Operation Sindoor: Aftermath

Chatter suggests increased probability of an event going Kinetic in coming 2-3 months.

Instead of a pinch take it with a spoonful of salt. 9/10 times the balloon deflates before the kickoff hour.

No one can credibly say this is the 1/10 time. But if it goes ahead, its going to be a very entertaining Winter.

Entirely depends on the level of “push” Pakistan gets from its OG father. War means sh*t for Pakistan — but it’s a great tool in the hand of Trump to tighten the screws on Indian economy. I believe that’s the play. Pakistan has to make its move while Trump is in office, there are no two ways about it.
 
Pakistan has to make its move while Trump is in office, there are no two ways about it.
That's not necessarily true. It can make a move whenever an opportunity presents itself irrespective of the administration. Let's see what DJT does in South America. It will give us a clue on how things are shaping up in geopolitics.
 
That's not necessarily true. It can make a move whenever an opportunity presents itself irrespective of the administration. Let's see what DJT does in South America. It will give us a clue on how things are shaping up in geopolitics.

Disagree. The moment the next Prez comes in, a huge wave of “repair effort” will begin with the hope of trying to salvage whatever possible given the damage that Trump has done. Trump will want to use Pak like a stick to hurt India, and Pakistan likes being “used” — that’s the perfect combo in place right now.
 
Disagree. The moment the next Prez comes in, a huge wave of “repair effort” will begin with the hope of trying to salvage whatever possible given the damage that Trump has done. Trump will want to use Pak like a stick to hurt India, and Pakistan likes being “used” — that’s the perfect combo in place right now.
That's a reasonable take. However, the stakes in the next engagement are higher. Coming to India with respect to negotiations, Pakistan is not the only option on the table. There are plenty of tactics that can be utilised. Kinetic action leading to direct confrontation no matter how controlled can lead to an escalation that's unnecessary. I am not saying that a conflict is impossible. However, the chances seem less. This is especially since during winter higher altitude warfare is a pain. If it does happen, it will happen during the coming weeks. Let's see what happens.
 
That's a reasonable take. However, the stakes in the next engagement are higher. Coming to India with respect to negotiations, Pakistan is not the only option on the table. There are plenty of tactics that can be utilised. Kinetic action leading to direct confrontation no matter how controlled can lead to an escalation that's unnecessary. I am not saying that a conflict is impossible. However, the chances seem less. This is especially since during winter higher altitude warfare is a pain. If it does happen, it will happen during the coming weeks. Let's see what happens.

Agree on the other available tactics. They will mostly likely be employed in parallel. If situation goes kinetic is not 100% sure, but I don’t think winter will be a problem. Pakistan is not looking to come inside India to occupy land - they are trying to prevent India from going into Pakistan. To be very honest, I don’t think land grab is India’s thing — what Pakistan really wants to (and perhaps needs to) do is inflict visible damage on Indian infrastructure be it military or civilian, something that they have show for their efforts (unlike what happened during Sindoor) . They are banking on US to prevent India from retaliating massively against Pakistan, which they can then peddle as a win (like always, no surprises there). What I understand from the stuff doing rounds is that Munir is under a lot of pressure from their Jihadi affiliates and military officials as well to avenge what India did to them.

If the above happens, Indian response will also employ SOWs, heavier and higher concentrations I suppose but our Army won’t go deep into Pakistan, as, if India tries doing this (incursions ), then Winter will create serious problems.
 
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If the above happens, Indian response will also employ SOWs, heavier and higher concentrations I suppose
There in lies the issue. India has more options available and more bandwidth in terms of SOWs. If India retaliates via non-aerial options, to be honest, it would end up causing significant damage to PA infrastructure. The message that was to be conveyed would be lost.
They are banking on US to prevent India from retaliating massively against Pakistan, which they can then peddle as a win (like always, no surprises there).
If PM Modi does end up buckling under pressure ie., soft retaliation and an abrupt ending, the government is looking at a complete PR and political failure. It would be a disaster. I think the govt. is well aware of this aspect.
 
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Disagree. The moment the next Prez comes in, a huge wave of “repair effort” will begin with the hope of trying to salvage whatever possible given the damage that Trump has done. Trump will want to use Pak like a stick to hurt India, and Pakistan likes being “used” — that’s the perfect combo in place right now.


I just want to bring notice to a fact that no matter the president who comes next.. they won't change FP abruptly. It's naive to think that democrats aren't on the ins of what's going at the white House. They have been doing it for more than a century now. Yes, there are some difference in their approach. But, behind the scenes.. they won't reprimand Pakistani or dial down bonhomie initiated with trump unless trump himself dumps them before going or any event happens.

Trump seems kinda egoist leading to bordering on desperate need to hurt indian economy. I bet the only thing stopping him from going full ballistic is the state apparatus, not the white House.
 
If India retaliates via non-aerial options, to be honest, it would end up causing significant damage to PA infrastructure. The message that was to be conveyed would be lost.

Before that government must evacuate citizens at the border so that the opposition doesn't open artillery on them like last time in Poonch.
 
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Op Sindoor is not really over .... Knowing Pakistanis, they will act stupid..... Just matter of time.... Especially post their new lover trump and brother MBS, they will get excited and act funny......

Next time ( if there one) things will go further south, and we will take hits unlike last time, but what happens to few cantts and ABs in Pakistan would be beyond your imagination.....
 
Op Sindoor is not really over .... Knowing Pakistanis, they will act stupid..... Just matter of time.... Especially post their new lover trump and brother MBS, they will get excited and act funny......

Next time ( if there one) things will go further south, and we will take hits unlike last time, but what happens to few cantts and ABs in Pakistan would be beyond your imagination.....
The way RAW outclassed CIA in Nepal, now Pakistan is going to be the borrowed hand of USA. 28th Oct or around that.
 
Op Sindoor is not really over .... Knowing Pakistanis, they will act stupid..... Just matter of time.... Especially post their new lover trump and brother MBS, they will get excited and act funny......

Next time ( if there one) things will go further south, and we will take hits unlike last time, but what happens to few cantts and ABs in Pakistan would be beyond your imagination.....
I doubt they'll do anything stupid now, their motive for Pahalgam was to improve the image of their military dictatorship among the common people who had villainised them for the "democratic coup" against Imran Khan. During this op they've lost a lot of high value assets that has created a significant hole in their war fighting and defence capabilities and will take years at least to replenish.
 
I doubt they'll do anything stupid now, their motive for Pahalgam was to improve the image of their military dictatorship among the common people who had villainised them for the "democratic coup" against Imran Khan. During this op they've lost a lot of high value assets that has created a significant hole in their war fighting and defence capabilities and will take years at least to replenish.
They had acheived the objective in that case. In front of Pakistani public & media, they had won the conflic. If thaat the case op sinfoor should cement the position of current Pakistan regime & that jehadi Munir.