The Ge-414 and ge-404 deal are far more strategic in nature than buying the f-35's.
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The opposite. Our hands are tied with the F404 for now, but F414 will be entirely manufactured in India. F414 production will allow us to MRO the F404 too.
F-35 will be entirely American dependent. Any system without ToT is a foreign system. Any system with indigenous production is not a threat to supplies depending on the percentage of indigenization.
It would have been viable if it was done earlier. We haven't given a substantial deal to Trump apart from dumb dance shows and cringeworthy theatrics. The reason I was shilling about the f-35 and f-15Ex purchase was because the window was extremely small before the anti-indian deep state took over. I was expecting that until the Trump presidency enough work would have been done to sort out so that we could have the f-15EX and f-35 in mmrca and a G2G deal. Looks like Qatari money did what the deep state couldn't do. We cannot outbid the Qataris, that's a reality. So it's done. Had we already signed the deals chances were that Trump wouldn't have spouted these statements but it's done now. Let's see what happens next. F-35's could be bought but it's chances have reduced from 10% to 1%. And we are better off buying the typhoons for the mmrca.
A fighter jet purchase is a 50-year deal. The president of the time doesn't matter, the Americans have a history of rescinding contracts on a whim. Look at Turkish F-35s. So we can't buy a lot of strategic systems from the US.
But there's plenty of space to buy American weapons and we will buy quite a bit. More Apaches, Chinooks, and Romeos are coming. More UAVs too. Stryker's dead, failed trials, but we may show interest in the P-8Is. There will be interest in future transport aircraft, like a C-17 replacement. Mostly stuff that flies.
What about sub assemblies and parts that need to be imported. The same issues we were experiencing with the al-31.
A lot of the stuff we need from the US is centered around countering China rather than Pakistan. So it's in their interest to maintain normalcy.
What issues with AL-31?
The US has already occupied St Martin's Island off BD. They're creating a corridor connecting the Rakhine on the coast to the Kachin state in NE Myanmar neighbouring the Yunnan province in China.
It's basically the modern version of the old WW-2 Stilwell Road . The entire situation on our eastern flank is so murky you just can't tell who's with who these days. Yesterday's enemies become today's allies only to become enemies once again tomorrow.
Bangladesh Army to lead US-backed clandestine operations in Myanmar’s Rakhine State
At least three divisions of the Bangladesh Army will be involved in providing supplies, logistics and other tactical support to
nenews.in
USAF team in Dhaka may have been based out of Al Udeid air base in Qatar
A four-member advance team of United States Air Force (USAF), sent to Dhaka ahead of the arrival of “heavy cargo”
nenews.in
EXCLUSIVE: Four-member US Air Force team lands in Dhaka ahead of arrival of ‘heavy cargo’
In a development that indicates that the United States military will play a very critical role in any future military
nenews.in
Apparently the BD army is vertically split on this issue of basing the Americans to sabotage the Tatmadaw & eventually the Chinese. And the Chinese aren't going to sit back either.
Follow this publication for more information on the NE & that part of the world that you're unlikely to come across on MSM or even SM.
That is Victoria Nuland's handiwork. Don't know if Biden can be blamed because he was just a rubber stamp anyway. We cannot counter this through open confrontation but by carefully leveraging our strengths. The US knows it will need us for MRO/OTR of its naval forces if and when China decides to move against Taiwan. Trump is our best bet if we want to ensure the BD/MN situation does not spiral out control.
Int'l relations are all about quid pro quo. For example, we tipped off the current BD Army Chief which gives us a certain leverage to be used when the time is right. Likewise, by arming the MN junta (despite EU sanctions) and providing food aid, we have earned some brownie points with them. So we're playing our cards well. All we need to do is manage Trump, even if it means making concessions on issues like trade and immigration.
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We should . US will dictate ME,note the otherway around.
With all due respect, there is almost 0% chance of either happening. I'm smelling a panic Su57 grab moment J35 lands in Pakistan or concerted focus on more advanced sensors and anti stealth detection capabilities.
There's a context to the US meddling there though. Initially they wanted to turn the Quad into a NATO like alliance. The only hold our was India.
The idea was to use India as a base for operations to open up a second front against China if need be.
Since India declined & Nepal couldn't be approached independent of India for such operations they decided on a sub optimal solution - Bangladesh.
We saw what happened there so now comes an even more sub optimal solution - Myanmar.
IMO we shouldn't do anything except keep a close eye on the unfolding situation there. The US's first target here isn't the Tatmadaw , it's the CCP. The Tatmadaw is only a hinderance .
If they don't interfere in the US operation the US would be most happy to leave them alone. I suspect that's exactly what the Tatmadaw will do. In any case their hold over the north of Myanmar is extremely tenuous as this recent map below shows -
In case the CCP goads them they may make an attempt to take on the US & the guerrilla forces there fighting on behalf of the US but it'd be more of shadow boxing TBH.
We should emulate the Tatmadaw & keep quiet while increasing our vigilance there. The US is there to open up a second front in Yunnan. That's exactly the province we'd be facing the brunt of the Chinese attack from as opposed to Tibet & Xinjiang.
A US base there even if it doesn't house something like the F-35 but say a Patriot or THAAD battery with appropriate radars will be an enormous headache for the PLAAF.
This can actually be beneficial to us since we lack the wherewithal to intervene directly in Myanmar especially if we don't want to attract all kinds of negative attention including from the CCP itself.
Our problems along with the Tatmadaw with the US presence there will arise after the Chinese problem has been firmly dealt with but by that time it'd be a completely different world.
Never underestimate what Russkis make.
US presence there will check China now and then when India becomes strong they will use it to check India
The US is investing heavily in fortifying Guam with new A2/AD. But they are hedging their bets by adopting a rapid dispersal strategy which explains their need for alternate bases in BD, et all.
Historically, India has steered clear of formal military alliances, (even during the peak of 1971 war with a US CBG parked on our doorstep) as a non-aligned nation.
With or without Shaikh Hasina, BD will most likely refuse to host the US on its soil because of Chinese sensitivities. They have no choice. BD owes billions in debt to them. The US wouldn't want to bail out the Chinese via IMF loans to BD either as they've made clear in the past. BD society is too radicalized to accept a US presence there.
Unless Trump resets ties with MN on the lines of that Syrian ex-terrorist turned political leader, they have no chance of establishing a foothold on the subcontinent imo.
We won't be a threat to us in a world where china is existing.Never underestimate what Russkis make.
US presence there will check China now and then when India becomes strong they will use it to check India
There's a tug of war going on between the BD armed forces senior echelons on one side & the "Chief Advisor " & his "NSA" on the other side .
However there are developments taking place in parallel which suggests things to be moving ahead like the US desires.
EXCLUSIVE: Bangladesh Army to use Silkhali-Naikhongchari route for supplies to Arkan Army
The Bangladesh Army’s Directorate General of Military Operations has identified a 64-km circuitous route between Silkhali and Naikhongchari, which is
nenews.in
You forget, that BD is cash strapped. While they may owe money to China, there's no way they can divert IMF loans to repay China.
The IMF is well geared to tackle this aspect by ensuring BD submits a plan upfront on what do they propose to spend this loan on followed by strict supervision of the way the loan amount is handled by BD.
They've plenty of experience in this regard. Paxtan is a good case in point.
The Tatmadaw isn't needed at this point. They can also be bought off if need be . Moreover the reason the route from the Rakhine state passing thru the Chin state , the Bmar dominated PDF fighting for democracy against the Tatmadaw into the Kachin State was chosen is coz two of these 4 regions are held by converts to Evangelical Christianity with an extensive support & financial base in the US, those two ethnic groups being the Chin & the Kachin.
With the Arakan Army in the bag you've 4 groups ready to take on the Tatmadaw in Northern Myanmar. That's a formidable opposition. If there's another army who're a bunch of xutias waging war on their own since independence , while living off the land other than Fauji Foundation, it's the Tatmadaw except they don't interfere in the affairs of their neighbors unlike the former. Hence they're tolerated .
We're truly blessed to be surrounded by sh!tholes on all sides. You name it - from AfPak in the N to NW to Maldives & SL in the South , from Nepal & inconsequential Bhutan on our N NE flank to Myanmar & BD to our E NE. Then there's China, the biggest nuisance.
Nobody here is discussing how to harass China rather we are seeing how unkil is trying to harass you through that region. Read better dear comrade. Our time to harass you has not yet come. Not yet...
I don't even want to watch this kind of video. Who took in the rebellious Kashag government in 1959? It was India. From that moment on, the relationship between China and India had broken down.