US - Israel - Iran War

[CATS @hunter]

You know, looking at the fact that 2 US pilots went down well inside Iran and they landed a flying circus inside Iran to rescue them, followed by another flying circus when stuff went wrong with aircraft in first lot, but were still able to get both pilots out without the IRGC being able to capitalise on it, I have to ask just how well the IRGC would do in the event of an invasion?

https://twitter.com/x/status/2085389228381233428

Now this is interesting. In light of my first paragraph, please see where these countries are located relative to Iran.

https://twitter.com/x/status/2085682448550052338

View attachment 53407

This countries ain't doing shit if Iran attacks,
The saudis don't know how to fight, they have wasted patriot's against shaheed drones how incompetence you have be to fire 8 PAC missiles to bring down a single drone, the Greeks and other countries are protecting Thier asses, all pakistan does is big talks they ain't doing anything against Iran, the regime is highly unpopular, they are taking big causality on daily basis in Balochistan & KPK, huge protest in POK, shia population are already discriminated in pakistan, gilgit & balitistan is predominantly shia population, Shia in South Asia have Thier weird love for the shia regime in Iran, once pakistan takes any action against Iran they will loose the footholds in gilgit balitistan & pok,
Also Iran huge cache of atgms rounds, and surely they can get Thier hands on manpads, pakistan already fighting a deadly militancy in west provinces, if bla & ttp get atgms & manpads & drones supply, the pakistan army will end up fighting in urban centres,
And for turkey what are the really gonna do, the opinions in country will divided, erdogan came up with promise that he will fight the isareli but instead he will look like he is helping them, if the erdogan regime supporter would have hard time defending the actions,

The only scenerio it will work out for them is against the houthis in Yemen,

 

[BMD]

This countries ain't doing shit if Iran attacks,
The saudis don't know how to fight, they have wasted patriot's against shaheed drones how incompetence you have be to fire 8 PAC missiles to bring down a single drone, the Greeks and other countries are protecting Thier asses, all pakistan does is big talks they ain't doing anything against Iran, the regime is highly unpopular, they are taking big causality on daily basis in Balochistan & KPK, huge protest in POK, shia population are already discriminated in pakistan, gilgit & balitistan is predominantly shia population, Shia in South Asia have Thier weird love for the shia regime in Iran, once pakistan takes any action against Iran they will loose the footholds in gilgit balitistan & pok,
Also Iran huge cache of atgms rounds, and surely they can get Thier hands on manpads, pakistan already fighting a deadly militancy in west provinces, if bla & ttp get atgms & manpads & drones supply, the pakistan army will end up fighting in urban centres,
And for turkey what are the really gonna do, the opinions in country will divided, erdogan came up with promise that he will fight the isareli but instead he will look like he is helping them, if the erdogan regime supporter would have hard time defending the actions,

The only scenerio it will work out for them is against the houthis in Yemen,

Where's the evidence of 8 patriots used against a single drone please. Reputable site please, original source, not faux news sites.

Lots of other assertions with no evidence. If all 3 countries did invade they would have US airpower supporting them and US intel co-ordinating them. And whilst Iran can do long-range strikes, if could capture two downed airmen and a circus was able to land inside their country without them doing anything. Good luck using an ATGM with a bunch of drones about.

If you remove the IRGC, Hezbollah and the Houthis will go by themselves, since they are branches of the same poison tree.

 

[BMD]

Completely different situations you are equating a rescue missions with a literal invasion,
Invasion needs large ground force build up, creating several logistics nodes, & transport routes,

They are completely different situations, dealing with one small enemy landing/invasion, is way way simpler than dealing with a large one.

Which can come under regular iranian ballastic missile & drones strikes, which are not fully suprresed yet,

Build redundancy. Those 3 countries can be supplied extrenally too.

Also Iran has the Caspian sea advantage where russia can supply the machinery & drones to them and also have the other routes, same with china they can supply it through Afghanistan, also the intelligence through Thier space assets,

You mean teh Caspian Sea disadvantage since Ukraine has already blown up ships transporting weapons from Russia to Iran and Iran is too scared of Ukranian drone and cruise missile attacks on their infrastructure to respond. They can also come across the Capsian Sea.

Any invasion of iran would require strong Allies who are determined to fight to the core, and gulf countries are first to run away, the taco guy has already burned the bridges with it's nato members by insulting them, not consulting them prior to attacks, also threatening them,

There's a lot of resentment inside Iran against the IRGC to build on. Many would like them gone.

Also they need to build up the inventory at large scale, they easily could have partnerd with Thier Allies for the production line of air defence & SOW and other supply chains, which could have easily increase the stockpiles at faster rate, they had mbda, rhienmetal, Hyundai, mitsubishi, and other industries, who would have loved to helping if they offered money,

Inventory is only a problem until Iran's underground bases have been captured.

If the USA don't want massive casualties then they should follow scorched Earth policy burn down everything, flatten every structure, kill everything that moves, not a easy decision or action to carry out but certainly it will reduce the causality rate and leave the enemy with two choices let your ppl die or surrender

That's an option to an extent. At the moment the US is content to sit on the blockade and wait for Iran's economy to collapse.

 

[CATS @hunter]

You mean teh Caspian Sea disadvantage since Ukraine has already blown up ships transporting weapons from Russia to Iran and Iran is too scared of Ukranian drone and cruise missile attacks on their infrastructure to respond. They can also come across the Capsian Sea.

Iran isn't tho, Iran is facing bigger adversary here far bigger than ukraine, also there are other routes for them one through Afghanistan

There's a lot of resentment inside Iran against the IRGC to build on. Many would like them gone

Sure there are many resentment but the way the USA is conducting operation and having been killed little girls, isn't doing them any favour to begin with,

Sooner or later the iranian will definitely fire missile, the longer the USA gives them time the quicker They get resupplied, they will fire if the blockade goes for more than two weeks, also they are waiting for midterm elections,

 

[CATS @hunter]

If all 3 countries did invade they would have US airpower supporting them and US intel co-ordinating them. And whilst Iran can do long-range strikes, if could capture two downed airmen and a circus was able to land inside their country without them doing anything. Good luck using an ATGM with a bunch of drones about.

They ain't doing shit, none of three countries has capabilities, the saudis don't know how to fight, the moment the Pakistanis try to invade they are doomed, they are having troubles to fight the bla & ttp they ain't fighting the IRGC if they do the entire pok, gilgit and balitistan will slip through Thier hands, pakistan is already divided into half due to Thier genocidal actions, theres a insurgency in Balochistan, KPK already, and there will be insergency in Sindh, pok and gilgit balitistan, how's pakistan gonna fight insergency in every province,
And what incentives does turkey will get, they literally have zero interest or gain fighting against Iran,
It's the Saudi who are threatening the USA to don't attack Iran, even if Thier Life depends on it they can't fight, that's why the are singing deals to deal with houthis,
And isareli attack on qatar made them realise they are nobody

 

[BMD]

They ain't doing shit, none of three countries has capabilities, the saudis don't know how to fight, the moment the Pakistanis try to invade they are doomed, they are having troubles to fight the bla & ttp they ain't fighting the IRGC if they do the entire pok, gilgit and balitistan will slip through Thier hands, pakistan is already divided into half due to Thier genocidal actions, theres a insurgency in Balochistan, KPK already, and there will be insergency in Sindh, pok and gilgit balitistan, how's pakistan gonna fight insergency in every province,
And what incentives does turkey will get, they literally have zero interest or gain fighting against Iran,
It's the Saudi who are threatening the USA to don't attack Iran, even if Thier Life depends on it they can't fight, that's why the are singing deals to deal with houthis,
And isareli attack on qatar made them realise they are nobody

Massive assumptions. How do you know the IRGC know how to fight? Practice shooting unarmed protestors?

Freeing up the strait is in everyone's interest, that's what you're missing. All these countries have had vessels hit, iran has made a lot of enemies. Pro-Iranian militias also oppose Turkish groups in several areas.

 

[BMD]

Iran isn't tho, Iran is facing bigger adversary here far bigger than ukraine, also there are other routes for them one through Afghanistan

Good luck with that, the Taliban have also had problems with Iran. They're not on best of terms due to a certain dam.

Sure there are many resentment but the way the USA is conducting operation and having been killed little girls, isn't doing them any favour to begin with,

The school that was inside an IRGC compound you mean? With IRGC children in it. Iran has more internal instability due to having executed ~50,000 people this year. Most non-IRGC don't give a shit that their school was hit.

Sooner or later the iranian will definitely fire missile, the longer the USA gives them time the quicker They get resupplied, they will fire if the blockade goes for more than two weeks, also they are waiting for midterm elections,

US will respond symmetrically.