Yeah,
@randomradio, thanks for the reply. What you're saying is completely valid. Not a single disagreement there, R&D is happening behind the scenes while the programs wait for funds and approval.
(Just an overburdened student here, if I've got stuff wrong, cut me some slack, and feel free to correct me)
But the point is, the FICV plan was drawn up in
2009. They wanted the vehicles to replace BMP-2s by the early 2020s. We're in 2023, and there's no word on the final timeline.
The MRFA dates back to
2007. Again, we're in 2023. Even if the contracts were to be signed tonight, the planes won't get built until 2028 at the earliest. Oh, and the more orders Dassault gets, the less likely they'll be to negotiate.
Are you sure we're missing
some submarines? If you take the big naval powers in Asia (China, Japan, South Korea, India, USA), we've got the smallest submarine fleet. And we've got the slowest projected growth in our submarine fleet among these powers as well. And for the next 10 years, the gap is only set to grow.
See, you talk of
Scorpenes with AIP plugs. The Koreans (a significantly larger, heavier submarine, going by the recent underdevelopment-VLS specs) and the Japanese (a new VLS-equipped submarine) are designing whole new classes of submarines while building what are brand-new classes of submarines (KSS-3 Batch 2-, and Taigei-class, respectively). Where does that leave India?
Of course, the entire PLAN isn't gonna show up in the IOR, but is our projected growth enough? Especially if you take into account our rather nascent naval shipbuilding abilities. I mean, is our construction cadence permissible for further development of the naval MIC? Take destroyers, the Koreans build theirs in 3 years, and the Japanese and the Americans build theirs in 3-5 years (for the US, varies between HII and BIW), the Chinese take 3-6 years at most. India takes 6-8 years at least.
Edit: If the Navy's comments about taking 5 years to decide the timeline (i guess they mean plan?) for the NGD is true, we'll see the NGD by 2036 at the earliest, 2040 if we're being realistic. How many destroyers are the Koreans building? 9+ (3 Jeongjos, 6 KDDXs, 1-2 KDDX-Ss), the Americans will be at double digits for their DDG-51 Flight 3s, and the Chinese have already got more Type-055s than Kolkatas and Vishakhapatnams combined). Even if you were to see the repeat order for the P17As materialize next year (iirc MDL executives expect a 2025-27 timeline), you're not gonna receive the ships by the 2030s.
Its not like I'm tryna troll or anything, just the sheer delays, and the general lack of coherent schedules you see in India's military development is a bit ... concerning.
Genuine question, doesn't that just cause a role reversal in who holds stuff up? Why not go for a unified agency, something like the French DGA or the Korean DAPA? At least to me, it would seem that'll be better than having a DAC that's gotta report to CCS for its budget, and once it receives the budget, to report to the CCS to spend the budget.
Again, not trying to nitpick here, it's a genuine question, but does it not let the PM play favorites?