In Kashmir, India and Pakistan race to tap the Himalayas

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Dec 1, 2017
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MUZAFFARABAD: Several hundred metres underground, thousands of labourers grind away day and night on a mammoth hydroelectric project in contested Kashmir, where India and Pakistan are racing to tap the subcontinent's diminishing freshwater supplies.

The arch rivals have been building duelling power plants along the banks of the turquoise Neelum River for years.

The two projects, located on opposite sides of the Line of Control — the de facto border in Kashmir — are now close to completion, fuelling tensions between the neighbours with Pakistan particularly worried their downstream project will be deprived of much-needed water by India.

The Himalayan region of Kashmir is at the heart of a 70-year conflict between the nuclear-armed foes, with both sides laying claim to the conflict-riven territory.

The rivalry on the Neelum is underlined by both countries' unquenchable need for freshwater, as their surging populations and developing economies continue to stress already diminished waters tables.

This situation represents a serious challenge to Pakistan's food security and long-term growth, its central bank recently warned in a report.

The geography of the wider region only exacerbates the problem.

The Indus River — into which the waters of the Neelum ultimately flow — is one of the longest on the continent, cutting through ultra-sensitive borders in the region.

It rises in Tibet, crosses Kashmir and waters 65 per cent of Pakistan's territory, including the vast, fertile plains of Punjab province — the country's bread basket — before flowing into the Indian Ocean.

The Indus Water Treaty, painfully ratified in 1960 under the auspices of the World Bank, theoretically regulates water allocation between the countries and is considered a rare diplomatic success story amid a bitter history.

It provides India with access to three eastern rivers (the Beas, Ravi and Sutlej) and Pakistan with three in the west (the Indus, Chenab and Jhelum), while setting the conditions for water usage.

As a tributary of the Jhelum River, the Neelum theoretically falls into Pakistan's sphere, which launched the Neelum-Jhelum power plant project a quarter of a century ago to counter the legal, but competing Kishanganga project in Indian Kashmir.

At the confluence of the Neelum and Jhelum, the gigantic underground cathedral of concrete and steel is near completion — the four generators are in place, waiting for the transformers and the network to be connected.

More than 6,000 Pakistani and Chinese workers busy themselves in the 28 kilometres (17 miles) of underground tunnels or in the power station itself, buried under 400 metres of rock in the heart of the Himalayas.

After completion, the dam is expected to churn out 969 MW of electricity by mid-2018.

"It is a fantastic feeling to see the outcome of such a historic project," enthused Arif Shah, an engineer working on the site for eight years.

"We hope to finish our hydroelectric plant before the Indians," he smiles, while acknowledging that the real pressure comes from Islamabad, which has promised to end the debilitating power cuts nationwide ahead of the the 2018 elections.

On the Indian side, the Kishanganga power station is also in its final phase, but has delayed its late 2017 completion date, according to an official, in part because of ongoing unrest in the Kashmir valley.

Pakistan has filed cases at the World Bank against India and the Neelum dam, which it says will unfairly restrict the amount of water headed downstream.

According to the plant's director Nayyar Aluddin, the production of electricity could shrink by 10-13 per cent because of the Indian project.

But the hydroelectric projects on the Neelum River are only one of several points of friction between the two countries as the Indus Treaty faces increasingly pressing disputes.

Beyond the technical bickering, Islamabad is especially afraid of India cutting into its precious water supplies during strategic agricultural seasons that are key to feeding the country's 207 million residents.

The possibility of hitting Pakistan's food supply is regularly amped up by both Indian and Pakistani media, stretching perennially taut relations.

Prime Minister Narendra Modi hinted at such reprisals following an attack in Kashmir's Uri by Pakistan-based terrorists in September 2016.

"Blood and water can't flow together," he said.


More :- In Kashmir, India and Pakistan race to tap the Himalayas - Times of India
 
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In Kishanganga dam security, more than Pakistan shelling, sabotage a concern

Location of the dam close to LoC underlines India’s confidence in handling the challenge. Recent infiltration is the cause for review of structure’s security.

Written by Nirupama Subramanian | Chandigarh | Updated: May 23, 2018 9:43:50 am

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A breach in the dam will likely flood PoK villages downstream. (Photo: Neeraj Priyadarshi)
In November 2016, as India-Pakistan tensions escalated in the weeks after the attack in Uri and India’s much publicised strike-back, workers at the Kishanganga Hydel Electricity Project in Gurez in North Kashmir experienced for the the first time the dangers of the Line of Control. In all, 18 shells fell from across the LoC, just a kilometre away over the hills, on both sides of the dam, which was then close to completion.

“All of us just left whatever we were doing and ran into the tunnel,” said Sanjay Kumar, an employee of the construction company building the dam.

The tunnel, completed in June 2014, is an integral part of the KHEP — it takes the water from the Kishanganga River in Gurez Valley to an underground power station at Bandipora in the Kashmir Valley. Back then, there was no water in it. According to dam officials, along with the workers, a large number of villagers too, rushed into the tunnel for shelter, and demanded to be evacuated.

“We had to call the Army for help,” a dam official said.

“But that was the first and last time this happened in all my years here,” said Kumar, who joined the project in November 2009.

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The surge shaft dug 108 metres into mountainside. (Express photo by Neeraj Priyadarshi)
On Monday, following intelligence reports of cross-LoC infiltration bids in Gurez, the government decided to review security at KHEP. Hundreds of CISF personnel currently guard the dam. An Army camp deployed on the LoC is nearby, providing an added layer of overall defence for the dam. During a recent visit by this correspondent, a row of artillery guns inside the camp was visible from the road, their barrels trained at the mountain.

If India decided to locate the project there despite the evident dangers of the LoC, it could not have been without the confidence that it could handle this challenge, dam officials who did not wish to be named, told The Indian Express.

The biggest defence, said the officials, is that any act to destroy the dam would actually pose the greatest danger to Pakistan — the maximum impact would be felt downstream, across the LoC, in Pakistan Occupied Kashmir. As the Kishanganga flows, the LoC is only about 10 km from the dam, and habitation begins almost immediately. The first village in PoK, along the banks of the Neelum, as the river is known across the LoC, is Tawbal.

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Of the 27 villages in Gurez, only six are located downstream along the banks of the Kishanganga, and all have been shifted uphill due to the dam.

However, even assuming that the dam is targeted, shelling from across the LoC does not pose a real danger, officials said. The dam is located in a gorge, and is not in the direct line of fire. In the event that a shell does hit it, the dam, one official said, “is a heavy structure, and can withstand shelling”.

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The project is built on the Kishanganga river, a tributary of Jhelum. (Express photo by Neeraj Priyadarshi)
A more serious concern is sabotage by an individual or groups, said the official. But that too would pose the same dangers of flooding downstream. The river is wide enough to cause flooding at a discharge of about 2,000 cumec (cubic metres per second). The Kishanganga dam has a pondage of about 7 million cubic metres, but how this will translate into water flow will depend on the extent of damage to the dam, and consequently, the time it would take for it to flow out.

The people who live in the villages near the dam site are also thought of as another layer of security. In Kashmir, the people of Gurez are considered pro-India. Many are directly or indirectly employed by the Army.

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View of the Bandipora region from the Kishanganga Hydro Power project located on river Kishanganga (Express photo by Neeraj Priyadarshi)
As for the other parts of the project, the tunnel is bored deep in the mountains, and transports the water of the Kishanganga to an underground power station in Bandipora in the Kashmir Valley. Officials say that these portions of the dam are inaccessible, and would be difficult if not outright impossible to target.
 

The ‘cartographic nightmare’ of the Kashmir region, explained​


When British India was partitioned into India and Pakistan in 1947, the two countries’ sovereignty over Jammu and Kashmir—a region of some 18 million people today—was not clearly defined. Since then, both countries have claimed the mountainous, glaciated terrain. The dispute over boundaries has created a geopolitical tangle on the world’s highest-altitude battlefield.



Asia



MAP AREA



India



Pakistan



Kashmir



India and Pakistan both claim Kashmir. India administers only the area south of the Line of Control; Pakistan controls northwestern Kashmir. China controls parts of eastern Kashmir that it took from India in a 1962 war.



A gap on the map



Line of Control



India and Pakistan agreed to a cease-

fire line in Kashmir in 1949; it was the basis for the Line of Control set in 1972. It stops short of the formerly

uninhabited area of the Siachen Glacier, leaving a gap near the Chinese border.



Hodgson’s line



U.S. State Department official Robert Hodgson redrafted the map to close the gap in 1968. His line showed the Siachen area as controlled by Pakistan. India rejects this version and has occupied the glacier since 1984.



Actual Ground Position Line



This approximate line represents the militarized front between India and Pakistan north of the Line of Control. National Geographic maps use this de facto line, as it best reflects the reality on the ground.



Holding the high ground



India and Pakistan have set up outposts and bases along the Saltoro Range and in the valleys below, especially near key passes that access the Indian-held Siachen Glacier. These opposing military positions—along with the helicopter pads, trails, snowmobile routes, and artillery that are used to supply anddefend them—are visible in publicly available satellite images.



Military position:



Pakistan



India



Strategic pass



Road



The cost of war



Avalanches, altitude sickness, 120-mile- an-hour winds, and minus 70°F temperatures are far deadlier than combat, resulting in up to 90 percent of fatalities. Soldiers must frequently rotate posts. Estimates of the death toll for both sides range from 2,500 to as high as 5,000. India spends the most to hold the high ground, approximately one million dollars each day.



Battle



Finding the front



India and Pakistan’s military positions—along with the helicopter pads, trails, snowmobile routes, and artillery that are used to supply and defend them—are visible in publicly available satellite images. National Geographic analyzed images of the Saltoro Range from the past two decades and found evidence of more than a hundred likely positions. The images below show examples of three positions used by Indian forces and one by the Pakistan Army.



Indian post near Sia La (2005)

19,390 ft (5,910 m)



Pakistani post near Kondus Glacier (2015)

13,450 ft (4,100 m)



Indian post near Bilafond La (2018)

18,250 ft (5,560 m)



Indian base at Dzingrulma (2018)

11,600 ft (3,536 m)