India - United States Relations

India’s Nayara Energy Defies Sanctions with Record Russian Intake

By Natalia Katona - Nov 25, 2025, 7:00 PM CST
  • Crude intake at Nayara’s 400,000-b/d Vadinar refinery plunged to just 240,000 b/d after EU and US sanctions hit in August but rebounded to 420,000 b/d in November.
  • Despite the U.S. sanctions wind-down deadline on 21 November, two Aframax tankers from Rosneft’s Ust-Luga terminal arrived at Vadinar since.
  • With traditional outlets constrained, Nayara lifted domestic sales to almost 100,000 b/d in October and opened new export markets from Brazil and Turkey to Sudan.
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Nayara Energy has spent the past four months navigating one of the most complicated sanction environments in its history, yet instead of retreating, the Rosneft-backed refiner is quietly re-wiring its entire crude-sourcing and fuel-export strategy. After EU sanctions in July forced its 400,000 b/d Vadinar refinery to slash throughput, and October’s US sanctions on Rosneft added further pressure, Nayara’s crude imports briefly collapsed to just 240,000 b/d, sourced from exclusively Russian suppliers. But by October and November, the company had staged a dramatic rebound, pushing intake back up to 390,000 b/d and then 420,000 b/d – exceeding even the refinery’s nominal nameplate capacity.

By simultaneously deepening domestic sales and cultivating new buyers from Brazil to Sudan, Nayara appears to have found a way to turn sanctions risk into a trading opportunity, even as the official US sanctions wind-down deadline passed on 21 November and tankers from Russia’s Baltic Sea ports continued to dock at Vadinar undeterred.

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After the EU imposed sanctions on Nayara Energy’s Vadinar refinery in July (citing its association with Russian crude supplied via Rosneft, which holds a 49% stake), the company struggled to keep the refinery running at normal rates. The measures triggered logistical disruptions, pushed away most vessel owners, and forced Nayara to scale back utilisation rates sharply. As Iraqi and Saudi suppliers refused to supply contracted volumes to Nayara, crude imports into Vadinar in August sank to 240,000 b/d, the lowest level in months, marking the first time the refinery was entirely reliant on Russian grades.

On the face of it, the pressure on Nayara was supposed to deepen when Washington sanctioned Rosneft in October. However, by late October, it became clear that Vadinar is bouncing back to strength rather than faltering. With its 400,000 b/d nameplate capacity as a benchmark, Nayara ramped up intake of Russian crude to 390,000 b/d that month, and then lifted imports further to 420,000 b/d in November to date – effectively running the plant at 105% capacity.

The official US sanctions wind-down period expired on 21 November, before which all buyers of Rosneft and Lukoil crude or products were required to conclude transactions. Yet Vadinar’s behavior suggested no intention of slowing down. Two Aframax tankers, both loaded at Russia’s Ust-Luga terminal for Rosneft, arrived at Vadinar on 22 and 24 November, indicating that sanctions alone were insufficient to interrupt flows.

In August, the core question facing Nayara was no longer how to buy Russian crude, but where to sell its refined products. The company’s sharp decline in throughput and exports that month was partly the result of blocked outlets, as sanctions sealed off the European market altogether. The first, most reliable fallback was India itself: Nayara’s network of 6,500 retail stations (with another 400 outlets planned) offered an available channel to absorb its gasoline and diesel.

Then came an unexpected lifeline. In October, state-run Hindustan Petroleum Corporation (HPCL) reported operational problems at its Mumbai refinery after processing domestic crude with unusually high salt and organic chloride content, which led to corrosion in downstream units. Nayara stepped into the gap. Shipments of gasoline and gasoil to HPCL surged, helping lift domestic deliveries to around 90,000 b/d in October, according to Kpler.

With domestic channels strengthened, Nayara moved to diversify export outlets beyond India. Roughly a third of its November clean-products cargoes were directed to ship-to-ship hubs such as Fujairah (UAE) and Sohar (Oman) – a strategy commonly used to obscure final destinations in sensitive trades.

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But the most striking change came from the emergence of new customers, notably Brazil and Turkey – countries that did not appear in Nayara’s client list over the past three years. In November so far, Nayara exported 21,000 b/d of clean products to Brazil and another 21,000 b/d to Turkey. These flows almost certainly reflect disruptions in Russian diesel exports after intensified Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian refineries, coupled with rising compliance risks for traders buying directly from Russia. Because Vadinar has processed exclusively Russian crude since August, its products offer these markets a politically safer, operationally simpler way to access the same molecules.

Yet the most consequential addition to Nayara’s portfolio may be Sudan. Since October, the Vadinar terminal has dispatched four cargoes totalling 1.3 million barrels of clean products to Sudanese ports. With Sudan engulfed in civil war and its only major refinery – the 100,000 b/d Khartoum (Al-Jaili) facility – destroyed in the summer of 2023, the country is entirely dependent on imports. Potential discounts on products refined from Russian oil make Vadinar an obvious supplier. Sudan, and other fragile markets across East Africa, have little incentive to observe Western sanctions, making them ideal long-term buyers for Nayara’s output.

Still, securing crude supplies might become increasingly challenging under full US sanctions. Nayara may attempt to insulate itself through smaller, opaque trading houses, using them as intermediaries to avoid purchasing directly from Rosneft.

Whether this workaround can be scaled is uncertain. But for now, Nayara Energy is demonstrating that a combination of discounted Russian crude, flexible logistics, opportunistic trading, and an expanding footprint in both domestic and sanctions-agnostic markets can keep one of India’s largest refineries running near full tilt – even as Western sanctions close in from both sides. Paradoxically, the pressure may be accelerating a broader shift: Western restrictions are pushing companies linked to Russian oil producers into new geographies, opening fresh trade routes, and supplying developing economies with cheaper fuel at a moment when they need it most. These developing markets gain more incentive to boost imports of discounted flows and give themselves a commercial edge, while many of the former Western buyers now find themselves managing the opposite outcome: higher prices, fewer sanction-free suppliers, and a tightening pool of accessible energy.

By Natalia Katona for Oilprice.com

India’s Nayara Energy Defies Sanctions With Record Russian Intake | OilPrice.com
 
India Steps Up Purchases of Sanctions-Free Russian Crude

By Irina Slav - Dec 05, 2025, 1:02 AM CST
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India’s Bharat Petroleum Corp. and India Oil Corp. have bought Russian crude from non-sanctioned companies, with Bharat Petroleum ordering a cargo of 2 million barrels of Urals crude for January delivery, from companies other than Rosneft and Lukoil, Reuters has reported, citing unnamed trader sources.

The price tag for the cargo featured a discount of $6-$7 to Brent crude, the sources told Reuters. This is actually slimmer than the futures market difference between Urals and Brent. Brent is trading at a bit over $63 per barrel, while the flagship Russian blend is changing hands for over $54 per barrel.

Rosneft and Lukoil handled around half of Russia’s total oil exports, or around 2 million barrels daily, until November 21, when fresh U.S. sanctions came into effect targeting specifically the two companies. Since then, importers and exporters alike have been looking for—and finding—ways around the sanctions. As many expected, while exports by Rosneft and Lukoil are down, exports of crude by non-sanctioned companies have spiked since November 21.

According to data recently quoted by Goldman Sachs, since the sanctions came into effect, oil flows from Rosneft and Lukoil abroad had dropped by around 1 million barrels daily. However, in the same period, flows from non-sanctioned Russian oil companies to clients overseas have gained half a million barrels daily.

Earlier reports showed that sanctions had prompted a drop in new orders from Indian refiners before the deadline. Even so, Kpler data showed that Indian buyers were on track to import the most oil from Russia since July in November, at 1.855 million barrels daily. This would compare to 1.48 million barrels daily for October.

“Russian supply is expected to be high in November as many refineries tried to fill the stocks prior to the U.S. sanctions deadline and also due to the rule for oil products production for the EU market from non-Russian oil from 2026,” an unnamed trader told Reuters, which cited the Kpler data earlier this month.

India Steps Up Purchases of Sanctions-Free Russian Crude | OilPrice.com
 
India imports more Russian crude, but mix of buyers shifts

Clyde Russell
December 11, 20256:30 PM GMT+5:30
Updated 48 mins ago
LAUNCESTON, Australia, Dec 11 (Reuters)
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A view shows oil pump jacks outside Almetyevsk in the Republic of Tatarstan, Russia June 4, 2023. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk//File Photo Purchase Licensing Rights

India's crude oil imports from Russia are on track to climb to a six-month high in December as the world's third-biggest buyer defies U.S. sanctions on Moscow's oil producers.

Crude arrivals from Russia are expected to rise to 1.85 million barrels per day (bpd) in December, from 1.83 million bpd in November, according to data compiled by commodity analysts Kpler.

India's December imports from Russia are likely to have risen for a third consecutive month and are the highest since June's 2.10 million bpd.


While the South Asian nation's appetite for Russian crude has not been diminished by the U.S. sanctions against top Russian producers Lukoil and Rosneft, what has changed is the mix of buyers.

The largest chunk of Russian oil being imported by India in December is being offloaded at Vadinar port, with Kpler estimating arrivals of about 658,000 bpd, up from 561,000 bpd in November and above the average for 2025 of 431,000 bpd.

Vadinar port serves the refinery of the same name, which is owned by Nayara Energy, in which Rosneft owns a 49.13% stake. The refinery is capable of processing 405,000 bpd, meaning that its current level of imports from Russia is well in excess of its capacity.

This in turn suggests that Nayara is storing crude in the hope that the sanctions against Russian oil and refined products are eased, or that enough buyers will be prepared to ignore them.

It's likely that the current rate of imports from Russia to Vadinar cannot be sustained as the refinery will run out of storage space, given that it currently has capacity to hold about 20 million barrels of both crude and products.

RELIANCE CUTS

While Nayara has ramped up imports from Russia, India's major privately-owned refiner Reliance Industries has moved in the other direction.

It is on track to import about 293,000 bpd from Russia in December through its port at Sikka on India's west coast, which supplies the 1.24 million bpd Jamnagar refinery complex.

This is down from 552,000 bpd in November and is well below the 826,000 bpd in June, which was the highest this year, according to Kpler data.

Reliance, which has a 500,000 bpd long-term deal with Rosneft, has said it will comply with U.S. and European sanctions, a move viewed as protecting its export flows to Europe and minimising the risk of legal action against the company.

But it increasingly appears that Reliance is the exception among Indian refiners, with state-owned companies accounting for about 904,000 bpd of imports from Russia in December, according to Kpler.

It would seem that the new U.S. sanctions, announced in October, have failed to cut India's imports from Russia, with India likely making the calculation that the discounts on offer are enough to outweigh any political fallout.

China is the only other major buyer of Russian crude, and it also is continuing to import at the same pace it has done for most of the year.

China's seaborne imports from Russia are expected to reach 1.36 million bpd in December, up from 1.22 million bpd in November and higher than the 1.22 million bpd average in 2025, according to Kpler data.

It's easy to leap to the conclusion that the array of sanctions on Russian crude have failed to dent imports by China and India.

But while volumes have been largely unaffected, it's likely that China and India are demanding, and receiving, bigger discounts, meaning that Russia's revenue from oil sales will be declining.

Whether this is enough to keep further Western sanctions from being imposed is a risk factor that remains for the global crude market.

https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/india-imports-more-russian-crude-mix-buyers-shifts-2025-12-11/#:~:text=LAUNCESTON%2C%20Australia%2C%20Dec%2011%20(,sanctions%20on%20Moscow's%20oil%20producers.
 
Trump sanctions fail to dent flow? India’s oil imports from Russia top cross 1 million barrels a day; show resilience

TOI Business Desk
Updated: Dec 18, 2025, 11:42 IST
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India's imports of Russian oil are expected to cross 1 million barrels per day this December. (AI image)

Donald Trump’s sanctions on Russian oil majors don’t seem to have deterred Indian refiners from procuring crude - though non-sanctioned sources- from Russia. India’s crude oil imports from Russia are showing resilience in December, weeks after Trump’s sanctions on Russian firms Lukoil and Rosneft kicked in. The bilateral relationship has remained robust despite Western sanctions pressure.

India's imports of Russian oil are expected to cross 1 million barrels per day this December, according to trade and refining sources quoted in a Reuters report. This is against expectations of a significant reduction, as refiners continue purchasing from non-sanctioned entities that provide deep discounts.

India-Russia Crude Oil Trade Intact

  • Data from trade sources quoted in the report indicates that India, the world's third-largest crude importer, received 1.77 million bpd of Russian oil in November, showing a 3.4% increase from October.
  • Despite expectations of a significant decrease due to Trump’s sanctions on two major Russian producers, December deliveries are anticipated to surpass 1.2 million bpd, based on initial LSEG trade flow data.
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Russia continues to be top oil supplier to India
  • This figure could reach an average of 1.5 million bpd by month-end, according to a trade source quoted in the report. It is important to note that the surge in India's December imports from Russia is attributed to buyers rushing to complete transactions before Washington's November 21 deadline for deals with Rosneft and Lukoil. LSEG data confirms recent arrivals of such shipments at Indian ports.
  • However, in January, trade sources indicate that import levels might maintain December volumes as new entities not affected by sanctions begin supplying Russian oil cargoes.
  • Indian refiners find January prices attractive, with discounts of approximately $6 per barrel to dated Brent, which is two to three times larger than in August, according to sources.
According to refining sources, January volumes are expected to be below 1 million bpd since Reliance Industries has stopped purchases. LSEG data shows Reliance is receiving at least 10 Russian oil cargoes this month.
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Share of various regions in India's oil imports

Regarding state refiners, Indian Oil Corp maintains Russian oil purchases at pre-sanctions levels, sources told Reuters. Bharat Petroleum has increased its January acquisitions to at least six cargoes, up from two in December, whilst Hindustan Petroleum is negotiating January loadings, sources were quoted as saying.


Private refiner Nayara Energy, with majority Russian ownership including Rosneft, exclusively purchases Russian oil after other suppliers withdrew following EU and British sanctions.

Reliance and HPCL Mittal Energy have announced that they will not procure Russian oil. Additionally, Mangalore Refinery and Petrochemicals are not procuring Russian oil for January, the report said.

India emerged as Russia's primary seaborne crude purchaser following Western sanctions imposed on Moscow over the Ukraine invasion. However, these purchases became problematic during trade negotiations with the US, as President Donald Trump raised import tariffs on Indian products to 50%.

"Thanks to President Trump's leadership, Russia has been forced to accept deep discounts and fewer buyers for its oil," a US official said. "These pressures are limiting the Kremlin's revenues and increasing the financial strain of sustaining its war."

Russian producers are utilising domestic market swaps to maintain oil flows to India whilst adhering to sanctions. This involves exchanging oil intended for local refineries with export volumes handled by non-sanctioned companies, Reuters said.

These swaps are a standard practice in Russia for managing domestic supply constraints whilst maintaining export obligations.

"There is a possibility that non-sanctioned entities can increase their crude output and shift supplies to export markets and sanctioned barrels can meet Russia's local demand," said Prashant Vashisth, vice president at Moody's affiliate ICRA.

Trump sanctions fail to dent flow? India’s oil imports from Russia top cross 1 million barrels a day; show resilience - The Times of India
 
Modi Taps India’s Consumer Power in Trade Fight with Trump

Prime minister stokes spending to help India withstand pressure from U.S. tariffs

By Shan Li and Krishna Pokharel
Jan. 1, 2026, 11:00 pm ET
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Guests inside the Galeries Lafayette store in Mumbai during its opening in November. Punit Paranjpe/Agence France-Presse/Getty Images.

NEW DELHI—On a recent Sunday in India’s capital, Shrey Dixit, a 22-year-old engineering student, proudly drove a khaki green, Indian-made Hyundai sport-utility vehicle off a dealership lot.

Dixit’s household, with several branches of the family living together, had shared one car for nearly a decade. But after India sharply cut sales taxes in September, the family realized buying the second car they had their eye on was suddenly more than $1,000 cheaper.

“I am very happy we could get the car we wanted at a reduced price,” said Dixit, whose father and uncle helped fund the purchase.

President Trump hit India with 50% tariffs in 2025, one of the highest levels among U.S. trading partners. But Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s efforts to juice consumer spending and bolster India’s economy are showing signs of success, allowing him to hold the line in trade negotiations with the U.S.

One advantage for Modi: In contrast to export-oriented China, consumer spending accounts for three-fifths of India’s economy. New Delhi is less dependent on Washington’s favor than Japan and South Korea, which had to offer hefty investment commitments in the U.S. to appease Trump.
India is an example of how some of the dire predictions about Trump’s tariffs didn’t come to pass—including in the U.S. itself, where growth is exceeding forecasts, and in China and Mexico, which have continued to expand exports.

India’s trade negotiators have battled back efforts to get them to open their market to U.S. dairy products and ethanol. Most of India’s highest tariffs are intended to protect its agriculture sector, which is the economic lifeline for more than 250 million people in the country of 1.4 billion.
Modi and India’s trade officials have said they would stand by the farmers. “India is never going to open up dairy,” Commerce and Industry Minister Piyush Goyal said last month.

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India has been eager to protect its agricultural sector. Abhishek Chinnappa/Getty Images.

Trump placed 25% tariffs on India in August to address a large U.S. trade deficit with the country, and an additional 25% to try to curb India’s large purchases of discounted Russian oil.

When the tariffs hit, India had already moved to shore up domestic spending as it prepared for the prospect of heavy tariffs from Trump, who has singled out India’s high tariffs many times. In February last year, India said people earning up to about $13,300 would owe no income tax. The central bank also cut interest rates several times last year.

Around last October’s Diwali festival, an annual holiday accompanied by vigorous shopping, Modi urged people to buy local goods and to share their purchases on social media to inspire others. It was just one of Modi’s numerous calls to shop patriotically and buy items made in India.
When India’s economic growth came in at a higher-than-expected 8.2% for the July-September quarter, the central bank attributed the strong numbers to resilient consumer demand, government spending and well-priced oil imports.

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India has moved to shore up consumer spending. Jagadeesh NV/epa/Shutterstock.

While some sectors that are heavily dependent on the U.S.—the country’s largest export market—are suffering, Biswajit Dhar, an independent trade economist, doesn’t see the broader economy staggering. “Overall, it’s going to be sort of business as usual,” he said.

Imports of Russian oil have held steady, though U.S. sanctions on Russia’s two largest oil producers, which took effect in November, are expected to prompt a decline.

Trump’s tariffs haven’t dented the U.S. trade deficit with India, either. In September, it hit $47 billion for the calendar year, exceeding the level for all of 2024, according to U.S. data. That was fueled by an increase in India’s electronics exports to the U.S., particularly Apple iPhones assembled in India, which were subject to a lower tariff rate for much of 2025 than those made in China.

After the tariffs took effect, exports to the U.S. dropped. But India has been pushing into new markets, said Dhar, and the rupee’s slide last year helped bolster exports.

Economists often battle over the degree to which Indian consumers can support the economy, given that per capita income is around $2,700 a year. Many have noted the slow post pandemic recovery of motor scooter sales, a product seen as an indicator of how entry-level consumers are doing.

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Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s economic policies are showing signs of success. Shammi Mehra/Agence France-Presse/Getty Images.

Abhishek Anand, an economist at the Madras Institute of Development Studies, a research institution, says India shouldn’t take too much solace in being insulated by an inward-facing economy and limited reliance on exports. Instead, he argues, India needs to expand its small share—about 2%—of the world’s exports.

Meanwhile, the regions of India that have seen the most success in building up manufacturing and exports are feeling the pain.

Tamil Nadu state, a manufacturing powerhouse, accounts for most of India’s exports of iPhones and a large share of clothing and footwear exports, industries that are among the state’s top employers. The state’s leader recently urged Modi to quickly resolve the impasse with the U.S., noting that ground lost to places like Vietnam and Cambodia won’t be easily regained.

India hasn’t given up on a deal. In December, it overhauled its nuclear sector to allow for private investment and rolled back a liability law that had held back U.S. firms from pursuing nuclear energy deals in the country. It has also fully opened the insurance sector to foreign investment, another U.S. ask.

Commerce Secretary Rajesh Agrawal said on Dec. 15 that talks with the U.S. were close to an initial trade deal, but he didn’t provide a timeline.

Some clouds are looming. Economists expect growth to slow in the final quarter of India’s fiscal year, which ends in March. Manufacturing surveys indicate a slowdown in business activity and hiring.

Still, India’s central bank has raised its projection for economic growth for the fiscal year from 6.8% to 7.3%. India is poised to pass Japan as the world’s fourth-largest economy after the U.S., China and Germany, according to the World Bank.

Some economists point to the growing number of stock market trading accounts and soaring air passenger travel as signs that discretionary spending power is strongly increasing.

On a December day at an appliance store in New Delhi, Manish Sharma, an engineer at a domestic telecommunications company, bought a premium $600 microwave oven as a wedding gift for his younger brother.

“From what I see, the economy is moving along as usual, and U.S. tariffs haven’t had any visible impact,” said Sharma. “At this point, I don’t hesitate in spending my money.”

https://www.wsj.com/world/india/modi-taps-indias-consumer-power-in-trade-fight-with-trump-e487c1e7
 
Trumps Recent tweet on Macron and Modi,
Can we take something he didn't like what these two guys did ?
 
Trumps Recent tweet on Macron and Modi,
Can we take something he didn't like what these two guys did ?

We should Learn to ignore Trump

For All his Bravado , he is highly insecure

Infact he is crying that he might be impeached again

Inspite of His Big achievements like Venezuela and Tariffs and Ukraine and Deportations , his Approval ratings are Just 36 percent ie a steep fall in 1 year

So we have to keep quiet and keep talking and ignore his provocations