Israel, US Strike Iran After Weeks Of Warning, Explosions Heard In Tehran

No clue what the current stock status happens to be. However, there are reports that Iran still possesses the sizeable stock of the latest variants of its BM. Yet to find more credible sources other than some OSINT accounts on X.

Some source seem to indicate that Iran is running out rather quickly as the strike frequency drops. It could be that there is a shortage of TELs as they are a primary target.

Apparently Iran has run out of launchers . Their BM mfg capacity as per Israel is 300 per month as on date.

Based on these estimates they've amassed a sizeable arsenal . While Israel & the US have successfully targeted certain stockpiles & mfg facilities ,there are only so many such sites which can be targeted in 6 days of operations.

Whereas Iran has built multiple virtual underground cities interconnected thru a maze of tunnels with dedicated mfg & storage facilities for BMs & other weapons including drones.

Destruction of all these units will take time. For Iran to resume firing of BMs like it did in the first 2-3 days they'd have to come up with launchers pretty soon . When & how they do this is anyone's guess.

Hope our Chauthi mein chaar baar fail dhotis , BA Hons in Eng Lit babooos & uniforms take note . Not only do you require a huge inventory of TBM & CMs , you also need an inventory of spare launchers , multiple safe storage sites preferably interconnected with each other , express war time mfg capacities of both missiles & launchers etc.

For if you're going up against China - the factory of the world , you better be at the top of the game or be prepared to take losses like Iran is , especially true not just for defence related sites & mfg facilities but also all that shiny infrastructure Leaderji is spending lakhs of crores on to build neglecting our defence.
 
So.. one ship decided to dock at India. One at SL. And one decided to sail. Yup, seems about right under the current scenario of Iran losing its chain of command quickly.

@BMD will US pay Ukraine in money or supplies ? Like a quid pro quo thing. Considering that Trump insisted that Europe be the one to fund Ukraine and Ukraine give mining rights to US. Or will Ukraine dedicate some factories towards US needs ? Genuine query. Ty.

Apparently Iran has run out of launchers . Their BM mfg capacity as per Israel is 300 per month as on date.

Based on these estimates they've amassed a sizeable arsenal . While Israel & the US have successfully targeted certain stockpiles & mfg facilities ,there are only so many such sites which can be targeted in 6 days of operations.

Whereas Iran has built multiple virtual underground cities interconnected thru a maze of tunnels with dedicated mfg & storage facilities for BMs & other weapons including drones.

Destruction of all these units will take time. For Iran to resume firing of BMs like it did in the first 2-3 days they'd have to come up with launchers pretty soon . When & how they do this is anyone's guess.

Hope our Chauthi mein chaar baar fail dhotis , BA Hons in Eng Lit babooos & uniforms take note . Not only do you require a huge inventory of TBM & CMs , you also need an inventory of spare launchers , multiple safe storage sites preferably interconnected with each other , express war time mfg capacities of both missiles & launchers etc.

For if you're going up against China - the factory of the world , you better be at the top of the game or be prepared to take losses like Iran is , especially true not just for defence related sites & mfg facilities but also all that shiny infrastructure Leaderji is spending lakhs of crores on to build neglecting our defence.

A "just yuhi" question.. How about following out a mountain range and stuffing it, turning it into an artillery/rocket fortress?
 
US Central Command released footage of strikes on Iran's aircraft carrier Shahid Bagheri. The ship, a former Perarin container ship converted into an aircraft carrier, was also struck earlier by the Iranian missile corvette Shahid Sayyad Shirazi, a Shahid Soleimani-class catamaran. It is currently unknown whether the Iranian ships were sunk or simply damaged.

 
Israel always kills terrorists, that's not new.

Nah, they don't always make a distinction between terrorists and civilians. They shot "protesters."

Implying?

Russia absolutely is influential as far as Iran is concerned. How many drones and missiles did Iran send Russia? Iran let Russia use its air space during Syria involvement.

ISAF? Russia certainly new in advance and influence the timing. As regards Ukraine, they put themselves there, that's entirely on them, they're 100% in the wrong.

The US and India converge on some aspects and diverge on others. Russia and Israel do not have enmity with each other, but their interests converge or diverge too. It's not enough to do something as ridiculous as the Hamas attack. Israel has far more real enemies.
 
the LRLACM is a 1500km range missile. tomahawk is 2500km cause the americans need it to be for their requirements, the vast majority of times they wont launch it from 2500kms away
Grok is telling that the range of tomahawk is only 1500km, then with the new manik engine, I guess we can have similar performance and on further research it does seem like nirbhay have foldable wings which show up after the launch phase and booster separation.


It also seems like the Nirbhay has similar dimensions in terms of length and wingspan to tomahawk, considering the tomahawk is a strictly restricted tech which US only shares with few allies, its great that we are close to developing our own version of it.
 

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Grok is telling that the range of tomahawk is only 1500km, then with the new manik engine, I guess we can have similar performance and on further research it does seem like nirbhay have foldable wings which show up after the launch phase and booster separation.


It also seems like the Nirbhay has similar dimensions in terms of length and wingspan to tomahawk, considering the tomahawk is a strictly restricted tech which US only shares with few allies, its great that we are close to developing our own version of it.
Listen man we have the tech or we are not too far away from them. Thats not the main issue here. The issue is the fact that we have these in laughably small quantities.
 
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Eh, quite wrong in many stats, and provide a very shallow understanding in other cases.

For example:


2500km range variant of tomahawk were nuclear variants, these are long been decommissioned.
Currently most tomahawk variants have >1600km range.
Torpedo tube launched variant have 450km+ range.


====

According to Putin, Kalibr missiles have been in service with the Russian army since 2012 and have a range of 1500km.


2019 article

Russia is developing a new Kalibr-M crusie missile with a range of over 4,500 kms for its navy.

"The newest high-precision ship-based Kalibr-M cruise missile with a maximum firing range of more than 4,500 km is being developed for the Russian Navy. The creation of the rocket is at the stage of scientific research and financed by the Ministry of Defense," a source in the military-industrial complex was quoted as saying by TASS on Tuesday.

The source clarified that the development of the missile was included in the state armament program until 2027.

Presidential Statement (2015): On December 9, 2015, following a Kalibr launch from a Kilo-class submarine in the Mediterranean, President Vladimir Putin publicly confirmed that the missiles are "dual-capable."
Quote: "Both the Kalibr missiles and the Kh-101 rockets can be equipped either with conventional or with special nuclear warheads.
Potential range 2500km+



Etc.
yup, after checking the nuclear and non nuclear versions had different ranges, most likely might be because of the reduced warhead weight of the nuclear option which might have also given it more fuel carrying capacity resulting in enhanced range.
 
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Grok is telling that the range of tomahawk is only 1500km, then with the new manik engine, I guess we can have similar performance and on further research it does seem like nirbhay have foldable wings which show up after the launch phase and booster separation.


It also seems like the Nirbhay has similar dimensions in terms of length and wingspan to tomahawk, considering the tomahawk is a strictly restricted tech which US only shares with few allies, its great that we are close to developing our own version of it.
The major area where LRLACM capability isn't clear is SATCOM links. This capability allows Tomahawk to communicate and retarget midflight.

In terminal however, newer versions of Tomahawk are equipped with an RF seeker similar to LRLACM which allows it to engage moving targets.
 

We cannot yet say for sure if all four have been destroyed, but it certainly seems all four sites took some hits, with at least one TPY-2 confirmed destroyed. Damage assessment pending on the rest.



Not just support/comms infrastructure, it seems several hangars & hardened aircraft shelters (HAS) were successfully hit throughout the MidEast, especially Kuwait. Look at the before/after GIFs in above tweet.

And then there's this:


Guess the attack on RAF Akrotiri (Cyprus) wasn't so 'minor' as claimed. An Iranian drone literally penetrated the hangar used to house U-2 Dragon Lady spy planes:

c5e1db1b-602c-4f24-ac04-07ac8222c53d.jpg


We don't know what aircraft were actually inside at the time but a Shahed-136 or similar kamikaze drone exploding in an enclosed space would have done serious damage to anything inside.

++++

All that side, it seems the US Govt has finally implemented a gag order on Western satellite imagery providers to impose a minimum 9-day delay on publication of new images from now on. Unfortunately for them, they can't gag Chinese providers.
 

We cannot yet say for sure if all four have been destroyed, but it certainly seems all four sites took some hits, with at least one TPY-2 confirmed destroyed. Damage assessment pending on the rest.



Not just support/comms infrastructure, it seems several hangars & hardened aircraft shelters (HAS) were successfully hit throughout the MidEast, especially Kuwait. Look at the before/after GIFs in above tweet.

And then there's this:


Guess the attack on RAF Akrotiri (Cyprus) wasn't so 'minor' as claimed. An Iranian drone literally penetrated the hangar used to house U-2 Dragon Lady spy planes:

c5e1db1b-602c-4f24-ac04-07ac8222c53d.jpg


We don't know what aircraft were actually inside at the time but a Shahed-136 or similar kamikaze drone exploding in an enclosed space would have done serious damage to anything inside.

++++

All that side, it seems the US Govt has finally implemented a gag order on Western satellite imagery providers to impose a minimum 9-day delay on publication of new images from now on. Unfortunately for them, they can't gag Chinese providers.
Except Israel the defence is poor it seems overall. Maybe training, maybe equipment, maybe lack of coordination?
Wake up for American generals like Ruskies got in 2022.