The Russians will probably offer the under development Ilysuhin Il-276, which, once upon a time, was supposed to be the UAC-HAL MTA replacement for the aging An-32 fleet. It's MTOW is 20-tonnes, so like the C-130J, it can't carry the Zorawar either.
I've a feeling this MTA tender is another smoke screen . For what exactly , I can't tell. Or perhaps it could well be a case of the IAF wanting to have a closer look at the other transporters namely the C-2 & the A-400 M .
The IAF previously had a doctrine of Last Mile Connectivity which was fulfilled by the An-32 .
However since max load carried by the An-32 was < 7000 with the next transporter being the C+130 J , it was observed that the latter was over worked resulting in wear & tear besides more OPEX .
Hence the C-295 for light transport which is an upgrade over the An-32. Now some genius has combined the requirements of both a regional transporter & the replacement of the Il-76 into one meaning from 10-40 tons we're going to use one class of Transporters.
This makes about as much sense as the MMRCA 2.0 tender for SE & TE FAs . We know how that one turned out irrespective of the usual suspect shilling for it since the RFI was announced undergoing contortions explaining it here suffering repeated spasms as a result reflected in his increasingly tortured explanations here.
I'm getting the feeling the IAF at some point will break up their requirement into 2 transporters respectively : < 20-25 tons & 30-40 tons / 40-60 tons , the reason being the requirements of current MTA is designed to "lessen the burden "on the Il-76 given the age of the transporter & lack of upgradation .
That term in apostrophes is very vague. Which is how you have this odd collection of transporters participating in the MTA. The explanation I've given in the first paragraph seems the most likely one with the real competition being between the C-130 J & the C-390.
Given the recent developments in Indo US relationship , I think it's a no brainer where this one is headed.
