Israel, US Strike Iran After Weeks Of Warning, Explosions Heard In Tehran


As tensions spiralled in the Gulf, Iran started boosting its security arsenal. The HQ-9B, it is learnt, was procured by Iran as part of an oil-for-weapon deal with China. This was Iran's big upgrade after the Russian S-300PMU-2 performed poorly against Israeli missiles during the 2025 conflict. According to reports, the HQ-9B formed the long-range layer, supported by S-300PMU-2 and Bavar-373 (long-range), Khordad-15 and Raad (medium range) and short-range Tor-M2, Pantsir-S1, Zolfaqar, tactical MANPADS missiles. HQ-9B were likely deployed around key installations like the Natanz nuclear complex, the Fordow enrichment facility, the IRGC's missile and UAV bases and airbases near Tehran and Isfahan.
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Parthu said:
https://twitter.com/x/status/2028103262369698011

Agree with this.

Protection of our energy flows is and must be a core national security objective. We've got the assets to do it & do it well.

A decision to be prepared for this eventuality could be taken at tonight's CCS meet.
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We may deploy assets around Oman to withdraw our people via naval ships however I don't see Indian armed forces engaging Iranian armed forces weapon platforms. Houthis were non state actors still we didn't engage them, Iranian military is a state limb, we wouldn't go that extent in my opinion. We may deploy assets for rescue operations at max.
 
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Parthu said:
https://twitter.com/x/status/2028103262369698011

Agree with this.

Protection of our energy flows is and must be a core national security objective. We've got the assets to do it & do it well.

A decision to be prepared for this eventuality could be taken at tonight's CCS meet.
Click to expand...

From mid-February:

Kolkata-class and Visakhapatnam-class Destroyers: News & Discussions

I suppose Talwar class frigates would be needed as escorts.

RISING SUN said:
Houthis were non state actors still we didn't engage them
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We may have shot down a few Houthi drones last time. I remember INS Tabar has drone kill marks on Shtil-1 missile launchers.
 
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Gautam said:
From mid-February:

Kolkata-class and Visakhapatnam-class Destroyers: News & Discussions

I suppose Talwar class frigates would be needed as escorts.


We may have shot down a few Houthi drones last time. I remember INS Tabar has drone kill marks on Shtil-1 missile launchers.
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Yes, and that was against the non state actors, not a state like we take action against Pakistani military. And even then also we didn't engage the Houthis directly as it could jeopardize our relationship with Iran, and it was and remains domestic large Shia Indians who influence Indian polity decision making when it comes to Persian affairs.

You can see the after effects in all large and small cities around us where Shia people are protesting/mourning.

For them, Khomaini was similar (analogy) to Shia people what Rishi Kashyap is for people like me who trace spiritual lineage (not to be confused with family roots) to different different Maharishis of ancient times.
 
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The initial no. of strikes have easily crossed a thousand. The IsAF did five hundred on its own.

breakingdefense.com

Israel says it struck more than 500 targets in Iran with 200 warplanes - Breaking Defense

The US and Israel together launched a surprise, "massive" attack on sites throughout Iran beginning early Saturday.
breakingdefense.com breakingdefense.com

Jerusalem’s side of the “massive” joint US-Israeli attack on Iran today involved the Israeli Air Force striking more than 500 targets using 200 warplanes, the Israel Defense Forces said. “This is the largest military flyover in the history of the Israeli Air Force (IAF), conducted following accurate planning and based on high-quality intelligence, while synchronizing hundreds of fighter jets at the same time,” the IDF said in a statement today, dubbing the strikes Operation Roaring Lion. The US called its campaign Operation Epic Fury.
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RISING SUN said:
Yes, and that was against the non state actors, not a state like we take action against Pakistani military. And even then also we didn't engage the Houthis directly as it could jeopardize our relationship with Iran, and it was and remains domestic large Shia Indians who influence Indian polity decision making when it comes to Persian affairs.

You can see the after effects in all large and small cities around us where Shia people are protesting/mourning.

For them, Khomaini was similar (analogy) to Shia people what Rishi Kashyap is for people like me who trace spiritual lineage (not to be confused with family roots) to different different Maharishis of ancient times.
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Just do what we have to do. Then say nothing.
 
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Shan said:
The initial no. of strikes have easily crossed a thousand. The IsAF did five hundred on its own.

breakingdefense.com

Israel says it struck more than 500 targets in Iran with 200 warplanes - Breaking Defense

The US and Israel together launched a surprise, "massive" attack on sites throughout Iran beginning early Saturday.
breakingdefense.com breakingdefense.com
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*correction - targeted strikes or targets struck.

Quite the scale in terms of no. of bombs as well.

www.jpost.com

IDF drops over 1,200 bombs on Iranian targets | The Jerusalem Post

On Saturday night, the IDF had said that over 200 aircraft had struck 500 Iranian targets.
www.jpost.com www.jpost.com

The first wave struck what appeared to be dozens of radars and anti-aircraft defenses, especially in the part of Iran closer to Israel and the Tehran area. During the second wave, the air force struck Iran's ballistic missile apparatus to attempt to reduce its ability to strike the Israeli home front.
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Just a couple of thoughts before retiring for the night. This will turn into a war of attrition of armaments. The side which runs out of offensive weapons first loses.

Quite obviously it'd mean Iran loses . That's a foregone conclusion. However what needs to be seen is how long do they last ? For the longer they last the more damage they'd unleash on the Gulf Sheikhdoms who as usual possess the most sophisticated arms but are totally clueless in using them depending on the US's security umbrella.

Iran's tactical arsenal consists of essentially suicide drones like the Shahed which I suspect they may have stockpiled in the lakhs if not millions. Their strategic arsenal consists of BMs & CMs.

We don't know what the production capacities are especially in wartime but I don't suspect it'd be much . Israel + the US would be hunting desperately for these mfg centers.

Their Air Force & Air Defence is non existent so no point dwelling on them .

A little known aspect of their arsenal is the surface & sub surface platforms they've come up with. They've a fairly decent sized fleet of midget submarines running into the low hundreds IIRC. Check out H I Sutton's blog for more details.

Apart from these they also have a sizeable fleet of fast attack crafts . Both the aforementioned platforms can & will be deployed for suicide missions.

While their primary targets will be US Naval assets I'd be very surprised if they got lucky though we can't completely rule out such a possibility.

Where they'd be more successful is targeting tankers & natural gas carriers virtually paralysing the SLOC in the Persian Gulf & the Oil & Natural Gas traffic passing through it.

I don't need to inform you on the effect that'd have on both supplies & prices. In addition to these platforms , Iran also has Naval surface & sub surface drones though the qtys are unknown & the efficacy of the latter too .

To sum up this isn't going to be a short campaign unlike last time. I fully expect it to go on for a couple of months if not more .

Once all these high value targets are taken care of we can expect Israel US & their allies to target IRGC & Basij barracks & cantonments along with other para militias close to the regime though not the regular Army barracks , their various business assets etc to weaken them.

If that isn't enough don't be surprised if the allies start targeting physical infrastructure like power plants , dams , water supply etc to egg the people on to take on the regime.

Remember it was a scarcity of water along with the collapse in the value of the Irani Rial & sky high inflation in a very short period of time which saw the last bloody uprising a month ago.

This is all I could think off top of the mind at the end of a tiring working day . Feel free to add any details I may have skipped out on.
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This is what I posted last night on the other forum .
 
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Iran also has an active space program with multiple small satellites currently in orbit, (including a couple with military applications ) and a SLV design that could concievably be repurposed into an ICBM for high profile but symbolic attacks.

The sats give them an independent ISR and targeting capability in addition to Chinese data feeds.


_Anonymous_ said:
This is what I posted last night on the other forum .
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jetray said:
no risk no reward, unless they can boots and fight wars no one is going to take them seriously , money can only take you some distance after that it is the big stick.
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That's for sure, with Iran out of the equation, the BRI will take huge blowback, but also the Chinese belive in strength they will go hard on taiwan, fall of Iran will certainly put pakistan in precarious space, can be good can be bad
 
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