A limited buy of 40 Su-57s off the shelf will likely come with some offsets as with the 2014 Rafale deal. Customization will be minimal including comms, iff and integration support for third-party/Indian weapons. No argument there.
We don't know how far they will take it. It's possible we will import MKIzed versions of M1E and a twin-seat UM1E and license produce a whole bunch of MKIzed S-70 drones to support the Su-30 MKI-MLUs and SU-57 MKIs. 80 jets is sufficient for an MKIzation plan.
Imagine 200 MKI and 80 Su-57s supported by 200-300 S-70s. In Russia, they are expected to cost $15M. It will be cheaper than the LCA Mk1A in India.
Or yeah, we just buy 40 standard Su-57 M1Es and call it a day. But this no longer makes sense to me, as of 2024, even if we buy 40 or 80 drones to support it. Point being, I don't see the point of buying the Su-57 without drones or it acting as a hedge for AMCA, which makes MKIzation important.
Even 80 jets with 100 strike drones and 100 AS drones can replace a fighter fleet of 150+ jets.
But a follow-on MKI program would inevitably require extensive involvement by Russian oems like Ramenskoye for avionics, sensor and nav/attack system integration and certification. The IAF won't risk voiding warranties, etc by flouting mfgr guidelines in this regard.
MKIzation removes Russian avionics, which is the point. Our own radar, navigation, and EW suite along with mission computer, radio, data links etc. No different from MKI-MLU. So Virupaksha, Yodha, Anidra etc.
Adequate safeguards are also important to protect third party tech like French Sigma INS/GPS, et all. The Euros already suspect India could be a conduit for tech leaks to Russia which is trying to circumvent sanctions via third countries.
This could affect ToT for key progs like P-75I, Rafale and create legal complications for us in future.
They already trust us to do that. Especially the French.
Btw, MOD is getting rid of offsets. Makes deals too expensive.