US - Israel - Iran War

Diesel prices will not change at all. The released diesel will likely be a blip. We'll see what happens next.


Professor Michael Clarke does the maths behind Trump's Russia diesel deal. To continue watching Michael's full briefing, try our 3-month free trial of Sky News Defence Insider.
 
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Diesel prices will not change at all. The released diesel will likely be a blip. We'll see what happens next.


Professor Michael Clarke does the maths behind Trump's Russia diesel deal. To continue watching Michael's full briefing, try our 3-month free trial of Sky News Defence Insider.
The 'Russian' diesel is not Russian. Russia is importing diesel on net itself and export is still prohibited, it's either coming from Iran or Kazakhstan.


 
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The 'Russian' diesel is not Russian. Russia is importing diesel on net itself and export is still prohibited, it's either coming from Iran or Kazakhstan.
Irrespective of the source, the amount supplied by the Russians to the American market is less than a week's worth of supply. It would amount to 14 odd hours of straight consumption as I read somewhere.
 
Irrespective of the source, the amount supplied by the Russians to the American market is less than a week's worth of supply. It would amount to 14 odd hours of straight consumption as I read somewhere.
And the US is still a net exporter of diesel anyway. So if they really wanted to ease pressure on the US market they could restrict exports more severely and have a much larger effect. They in fact produce 40% more than they consume.

The United States is a diesel superpower. It is one of the world’s largest producers and exporters of diesel fuel. U.S. refineries produce about 5.2 million barrels of diesel a day. Americans consume about 3.7 million barrels a day. The surplus is sold abroad: In recent months exports have run above 1.5 million barrels a day.
 
And the US is still a net exporter of diesel anyway. So if they really wanted to ease pressure on the US market they could restrict exports more severely and have a much larger effect.
It is an opportunity for downstream companies as well as traders to earn money. They are unlikely to let the administration restrict the export. Also, the restriction would have worldwide repercussions considering that EU now lists the States as its no.1 exporter for diesel.
 
It is an opportunity for downstream companies as well as traders to earn money. They are unlikely to let the administration restrict the export. Also, the restriction would have worldwide repercussions considering that EU now lists the States as its no.1 exporter for diesel.
The administration could do anything it wants as regards that. Possibly, but as far as 1 tanker goes, it would still make more sense.
 

Yemen's Houthis vowed on Wednesday to press on with attacks on airports and oil facilities in Saudi Arabia, a day after a strike ‌that sources said caused extensive damage to the headquarters of oil giant Saudi Aramco.

The Houthis said the threatened locations were legitimate targets and described their attacks as retaliation for Saudi strikes on Yemen - threatening to escalate a conflict reignited by the US-Iran confrontation in the Gulf.

Saudi Arabia has faced widening Houthi strikes over the past week, including an attack on King Khalid International Airport in Riyadh on Saturday that killed 13 people.

Tuesday night's attack on Saudi Aramco's base in the eastern city of Dhahran caused a fire that spread across several floors, three people with knowledge of the matter told Reuters. The Saudi energy ministry had said the strike caused a limited fire.

Operations at Aramco were continuing normally, with employees ⁠working from home, according to two of the sources. Aramco did not immediately reply to a Reuters request for comment.

The escalating conflict has dealt a blow to Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman's ambitious plans to transform and diversify the Saudi economy and reduce its reliance on oil.
The Houthis say they have been retaliating for the kingdom's backing of Yemeni government forces in the Yemen war that restarted last month.

The Saudi-led coalition said it had intercepted a ballistic missile fired by the Houthis towards Riyadh on Wednesday, and several loud booms were heard in the Saudi capital.

Saudi authorities earlier issued an alert for a possible aerial threat in Riyadh on Wednesday before the warning was lifted, a witness said. It wasn't immediately clear what caused the booms and there was no immediate comment from the authorities on their source.

The Saudi government media office didn't immediately respond to a request for comment about the cause of the booms.

In their statement on Wednesday, the ‌Houthis said ⁠they had launched ballistic missiles, cruise missiles and drones at the Saudi Aramco facilities in Dhahran, Riyadh airport and an Aramco refinery in Riyadh.

In a broad threat, they urged "international shipping companies", civilians and workers to evacuate Saudi airports and oil facilities.

The Dhahran complex hosts a major operations centre for Aramco, which oversees a vast network of onshore and offshore oil rigs, pipelines, refineries and export terminals.

Riyadh’s international airport has come under attack four times, including Saturday's attack which was the deadliest in Saudi Arabia in a decade.

 
Insurance costs are set to rise further. Crew was evacuated successfully and are safe w/o any reports suggesting major injuries.



In this episode of What's Going on With Shipping, Sal Mercogliano examines the sharp escalation of maritime attacks in the Strait of Hormuz, highlighted by the striking and sinking of the Singapore-flagged container ship GFS Pride and damage to GFS Gazelle.
 
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Nice schematic Paddy. Now point out the elevator to convey the Ambulance from level 2 to ground or missiles from the same level up to ground.

I ask for the only means of transportation seems to be vide a motorcycle as per the schematic you've shared.

That too it's supposed to ride a ramp inclined @ 45° angle to reach the top aka the ground level never mind how will they transport missiles & casualties from the top to level 2 & vice versa.

Waiting with bated breath for your explanation
 

The Houthis launched a deadly missile attack Thursday on the presidential palace in the Yemeni government's interim capital of Aden, as Saudi Arabia blamed Iran for the recent dramatic escalation in the long-running war.

The attack hit command centres located inside the Al-Maashiq presidential compound used by government forces and the Saudi-led military coalition that supports them, a Yemeni minister said on condition of anonymity.

Saudi Arabia and the internationally recognised Yemeni government it backs have come under sustained Houthi attack of late, shifting the focus of the wider Middle East war that erupted with US-Israeli strikes on Iran in February.

The Iran-backed Houthis have seized swathes of territory along Yemen's Red Sea coastline in recent weeks, and a government counteroffensive with Saudi air support has so far failed to reverse the gains.


Yemeni health minister Qasim Buhaibeh said Thursday's attack left five people dead and 16 injured "among those working to guard the site and civilian employees".

An AFP journalist saw smoke rising and residents of the southern city reported hearing explosions during the attack, the first on the complex since Yemen's civil war flared back to life in July.

Yemeni Prime Minister Shaya al-Zindani denounced the "cowardly" act on X, calling it a "continuation of its criminal pattern of striking civilian sites and civilians".

A government minister said on condition of anonymity that Zindani had been present at the time, but "was not harmed in any way".

The minister said the Houthis hit a command centre for Yemeni government forces with three missiles, and another for Saudi-led coalition forces at the complex with two missiles, adding that there were Yemeni and Saudi casualties, without providing a specific toll.

Media affiliated with the Houthis said they had targeted "the headquarters of military operations, led by Saudi officers, at the Al-Maashiq Palace in Aden, as well as weapons depots belonging to them".

Yemen's civil war -- in which Saudi Arabia has led a military coalition supporting the government since 2015 -- reignited after the collapse of a years-long truce, with the Houthis going on to launch their lightning offensive in September.

Riyadh on Thursday accused Iran of encouraging the escalation, saying it continued to arm and train the group.

Saudi Arabia's deputy minister for public diplomacy at the foreign ministry said Riyadh was still in touch with Iran, but that Tehran did not appear ready to make concessions.

"We think that the escalation by the Houthis at this latest stage of the conflict is encouraged by Iran," said Dr. Rayed Krimly.

The Saudi-led coalition said drones fired by the Houthis at the kingdom's southern region and the city of Khamis Mushait were intercepted.

Yemeni government forces said the Houthis had also fired "several ballistic missiles" at the central city of Marib, which sits in a strategic oil-rich region.
 
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The security of the West is being fought over in the mountainous region surrounding the Yemeni city of Taiz, the country’s former prime minister has warned.

If the key city falls to the Iran-backed Houthis, Western security will suffer enormously, said Maeen Abdulmalik Saeed, now adviser to Yemen’s president, The Guardian reported on Friday.

He highlighted the importance of Taiz in the context of control over the Bab Al-Mandab Strait and the road to Aden, the seat of Yemen’s internationally recognized government.

Saeed’s comments came as part of an appeal for help from the West. He said the Houthis’ ambitions are to seize all of Yemen and “help Iran expand the chaos.”

He added that his government is under pressure in part due to the Houthis’ steady acquisition of long-range drone and missile technology, a threat that had not been fully appreciated.

“The battle around Taiz is not just a battle for Taiz, but a broader battle that involves the whole of the Western world, and one of the most important maritime straits,” he said.

“The Houthis know controlling Taiz is controlling the straits and it’s the highlands before the straits and the coastal city of Mokha and the Gulf of Aden.

“If Taiz is lost, access to the strait will be lost. The rest of the country will come later. The Houthi plan is to control the whole of Yemen.”

He added: “The Houthis bleed a lot, they suffer a lot, but they always want quickly to use their gains or any collapse to gain more land.”

It is “a matter of days” before “there will be a full siege” of Taiz, and the Houthis “will try to enter the city,” Saeed said. “It will be much worse than the siege of 2015 — it will be catastrophic.”

He added: “The loss of Taiz would have a very significant symbolic impact on the idea of the modern state in Yemen and of resisting the Houthi project, which relies on tribal networks and extremist religious education.

“I hope now that the knife has come to our neck, and the Houthis represent a critical threat, the priority would be to come together to defeat the Houthis, and then to discuss other demands and guarantees.”

He said the Houthi offensive toward the Red Sea last month was intended to relieve the heavy pressure facing its sponsor Iran.

“Its (Iran’s) airplanes and airports cannot operate; 90 percent of the oil was coming out of Hormuz. That is why they attacked the Saudi East-West pipeline,” he added.

“The Houthis, by talking about a Saudi blockade, have found a reason to hit the Saudi oil installations, airports and they want to do it now because the only thing Iran can do is to keep expanding the consequences of the war for America.”

Saeed spoke of the Houthis’ growing missile and drone capabilities, much of them provided by Iran. “In 2017, the Houthis had nothing but blind missiles to fire at us that missed their targets,” he said.

Highlighting a December 2020 attack on Aden International Airport that killed 28 people, Saeed said the militia has quickly developed missiles capable of precisely striking targets at least 300 km away.

“We thought even then they did not have that many missiles, but since then the Iranians have expanded their manufacturing lines,” he added.

In January 2022, the Houthis attacked Abu Dhabi oil tanker trucks more than 900 miles away using ballistic missiles.

By the time of the US Operation Rough Rider against the militia last year, “it was clear the Houthis had dozens of targeted missiles, land-sea missiles and drones. They had become a unified front with Iran, and developed their missile base,” Saeed said.

“This is a new era of radical terrorism. It is not the old chaotic one of Isis (Daesh) and Al-Qaeda. It is semi-state actors and militias threatening powerful states with cheap technologies, and smuggled third-party components,” he added.

“The way Iran has invested in the Houthis could become a model for threatening navigation elsewhere.

“It is a new model of war, without traditional armies, needing different air defences. Gulf countries have to reshape and rethink their defences.”
 
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