Delhi, UP and Haryana : Political Discussions
- Thread starter Guynextdoor
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Now that all the results are out, something very surprising has come out. Nearly every AAP candidate who has won, has won with lower margins compared to 2015 except for the muslim candidates. Even Khujli has had his victory marging halved. Shaheen bagh has only helped muslim candidates in AAP. Even Sisodia has just managed to scrape thru and he was the role model for edcutaion reforms in Delhi. Delhi is so dumb that they voted for a muslim candidate in chandni chowk who was responsible for destroying a Mata mandir last year. It is for this reason I say that we will lose our nation and identity for freebies.
Kejriwal will be a Strong contender for
PM
If Congress does not get 150 seats , it cannot dictate its choice for PM
Mayawati is ruled out because of "Dalit Factor "
PM will need to be Someone who can speak Hindi
So that rules out Stalin , Chandrababu
KCR
It will come down to Either Akhilesh or Kejriwal
It was not as if BJP would have stopped
Freebies , they would also have continued it and in fact BJP govt would have got
More Central aid
Freebies are not bad because if the economy is in a slowdown , It helps in
Giving more money in the hands of the people
Delhi govt finances are far better than other states ie Debt to State GDP ratio
The absence of a strong CM face or candidate helped Kejriwal
Still BJP -- AAP ratio is 70 : 100
ie for 100 AAP Votes , BJP got 70 votes
Congress is FINISHED. As of now, there are a only a handful of bastions left. Ex. The Deshmukhs in Latur constituency.
It is Not the defeat of BJP that is a problem
The opposition is Gloating that It is a defeat of CAA
So the problem is that BJP could not read the voters mind that CAA means NOTHING for Hundreds of millions of
Hindus , It is for a few lakh Hindu refugees
How could BJP expect Consolidation on CAA
CAA IS NOT BALAKOT
No. The share is for every 100 AAP votes, BJP got 78 votes. How much is 40 of 51? You are not adding the vote share of JDU and LJP to BJP vote share even when BJP was in alliance with them. JDU+LJP got another 1.4% votes.
Just read my earlier posts I had stated this very fact when I said now we will have Shaheen Bagh everywhere in India. BJP should have lathi Charged these guys in Shaheen bagh and that would have helped BJP more than what they got by not taking any action.
Shaheen Bagh has become a moral victory for Congress
If they do Lathi Charge now they will look like sore losers
As I understand it , CAA will help in Bengal
Elections because Bengali Hindus are biggest beneficiaries of this
But BJP thought that CAA will cause polarisation in Delhi.
This was.a.serious error of judgement
They could have brought CAA after Delhi polls
Didi has gone underground after her spat with Owaisi. There is some solid plan being chalked out for 2021.
If the TMC aligns with MIM, they'd be signing their own death warrant. Sometimes I deeply suspect your analysis of politics. Even on Delhi you're on about the CAA & BJP's attempts to polarize voters on that basis. The BJP top brass didn't have any issues nor a local leadership to take the fight to the AAP camp. You think Modi & Shah weren't aware they were facing an uphill task unseating AAP in Delhi? You're seriously underestimating their political acumen.
Freebies are naturally attractive. Unless we are rich socitey where shuch small stuff wont matter. And AK has played well on this. Further No delhite would want to see Manoj tiwari as their CM. Sometimes this guy is behaving like a playboy in bigboss and other times his is doing a bhakti song in some temple. He has no personality whatsoever.
@vstol Jockey
If the BJP has to revive it's fortunes in Delhi it has to be a 3 way contest. Their best hope after setting their house in order is to hope Congress rebuilds their party organization. Meanwhile the real jokers in the pack the Commies collectively won less votes than NOTA & they're the ones making the biggest noise. For all those who see JNU as a huge threat to the nation, please pay attention to this pie chart.
Kejriwal, whatever anyone says, is a cunning player in the game. He took two decisions that paid him off
> He and his party workers stayed away from media debates for large part. In fact it seems kejriwal went underground and didn't allow himself or his party to be vilified like Congress.
> He maintained constant radio and banner advertisements throughout the term and not just couple of months before elections.
Even today after winning he gives credit to hanuman chalisa and visiting temples. He realized how close he got to complete annihilation.
Start preparing for next election from day 1.
He's what we call in hindi a "meethi churi"
> He and his party workers stayed away from media debates for large part. In fact it seems kejriwal went underground and didn't allow himself or his party to be vilified like Congress.
> He maintained constant radio and banner advertisements throughout the term and not just couple of months before elections.
Even today after winning he gives credit to hanuman chalisa and visiting temples. He realized how close he got to complete annihilation.
Start preparing for next election from day 1.
He's what we call in hindi a "meethi churi"
In the very begining itself I had stated that congress must get above 10% votes for BJP to win. The combined vote share of BJP+ is 42.1%. I will not call it a flop show by BJP in any manner. The silver lining is that congress is finished all over India and no one will go for an alliance with them now. Tasleem Rahmani of SDPI fought from Okhla and got just 148 votes.
Isn't it like saying for India to win the match Kohli need to score 150?
What was your actual analysis, please quote that. You were giving something around majority to BJP before election, how badly it was off the mark. Then on election day you said very thin margins, somewhere around exit polls you said BJP voter went to vote late so they are wrong. Than something about Fauladi Satta Bazar. Than again after Manoj Tiwari tweet, when other influencers started tweeting BJP will win you again got confidence in BJP win.
Now you are saying I told you congress need to get this much, seriously Man you live in Delhi how come you have no idea about it and get most of your information from tweeter and social media influencers most of whom are clueless and parrot what they read from other whom they consider authority!
Sir ji
I am not a professional political analyst
So I might say things which people find funny
But Still I would have been happier if BJP lost Without bringing CAA
They could have brought CAA now after
Delhi elections
They OVER estimated Hindu consolidation
Hindutva agenda ended with Ram Mandir
And 370
Please go thru all my posts. I never gave majority to BJP I always quoted 38-32 for AAP-BJP. And I had posted three scenerios for BJP to win majority and above 10% votes for congress was one of them.