If we have 4-5 million effected, out here it'd translate to a 20% mortality at least. That's a million dead. No sir, we can't afford even a lakh infected though I really don't know how are we going to avoid such numbers.
Till 31 March , all those who have come from abroad ie who came till 22 March
Will either be tested positive or will have no symptoms
So community transmission though has started even now but will start rapidly after 1 April ie IF lockdown was not imposed
Will either be tested positive or will have no symptoms
So community transmission though has started even now but will start rapidly after 1 April ie IF lockdown was not imposed
There was one at Bhilwara but it appears to be contained. If it hits a slum in one of the big cities, s*** will hit the ceiling.
It’s not 20% dead sir. The actual mortality rate is probably 3-4 % or maximum 10% in case of Italy. And the number of 4-5 million case is a hypothetical number which is possible if government does not take any action at all. That’s not going to happen.
That's the figure of 1st world nations, not India. God forbid if we get into a trench warfare situation like that, the infections would easily surpass 4-5 million & those mortality rates would be close to 20-30% . I was taking a leaf out of @randomradio when I quoted 20% mortality. I'd tell you why. Sheer apathy, lack of protective equipment, lack of medicines, lack of testing kits, lack of skilled Manpower, lack of hospital beds, etc etc. Which in turn means that those moderately affected who'd require brief hospitalization before discharge will likely see aggravation & those more than moderately affected may well end up dead. It's the sheer numbers which would break the backbone of our already creaky system & this isn't any exaggeration.
Except, in case of young folks who constitute a large part of Indian population, those 20-30% won't get that sick in the first place.