LSP --> IOC --> FOC.
LSP production will begin in 2029. While LCA's LSPs were turned into prototypes, AMCA's LSPs will be handed over to the IAF for operational testing. The final LSP, the 8th one, will become the standard for IOC. 8 LSPs are half a squadron strong and are enough for the IAF to test the airframes out. The program can even end with 3-4 LSPs if necessary.
So IAF will receive their LSPs in 2031 and 2032, by which time IOC will be achieved and then comes the SP stage. Over the next 4-5 years, they will deliver all 20 IOC jets at 2-8 per year. Then come the last 20 FOC at 4-8 per year, so that's 2038.
From 2040 hopefully, we will be ready to take deliveries of the definitive model. The IOC to FOC transition will be slow, but FOC to definitive model will be fast.
We are in the make or break phase today. LCA's TDs were good, but the prototypes (semi) failed, so the LSPs were turned into prototypes instead. Typically, the prototypes carry avionics, but in LCA's case it had to be done on LSP-3 and 4. LSP-2 came with the definitive engine. So LSP-8, IOC-1, and IOC-2 were like the original LSPs instead. And IOC-3 onwards were standardized.
So, if we get AMCA's TDs and early prototypes right, the program will run fine. The F-35's TD phase worked well, but they royally mucked up the prototype stage.
By 2030-31, the IAF will know if AMCA's gonna run fine or was mucked up completely.
LSP production will begin in 2029. While LCA's LSPs were turned into prototypes, AMCA's LSPs will be handed over to the IAF for operational testing. The final LSP, the 8th one, will become the standard for IOC. 8 LSPs are half a squadron strong and are enough for the IAF to test the airframes out. The program can even end with 3-4 LSPs if necessary.
So IAF will receive their LSPs in 2031 and 2032, by which time IOC will be achieved and then comes the SP stage. Over the next 4-5 years, they will deliver all 20 IOC jets at 2-8 per year. Then come the last 20 FOC at 4-8 per year, so that's 2038.
From 2040 hopefully, we will be ready to take deliveries of the definitive model. The IOC to FOC transition will be slow, but FOC to definitive model will be fast.
We are in the make or break phase today. LCA's TDs were good, but the prototypes (semi) failed, so the LSPs were turned into prototypes instead. Typically, the prototypes carry avionics, but in LCA's case it had to be done on LSP-3 and 4. LSP-2 came with the definitive engine. So LSP-8, IOC-1, and IOC-2 were like the original LSPs instead. And IOC-3 onwards were standardized.
So, if we get AMCA's TDs and early prototypes right, the program will run fine. The F-35's TD phase worked well, but they royally mucked up the prototype stage.
By 2030-31, the IAF will know if AMCA's gonna run fine or was mucked up completely.