nukes as a reason to justify intervention, the same way they did in Iraq.

America should be invading North Korea instead. Or even Pakistan.
Garbage. If Iran didn't have a nuclear program, didn't back terrorists and launch BMs at neighbours, it would be just another Cuba and it would be left alone.

NK is far enough away for it not to be as big a problem and whilst Kim is an asshat, he is not as mentally unstable as the Iranian regime, hasn't supported anywhere near as much terrorism, or launched BMs at neighbours.
 
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There snippets floating around that certain parts of Asia will remain unaffected by the crisis in the Persian Gulf. This does not seem to hold up when looking at reports being published by business outlets. JP, CN, and SK are all looking at measures to reduce exposure and ensure that the society at large remains insulated.



 
If this does happen, the USN might need to lean on NATO to provide minesweeping vessels. The scale of Iran's mine laying capacity at this juncture is not entirely known as several boats have been targeted by the USAF.


Iran said on Monday it will lay mines across the entire Persian Gulf if the US goes ahead with plans to attack the country’s coasts or islands.

Washington is said to be considering a blockade or occupation of Kharg Island - Iran’s main oil export hub - to pressure Tehran into reopening the Strait of Hormuz, according to Axios.

But Iran’s Defence Council warned on Monday that “any attempt to attack Iran’s coasts or islands will cause all access routes in the Gulf ... to be mined”, casting the entire region into disarray.

Sustained Iranian attacks have already effectively closed the Strait of Hormuz, which carries a fifth of global oil and liquefied natural gas, causing the worst oil crisis since the 1970s.

Keir Starmer spoke with Donald Trump on Sunday about the pressing need to open the strait, after the US president threatened to “obliterate” Iran’s power network if it fails to reopen the vital waterway by Monday night.