They were not in a comfortable position in 2020 and India called their bluff. However, they have been working for last 3 years and building up their capacity for a reason. I would expect some action within next 2 years.Agree.
Militarily they're not in a comfortable position to do so today else they'd have undertaken something across the LAC not Taiwan. Plus they still have a few yrs to go before things blow up at home .
Actually things at getting worse at home much faster than anyone anticipated. Covid+ Global slowdown + Emperor Xi and his tantrums all happened at the same time to create the perfect storm. 2023 and 24 will be an interesting time.