Israel, US Strike Iran After Weeks Of Warning, Explosions Heard In Tehran

@_Anonymous_

You now need to take the prediction of this guy(or storyteller in your lingo) aka Mr. Chinese Nostradamus very seriously🤣. He has already got two out of three predictions right. Iran is doing exactly as he predicted by attacking Middle-Eastern Gas/Oil/Energy sector or attacking US Petro-Dollar directly.

US loses this war as per his last prediction. Let's see.

 

That’s HUGE > > Iranian attacks have knocked out 17% of Qatar's liquefied natural gas (LNG) export capacity, causing an estimated $20 billion in lost annual revenue and threatening supplies ‌to Europe and Asia, QatarEnergy's CEO told Reuters on Thursday.State-owned QatarEnergy may have to declare force majeure on long-term contracts for up to five years for LNG supplies bound for Italy, Belgium, South Korea, and China due to the two damaged ‌trains, ⁠Kaabi said.The fallout extends well beyond LNG. Qatar's exports of condensate will drop by around 24%, while liquefied petroleum ⁠gas (LPG) will fall 13%. Helium output will fall 14%, and naphtha and sulphur will both drop by 6%.The damaged units cost approximately $26 billion to build, Kaabi said.
 
@_Anonymous_

You now need to take the prediction of this guy(or storyteller in your lingo) aka Mr. Chinese Nostradamus very seriously🤣. He has already got two out of three predictions right. Iran is doing exactly as he predicted by attacking Middle-Eastern Gas/Oil/Energy sector or attacking US Petro-Dollar directly.

US loses this war as per his last prediction. Let's see.

I don't get what's so special about his predictions tbh. Once 7/10 was set into motion there were speculations Hamas couldn't have gamed such a huge operation without some major country supporting it .

Iran was speculated to be the country which war gamed the entire move. It was then a matter of time before Israel directly crossed swords with Iran.

Long story short that's exactly what came to pass . After withdrawal from South Lebanon which many including inside Israel characterised as a defeat , from what transpired all through 2024 it was clear Israel did their homework thoroughly in the way they systematically dismantled Hamas , Hezbollah , Assad's regime in Syria , the Houthis who went quiet not after their engagement with the US but after Israel subjected them to proper treatment & now Iran since 2025.

It was also speculated that Iran would do what it must in such a situation which is shut down the Straits of Hormuz & the O&NG production of the GCC . That's exactly what they've done. So what exactly is new or unexpected in all this ?

Besides what does US defeat mean ? For that to happen as Admiral Yamamoto declared in the run up to the attack on Pearl Harbor the Japanese would have to sail up the Potomac to the White House & dictate terms of surrender.

We know how that one ended unless you're suggesting the Iranians are going to do what ze Germans , the Japanese & the Soviets couldn't.

So how does this one end ? I suspect the US will do what it has always done. Up & go at some point in time followed by the Israelis. The regime would continue in Iran in a similar shape as the infrastructure of the country. For how long is another question ?!

If the Mullahs continue their war on the GCC expect the US EU & Israel to return at some point in time in the future with another short war lasting from a few days to a week.

The Mullahs could try the same stunt as they did in their war with Iraq. Keep the war going while killing dissidents at home though I don't think the move would be successful this time around. Basically the Mullahs are running on empty.

As far as the rest of the world goes , be prepared for oil to touch 200 USD / barrel . Kiss the days of high growth goodbye . Oil will flow in some qty from the ME . The shortfall would have to be made up for by the other suppliers . Russia & the US make a killing .

This is just a precursor of things to come towards the end of this decade & most of the next decade.
 
India sends additional warships near Gulf of Oman to escort fuel ships amid Israel-Iran war

By Sudhi Ranjan Sen, Bloomberg
Last Updated: Mar 19, 2026, 10:10:00 AM IST
1773941684595.png
Indian Navy warship. Representative image.

Synopsis
Israel-Iran war: India is deploying over half a dozen warships to the Gulf of Oman and Arabian Sea as a precautionary measure. This move aims to ensure the safe passage of Indian vessels, particularly fuel tankers, anticipating potential exits from the Strait of Hormuz.

India is sending additional warships to the Gulf of Oman and Arabian Sea to ensure the safe passage of its vessels in anticipation that Iran may allow more of its fuel tankers to exit the Strait of Hormuz, people familiar with the matter said.

The Indian Navy is deploying over half a dozen warships, including logistics vessels, to the area as a precautionary measure, the people said, asking not to be identified as the discussions are private. The warships will be stationed east of the Strait of Hormuz and won’t enter the waterway, they said. Their objective would be to escort the vessels until they reach safer waters in the northern Arabian Sea.

India secured the safe transit of two state-owned tankers carrying liquefied petroleum gas in recent days and is negotiating with Iran for several more fuel ships to be allowed through. The Strait of Hormuz has effectively been shut since the US and Israel began airstrikes on Iran in late February, causing acute gas shortages in India, which gets about 90% of its LPG imports from the Middle East.

1773941824851.png

New Delhi hasn’t responded directly to US President Donald Trump’s demand that other countries send warships to the strait to help ships pass through. Randhir Jaiswal, spokesman for India’s Ministry of External Affairs, told reporters earlier this week that the matter wasn’t discussed with the US “in a bilateral setting.”

The Ministry and India’s Navy didn’t immediately respond to a request for comment.

India’s longstanding policy is to participate in international military operations under a United Nations mandate, rather than aligning with unilateral actions of individual countries.

It’s not unusual for India to send warships to protect commercial vessels in conflict zones. In 2024, the navy deployed at least a dozen ships to the Arabian Sea following piracy attacks linked to Iran-backed Houthi militants in Yemen.

The navy maintains a presence across seas near the Gulf of Oman and the Strait of Hormuz aimed at “reassuring Indian-flagged merchant vessels and helping ensure uninterrupted energy flows,” D.K. Sharma, a former senior Indian Navy officer said.

The warships are being deployed under Operation Sankalp, a 2019 mission aimed at safeguarding merchant shipping and protecting India’s maritime interests in the Gulf region, people familiar with the matter said.

There are 22 India-flagged vessels stranded in the Persian Gulf, including six LPG carriers, one ship carrying liquefied natural gas and four crude oil tankers, according to government officials.

Prime Minister Narendra Modi said late last week that he had discussed the “serious situation in the region” with Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian, including ways to secure the passage of the ships through the strait.

India sends additional warships near Gulf of Oman to escort fuel ships amid Israel-Iran war
 
India looks to settle trade with Gulf countries in local currencies amid global uncertainties

Officials said enabling trade in domestic currencies would help avoid routing transactions through the US dollar, thereby lowering conversion costs and limiting the impact of currency volatility

By Priyansh Verma & Adrija Chatterjee
March 18, 2026 / 15:28 IST
1773942997363.png
India looks to settle trade with Gulf countries in local currencies amid global uncertainties.

India is exploring a framework to settle trade with Gulf countries in local currencies to protect its import bill for oil and other goods from external shocks, including ongoing geopolitical tensions, government officials told Moneycontrol.

The move is aimed at reducing exposure to global uncertainties that can disrupt trade flows and inflate import costs, particularly for crude oil and petroleum products, which India imports heavily from the region.

“We should ensure that India is protected from external uncertainties whenever they arise, such as the ongoing conflict,” a government official said.

The Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries include Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Kuwait, Qatar, Oman, and Bahrain.

Oil prices have been volatile in recent months due to ongoing geopolitical tensions, especially in West Asia. Brent crude has swung between roughly $70 and $110 per barrel, posing risks to global supply.

As India depends on imports for around 85 percent of its crude oil needs, such price swings can raise the import bill, widen the trade deficit, and push up inflation.

In this context, trading in local currencies could help, particularly as about 28 percent of India’s total crude oil imports in FY25 came from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries, with Saudi Arabia and the UAE supplying the bulk of that volume.

Officials said enabling trade in domestic currencies would help avoid routing transactions through the US dollar, thereby lowering conversion costs and limiting the impact of currency volatility.

While there is no immediate concern around dollar availability with regard to the region, the push reflects a broader strategy to promote the use of the rupee in international transactions, a second official said.

The initiative also comes against the backdrop of a weakening rupee, which has made imports more expensive.

“We can’t estimate the trajectory of the rupee, and imports are getting costly. That’s why it’s important to have arrangements where trade happens in local currencies and not in dollars,” the first official said.

Discussions on such a framework are expected to take place alongside India’s free trade agreement (FTA) negotiations with Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries, the terms of reference for which were signed in February, the second official added.

To be sure, the first round of negotiations for this trade deal is expected only in the second half of 2026, given the ongoing tensions in West Asia, Moneycontrol reported earlier.

India is likely to follow the template used with the United Arab Emirates, where local currency trade was enabled through separate central bank-led arrangements negotiated alongside the trade pact.

After India and the UAE signed the Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement in February 2022, the two countries set up a Local Currency Settlement (LCS) framework through their central banks in July 2023.

The system lets trade be invoiced and paid directly in Indian rupees and UAE dirhams, using designated bank accounts.

This reduces transaction costs and limits exchange rate risk.

https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/b...ncies-amid-global-uncertainties-13864137.html
 
That you know of. Don't forget there was no alternative government in Libya either, and any movement would have massive CAS support. It's questionable whether there's a government at the moment.

Libya had alternatives in the form of other generals and warlords. Like Haftar who worked under Gaddafi and then ran away to the US.

Iran has the Shah's successor, but doesn't have manpower on the ground like Haftar did.

The Americans have to do the dirty work themselves.
 
If he didn't then he should resign because he's under-qualified for his current role.
Yes. We know. His corterie is even worse. His advisors, a bunch of egoistic morons only second to RG.

Nothing except early strikes projects confidence and planning. What are the two most obvious things when you go to war with Iran as the hegemon..
A) Strait of Hormuz.
B) Energy infrastructure of US allies in the region.

What are the supposed objectives of this war?
A) Destroying Nuclear threat
B) Regime Change or atleast culling their ability to sustain.
C) Leaving west Asia with less conflict so Pacific can be focused upon.

How do things stand today?

A) Left the vessels stranded and threatened in Hormuz when they required it most.

B) Caught unawares after the hit. Now backtracking on almost everything they spent their political capital on. Russian oil + Iranian oil are getting premium prices. Europe is dying to fund Russia's war more than ever.
.......

A) Nuclear threat is at same level as it was after Israeli strikes. The ballistic missile launchers, production are hit severely but no will of seeing it to the end.

B) No group in sight that could take reins in hypothetical case of regime fall. That's a recipie for disaster. You don't do such careless thing to a state with thousands of missiles ready to be launched. It's not Srilanka, nepal or Bangladesh. Or even India where NGOs and ecosystem can be utilised.

C) China is having a laugh. First Biden depleted resources in Ukraine, now Trump will lose the leverage as the Big guy too in G-2. Iran and Russian oil can be sanctioned by europe on their own peril. With them heavily dependent on Chinese manufacturing, input cost rising.. there goes import bills. Green tax? Lmao.. way to keep bills higher. Boosting domestic manufacturing? TATA, BYE BYE.

I don't get what's so special about his predictions tbh. Once 7/10 was set into motion there were speculations Hamas couldn't have gamed such a huge operation without some major country supporting it .

Iran was speculated to be the country which war gamed the entire move. It was then a matter of time before Israel directly crossed swords with Iran.

Long story short that's exactly what came to pass . After withdrawal from South Lebanon which many including inside Israel characterised as a defeat , from what transpired all through 2024 it was clear Israel did their homework thoroughly in the way they systematically dismantled Hamas , Hezbollah , Assad's regime in Syria , the Houthis who went quiet not after their engagement with the US but after Israel subjected them to proper treatment & now Iran since 2025.

It was also speculated that Iran would do what it must in such a situation which is shut down the Straits of Hormuz & the O&NG production of the GCC . That's exactly what they've done. So what exactly is new or unexpected in all this ?

Besides what does US defeat mean ? For that to happen as Admiral Yamamoto declared in the run up to the attack on Pearl Harbor the Japanese would have to sail up the Potomac to the White House & dictate terms of surrender.

We know how that one ended unless you're suggesting the Iranians are going to do what ze Germans , the Japanese & the Soviets couldn't.

So how does this one end ? I suspect the US will do what it has always done. Up & go at some point in time followed by the Israelis. The regime would continue in Iran in a similar shape as the infrastructure of the country. For how long is another question ?!

If the Mullahs continue their war on the GCC expect the US EU & Israel to return at some point in time in the future with another short war lasting from a few days to a week.

The Mullahs could try the same stunt as they did in their war with Iraq. Keep the war going while killing dissidents at home though I don't think the move would be successful this time around. Basically the Mullahs are running on empty.

As far as the rest of the world goes , be prepared for oil to touch 200 USD / barrel . Kiss the days of high growth goodbye . Oil will flow in some qty from the ME . The shortfall would have to be made up for by the other suppliers . Russia & the US make a killing .

This is just a precursor of things to come towards the end of this decade & most of the next decade.

Yup. The real crisis will show itself next month. And with the kind of people we have who can create panic, when there's none... Indians who have seemed to forget the UPA days will get to relive it.

Something drastic will have to happen for India to get through unscathed...
 
Some of my conclusions regarding this war so far, feel free to poke holes:

1. For the Israelis to have decapitated the various Iranian leaders over and over again, a not-so-insignificant fraction of the Iranian population must hate the regime to allow so deep an infiltration. This is perhaps why the Israelis and my govt. (optimistically/foolishly) felt given sufficient bombing, the Iranian people will overthrow the regime - the ones holding the guns...

2. Everyone competent in my govt. knew that Iran was a quagmire but the present stupidity is what you get when you replace meritocracy with loyalty-- specifically to a white, judeo-christian, hierarchical pecking order-- the defining attribute of the maga cult. Not only was Bibi able to deftly manipulate my clown president to fight his war with zero exit plan, we are all going to suffer the continuing product of the ignorant decisions of this midwit for ages to come. Thanks for the hike in gas prices and protecting our radars in the ME, genius!

3. The undisputed winner of this war is... Russia. One of the largest producers of oil, LNG and fertilizers in the world. Even after this war winds down, the ME will be licking its wounds for years to come. And Russia will happily step in and continue to feed its war machine. No more sanctions or even subsidies, US assets getting unfrozen, etc... good times!

4. Which makes the pitiful loser of this war... Europe (along with the Arabs in close 2nd place). No ability to defend its interest in the ME. Especially, at a time when my govt. has gone to war with them over ideology. And Russia getting a tailwind to pursue its imperialistic goals in Europe. Perhaps those WarMates will be "Made in Russia" by the time India gets the first delivery ;)

5. The center of gravity remains the Strait of Hotmuz. Iran need not even fire a missile, just the threat alone will keep insurance premiums out of reach for the merchant navy. Any residual missile/drone capability at this point can be safely assumed to be reserved for politically timed tempos. And unless Iran's stranglehold here can be broken, they will remain in charge. Which will be difficult to break without boots on the ground -- taking one island at a time in the strait. I don't see that happening with everyone in NATO giving Trump the middle finger and the Israelis lacking any such expeditionary capability. So neither are the US/Israel winners, nor the IRGC the losers.

6. All the gold-plated platforms in the world, and yet the Arabs turned out to be all bark... Except for that one Kuwati AF pilot who even his allies fear!

7. A few Indians getting misty-eyed about Iran would do well to remember they strongly backed Pakistan before and after Khameni including and up to Op Sindoor. Here is Larijani, the Ayotollah's right hand man saying Iran is at Pakistan's service:


...And whenever any power structures have collapsed, this region typically collapses into a mosaic of warlording mullahs who are only untied in their hatred of Jews and Hindus.

8. Next Pakistan, which is up sh!t creek with all the margin calls from US and ME. So of course they start a bombing campaign against Afghanistan to side step their obligations! You absolutely know these vermins would've carried out another Pahalgam if Op Sindoor had settled on the first day after the downing of a Rafale and their media victory laps. But the mullahs thought too much of their own capability "QPQP" -- and the rest of Op Sindoor unfolded so we are in this bizzaro world where their border with India is their most peaceful. Nevertheless, their deviousness and short-sightedness in passing the footing of all these bills (now with Afghanistan added to the tab) to the next generation continues to amaze me.
 
My take on the US joining the war with Israel against Iran is something I've written about in the recent past . The US is tying up all loose ends before it goes up against China.

Entrapping the Russians in a never ending war in Ukraine wasn't exactly part of the same plan though that's how things panned out. The other objective was to keep the EU in check & reinforce the US's position as the final aribiter of EU's security.

In between Trump has through his policies ensured that the EU would be responsible for its own security. They've finally gotten the message. That's one less burden on the US when it goes up against China.

US action in Venezuela was to control oil reserves in the western hemisphere not allowing the Chinese to get a foothold.

Action against Iran is to make sure they don't stage nasty surprises like 7/10 once again. Then there's the not so minor issue of their NWP. Plus there's the bonus of cutting off access to cheaper oil & natural gas to China along with Venezuela.

If in the bargain oil & gas prices shoot up that's too bad but how does it affect the US ? They're still the largest producer of oil & one of the largest producers of Natural Gas.

They stand to make a killing as does Russia. Israel gets huge subsidies to make up for whatever additional amount it ends up shelling out for oil & gas purchases . The rest of the world can go stuff themselves especially traditional a r s e lickers like little britain.

Thank you for your attention to the matter , Paddy ! @BMD