Chinese Economy : Updates and Discussions

Agree.



Militarily they're not in a comfortable position to do so today else they'd have undertaken something across the LAC not Taiwan. Plus they still have a few yrs to go before things blow up at home .
They were not in a comfortable position in 2020 and India called their bluff. However, they have been working for last 3 years and building up their capacity for a reason. I would expect some action within next 2 years.

Actually things at getting worse at home much faster than anyone anticipated. Covid+ Global slowdown + Emperor Xi and his tantrums all happened at the same time to create the perfect storm. 2023 and 24 will be an interesting time.
 
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They were not in a comfortable position in 2020 and India called their bluff.
That was more of an exploratory raid . To test our responses.

However, they have been working for last 3 years and building up their capacity for a reason. I would expect some action within next 2 years.
Nor just that , there are organizational issues in their armed forces set up plus other issues w.r.t their overall preparedness they need to take care off . Having said that , it's by no means cast in stone that China'd respond only post 2028 . However , there's no pressing domestic pressure at present to divert the people's attention from .

Right now it's the Wuhan virus . Post that would be the anger but more than that the need to re build their lives . It's when that dream turns sour which it will from 2026-27 onwards , ample signs of which are seen today & will be even more glaring in the yrs to come that the pressure on Xi will mount .


Actually things at getting worse at home much faster than anyone anticipated. Covid+ Global slowdown + Emperor Xi and his tantrums all happened at the same time to create the perfect storm. 2023 and 24 will be an interesting time.
Agreed.
 

Thats fine . But still far ahead . For example China Exports of toys, games, sports requisites was US$101.85 Billion during 2021 . Thats unthinkable . Its not some high tech stuff .. India exported 326 mil $ of toys . There is lots of opportunities for job growth if these low tech areas are focused . I hope these FTD brings us some share of global market .
 
Western capitalists who "invested" in China (ie, profited by exploiting Chinese labor) are furious that Beijing has controls to prevent capital flight

They're used to neoliberal schemes where they just abandon the country if they don't like state policies.

For decades, China has had a capital control strategy of "easy in, difficult out".

Yes, many foreign investors made money, but China's goal is to develop its own productive economy, not enrich investors. They knew what they were doing, and can't complain.

#Geopolitics

 
Western capitalists who "invested" in China (ie, profited by exploiting Chinese labor) are furious that Beijing has controls to prevent capital flight

They're used to neoliberal schemes where they just abandon the country if they don't like state policies.

For decades, China has had a capital control strategy of "easy in, difficult out".

Yes, many foreign investors made money, but China's goal is to develop its own productive economy, not enrich investors. They knew what they were doing, and can't complain.

#Geopolitics

This will make life difficult for both parties. Question is are we smart and fast enough to gain out it? Vietnam is precisely doing that.
 
This will make life difficult for both parties. Question is are we smart and fast enough to gain out it? Vietnam is precisely doing that.
As of now we aren't even attracting 10© of the investment leaving China. They're going to Vietnam, other ASEAN nations, Mexico, Bangladesh in case of textiles , etc.
 
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It's funny when you think of it but China's poised to become a powerhouse in science & technology on the basis of the number of scientific papers & patents it's filed as per the interpretation of in house clairvoyant going by the rankings of some obscure Australian Institute yet for some reason they don't want the data of their economic performance to come out. @Bali78

China’s economy is slowing down really fast and they don’t want to accept the fact. Forget about 5% growth, they will struggle to stay out of recession. Just like Pakistan, China is also facing a perfect storm.
 

China’s economy is slowing down really fast and they don’t want to accept the fact. Forget about 5% growth, they will struggle to stay out of recession. Just like Pakistan, China is also facing a perfect storm.
On the contrary, thanks to our honest government, our economy is on a upward trend. If Modi rule continues, we can even surpass China by the end of this decade too.
 
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On the contrary, thanks to our honest government, our economy is on a upward trend. If Modi rule continues, we can even surpass China by the end of this decade too.
We are doing good. But we haven’t reached anywhere close to our potential yet. Modi government spent last 9 years cleaning up the rot. If we continue the pace and China continues to screw up 😜, we can catch up by 2040-45.
 
Basically that money went down the drain !!
There were comments in that thread on tweeter basically saying it was small change for China . Sort of a RST type batting for Chinese is the first thought that came to my mind .

Btw tagged you in the MMRCA thread #4544 . Would appreciate your insights into the matter if you can .
 
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