Chinese Wuhan Virus Thread

I was just thinking.. Now that substantial resumption of economic activity is a long way off.. and Rapid blood serum kits have started arriving... Mumbai Government should start testing migrants in camps, with Rapid test kits.. this would give an approximate idea of infection among the migrants.. Then move the negative ones in batches by train to UP Bihar, and then home quarantine them there.. This would reduce their suffering.. and also the risk of infection.. Also, these people would be able to work during the harvest season in their village.. and the burden on BMC would reduce..
Was thinking same, government should start picking up workers from home via bus. We are in for a long ride. App can be used to get approximate data along with police.

The pilot of picking them up from Kota is already done, can be used at large scale. Once in village they won't have much problem, at least not for food otherwise by 3rd May government maybe forced to let the transport resume and people go back to their homes and lockdown again. It will not be controlled and will damage significantly.

Google can be reached to get location data of clusters as well as telecoms to know how many migrated and to where to provide more data to local admin for relief work.

We have enough food for maybe an year or more, once in the village the cost of living goes down drastically as you won't even need LPG to cook food. Fair price shops are already distributing rations.

For this to work government must act now otherwise it will be too late.
 
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A sudden spurt of more than 2000 cases. If this is the state of affairs after 26 days of lockdown, I wonder how soon would we be able to get back to normal.
It was 16, 365 positive tests as per ICMR yesterday 9 pm.. MOH says 14,792 positive individuals at 5 pm.. yesterday.. first time that so much difference in positive cases.. Either it is one off.. Or I feel, that as recently, Molbio rapid PCR tests are used as screening tests.. with positive ones being confirmed by conventional PCR.. there might have been double counting of positive cases..
 
UP is on edge, we may fall in coming days :(

Yogi's sycophants were actually fully prepared to open after 14th April, one even notified before PM addresses to open certain sector, later took it back. Now they were gearing up to open most after 20th April. Yesterday's number took the gas out of their inflated balloons. Too much eagerness to show "model" will tank UP and with that India.

Repeatedly case after case is coming where patient is found positive days after the death. Eagerness to declare district Corona free is mind boggling. New districts are getting infected. If these people remain so elusive of reality on ground even god won't be able to save us.

To "save" the economy we are going to lose both the people and economy as it's going to get very ugly here and could take months if not years to get things in control.
 
It was 16, 365 positive tests as per ICMR yesterday 9 pm.. MOH says 14,792 positive individuals at 5 pm.. yesterday.. first time that so much difference in positive cases.. Either it is one off.. Or I feel, that as recently, Molbio rapid PCR tests are used as screening tests.. with positive ones being confirmed by conventional PCR.. there might have been double counting of positive cases..
This is exactly why I was not in favour of 10 different official sources of numbers. One is states, another one is a medical research council and yet another one a ministry. It was bound to happen. They should start reporting from ONE single outlet. One of these folks should take the responsibility of consolidating add the numbers and sharing it. It cann't be that hard. Even morons like Pakistan are doing it : COVID-19 Health Advisory Platform by Ministry of National Health Services Regulations and Coordination .
 
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Sweden Says Controversial Covid-19 Strategy Is Proving Effective
By: Niclas Rolander | April 19, 2020, 8:37 AM EDT
When and How Will the Coronavirus Pandemic End?

Sweden’s unusual approach to fighting the coronavirus pandemic is starting to yield results, according to the country’s top epidemiologist.

Anders Tegnell, the architect behind Sweden’s relatively relaxed response to Covid-19, told local media the latest figures on infection rates and fatalities indicate the situation is starting to stabilize.

“We’re on a sort of plateau,” Tegnell told Swedish news agency TT.


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Anders Tegnell | Photographer: Jonathan Nackstrand/AFP via Getty Images​

Sweden has left its schools, gyms, cafes, bars and restaurants open throughout the spread of the pandemic. Instead, the government has urged citizens to act responsibly and follow social distancing guidelines.

The spread of Covid-19 across the globe is triggering different responses across national and even state borders, as authorities struggle to contain an outbreak about which much remains unknown.

It’s unclear which strategy will ultimately prove most effective, and even experts in Sweden warn it’s too early to draw conclusions. But given the huge economic damage caused by strict lockdowns, the Swedish approach has drawn considerable interest around the world.

Part of that approach relies on having access to one of the world’s best-functioning health-care systems. At no stage did Sweden see a real shortage of medical equipment or hospital capacity, and tents set up as emergency care facilities around the country have mostly remained empty.

Death Rates
As of Sunday, Sweden had reported 1,540 deaths tied to Covid-19, an increase of 29 from Saturday. That’s considerably more than in the rest of Scandinavia, but much less than in Italy, Spain and the U.K., both in absolute and relative terms.

Tegnell isn’t the only high-level official in Sweden to claim the country may be over the worst.

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“The trend we have seen in recent days, with a more flat curve -- where we have many new cases, but not a daily increase -- is stabilizing,” Karin Tegmark Wisell, head of the microbiology department at Sweden’s Public Health Authority, said on Friday. “We are seeing the same pattern for patients in intensive care.”

Just two weeks ago, the picture was considerably bleaker, and Prime Minister Stefan Lofven suggested the government may need to review its approach amid the prospect of thousands of Swedish deaths. But Lofven’s personal popularity has soared, suggesting Swedes approve of his decisions.

“I have very high confidence in the Swedish authorities that manage this,” Volvo Cars CEO Hakan Samuelsson said in a phone interview. “It’s a hard balance to strike, but I have full confidence in the measures that Sweden has taken.”

Volvo, which was forced to halt production across Europe and furlough about 20,000 Swedish employees, will resume production at its Swedish plants on Monday.

“Our measures are all based on individuals taking responsibility, and that is also an important part of the Swedish model,” Samuelsson said.

The Economy
Sweden’s Covid-19 strategy may ultimately result in a smaller -- albeit historically deep -- economic contraction than the rest of Europe is now facing, according to HSBC Global Research economist James Pomeroy.

“While Sweden’s unwillingness to lock down the country could ultimately prove to be ill-judged, for now, if the infection curve flattens out soon, the economy could be better placed to rebound,” he said.

Pomeroy pointed to some Swedish characteristics that may be helping the country deal with the current crisis. More than half of Swedish households are single-person, making social distancing easier to carry out. More people work from home than anywhere else in Europe, and everyone has access to fast Internet, which helps large chunks of the workforce stay productive away from the office.

And while many other countries have introduced strict laws, including hefty fines if people are caught breaching newly minted social-distancing laws, Swedes appear to be following such guidelines without the need for legislation. Trips from Stockholm to Gotland -- a popular vacation destination -- dropped by 96% over the Easter weekend, according to data from the country’s largest mobile operator, Telia Company. And online service Citymapper’s statistics indicate an almost 75% drop in mobility in the capital.

Sweden also recently pushed back against the notion that there’s little to no social distancing going on.

“We don’t have a radically different view,” Foreign Minister Ann Linde said in an interview with Radio Sweden. “The government has made a series of decisions that affect the whole society. It’s a myth that life goes on as normal in Sweden.”

Source: Bloomberg News