Pahalgam terror attack: 26 killed

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Just water blockage won't have much or any effect.
India has been blocking Pakistans water for quite sometime and agriculture has moved away from relying on canal water.

Nah, turns out Pakistan is still 80% river dependent. 90% of food production comes out of river water.

Anyway, less water means less water in canals, making it easier to cross.

Plus this move will backfire as this may send Pakistan into so or die mindset, as water is a necessity of life.

Faster surrender.

Out of the two options, die thirsty because India is blocking our water, and die fighting with the aggressor who's intentions are to starve us , I rather take the later option.

Surrender, third option.
 
Can you name these canals? What is the source of the canal water? I am assuming one of the rivers of the Indus River system.

I thought do or die is Pakistan's default mindset. If not, how would you describe your current mindset & how is it different from do-or-die?

Again, I thought "full apesh*t" is Pakistan's default mindset.

Let's say these strikes are successful. How would Pakistan deal with the resultant flooding? It is my understanding that Pakistan doesn't have the infra to store even 20% of the nominal flows of the rivers. I don't see how your infra will hold up against a flash flood.

Pakistan's current water storage capacity is 16-18 BCM excluding the sedimentation losses. Total discharge of all rivers from India to Pakistan is ~105-120 BCM. Even if Pakistan were to release all their dams simultaneously & let the water drain into the sea, flooding is inevitable.

Unsurprisingly the Indus River basin has a very high correlation with the most productive agriculture regions of Pakistan. The regions that will most likely get flooded are the most agriculturally productive regions of Pakistan.

A similar thing happened to Bangladesh recently. Brahmaputra was flooded due to excess rain, pumping an additional ~20 BCM of water into Bangladesh. This caused major crop failures across the country. Few months back they had to buy grains from us.

Now this was caused by excess rains. A much slower process than a flash flood. Flash floods are usually a whole lot worse.

They already experienced it in 2022.

pakistan_vir_2022286.jpg
 
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Just water blockage won't have much or any effect.
India has been blocking Pakistans water for quite sometime and agriculture has moved away from relying on canal water.
Plus this move will backfire as this may send Pakistan into so or die mindset, as water is a necessity of life.
If India cranks up this blocking, the only way out for Pakistan will be a full blown war.
Out of the two options, die thirsty because India is blocking our water, and die fighting with the aggressor who's intentions are to starve us , I rather take the later option.
The national security council of Pakistan has already called blockage of water and act of war.
But at the moment it's not doing much bad to Pakistans water situation.
If it does, we won't have much to lose anyway and best option will be to go full ape shi* on India.

Cruise missiles fired on dams shall do the job, if the need arises.
You should take later option, Fire gun in open air for few minutes to show the world that Pakistan is strong and after that drama surrender to our armed forces.
 
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Total War is not possible. Ajit Doval and jaishankar decide everything. Both of them including central government don't have that attitude and personality.

Mini War Duration:- min 1 month, max 1 year
We will fight in POK. But will not touch Karakorum highway to avoid confrontation with china. China will help Pakistan with equipment but it will not send its army, China will not participate in war. We will capture the marked area on the map( pir panjal range). Missile attack on terrorist camp. Once we get Haji pir. Our mini war would end. General Election would take place by the end of 2026-april 2027(BJP absolute majority). Also Pakistan New government would be elected. Cyber warfare Air force and drones would help us achieve our target.

We are waiting for Pakistan to attack first. Pakistan will attack on first or second week of May. View attachment 42646

Gotta agree. Small steps first. Taking back parts of PoJK alone will be worth the effort.

But why would we hold elections before census and delimitation?
 
Where???????

I mean source of this juicy bite?

It does not really matter man. Even with fusion boosted bomb India can easily make 150 KT bomb which weighs less than 500 KG. That means 3-5 war heads in Agni-V MIRV. Enough to do all the damage required.

In fact, one thing that India has been working tirelessly has been increasing the accuracy of the missiles. A well placed 15KT bomb will do more damage than a 50 KT bomb which misses target by several hundred of meters.

3 100 KT bombs = Shanghai gone. 1 100 KT bomb = 3 gorges dam gone.


I am not disputing any of that. Just making a point that we do have thermonuclear devices that can be delivered via our MIRV’d BMs. So whatever you just mentioned will be further magnified if/when we bring our own thermo-nukes out.
 
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Where???????

I mean source of this juicy bite?


It does not really matter man. Even with fusion boosted bomb India can easily make 150 KT bomb which weighs less than 500 KG. That means 3-5 war heads in Agni-V MIRV. Enough to do all the damage required.

In fact, one thing that India has been working tirelessly has been increasing the accuracy of the missiles. A well placed 15KT bomb will do more damage than a 50 KT bomb which misses target by several hundred of meters.

3 100 KT bombs = Shanghai gone. 1 100 KT bomb = 3 gorges dam gone.

We have all the stuff necessary to breach Chinese air space. But I don't believe we will get around to doing all that through merely a limited war.
 
Gotta agree. Small steps first. Taking back parts of PoJK alone will be worth the effort.

But why would we hold elections before census and delimitation?
Before or After it depends on Government mood. Public support is important. Politicians wants power, they don't go in technicalities.
 
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We have all the stuff necessary to breach Chinese air space. But I don't believe we will get around to doing all that through merely a limited war.

This will be a “limited war” — but I don’t think Indian administration/army controls that.

Given the buildup on both sides, we will see kinetic action - it’s matter of when and not if.

The onus will then be on Pakistan - how it wants to play the game! With IWT in abeyance, there will be pressure on Pak mil as well to fight. So any escalation - whether it’s nature of retaliation or choice of targets which can “actually” hurt India will see India climbing the escalation ladder. If India backs down again, it will be seen as loss of face in India and Modi will have to pay a huge political price for that - mind you, Balakot (despite being a copy-book op), what followed later with information warfare, we did not come out unscathed. To common men of India, it was not a clear cut victory. I don’t think this government can afford another such goof up this time given the target was civilians within our own Country.

So, limited or not is still very much dependent on how Pak decides to play after India strikes.
 
This will be a “limited war” — but I don’t think Indian administration/army controls that.

Given the buildup on both sides, we will see kinetic action - it’s matter of when and not if.

The onus will then be on Pakistan - how it wants to play the game! With IWT in abeyance, there will be pressure on Pak mil as well to fight. So any escalation - whether it’s nature of retaliation or choice of targets which can “actually” hurt India will see India climbing the escalation ladder. If India backs down again, it will be seen as loss of face in India and Modi will have to pay a huge political price for that - mind you, Balakot (despite being a copy-book op), what followed later with information warfare, we did not come out unscathed. To common men of India, it was not a clear cut victory. I don’t think this government can afford another such goof up this time given the target was civilians within our own Country.

So, limited or not is still very much dependent on how Pak decides to play after India strikes.
We will wait for Pakistan to strike first, which they will in first or second week of May. Our government will not allow it to escalate beyond the marked map. Our only target would be Haji Pir and some terrorist camps. Powerful and strong Nation control's and play with enemies mind. Weak country give nuclear threat.


Haji pirr pass.jpeg
 
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We have all the stuff necessary to breach Chinese air space. But I don't believe we will get around to doing all that through merely a limited war.
Jesus H Christ! Did they get Sashi Tharoor to write this for them???

I do not think anyone can write such a PR piece in entire Pakistan.

That or they have finally discovered ChatGPT has uses beyond making deep fakes and mast ram porn stories. But still ... such kind of climb down? LOL!

Only trouble is, no one in the world is right now willing to buy this shit. Not even Pakistani themselves.
 
Before or After it depends on Government mood. Public support is important. Politicians wants power, they don't go in technicalities.

Mere surgical strikes and air strikes are not sufficient. We need uninterrupted economic development while they disappear into oblivion on their own. Pak needs to experience a loss in territory, so let's hope the politicians actually listen to the military's advise.

Take the Simla Agreement's abeyance by Pakistan, I think Pakistan wants to re-energize terrorism by forcing India to take away some land legally. This will convince some people in PoL/PoJK to join in, not just Punjabis and Pashtuns. If we have to pre-empt that, Pakistan's gonna have to lose pretty much all of PoJK at the very least.
 
This will be a “limited war” — but I don’t think Indian administration/army controls that.

Given the buildup on both sides, we will see kinetic action - it’s matter of when and not if.

The onus will then be on Pakistan - how it wants to play the game! With IWT in abeyance, there will be pressure on Pak mil as well to fight. So any escalation - whether it’s nature of retaliation or choice of targets which can “actually” hurt India will see India climbing the escalation ladder. If India backs down again, it will be seen as loss of face in India and Modi will have to pay a huge political price for that - mind you, Balakot (despite being a copy-book op), what followed later with information warfare, we did not come out unscathed. To common men of India, it was not a clear cut victory. I don’t think this government can afford another such goof up this time given the target was civilians within our own Country.

So, limited or not is still very much dependent on how Pak decides to play after India strikes.

I think Pakistan will be forced to retaliate until the IN makes their move, and things will stop after that as their very survival is put at risk at that point.
 
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I want to propose something radically different. Always target that which the enemy least expects. In any case, we can't & shouldn't target Fauji Foundation. Their proxies have all flown the coop. You can't target their civilians.

So what do you do & whom do you target? Target their war machinery. Start out with the PN & while they gather their wits, trying to figure out what's happening, go for the PAF. Once you've destroyed a significant number of their naval & air assets call for a unilateral CF.

The damage to their PAF & PN should be such that it takes them 1-2 decades to recover if at all which given their precarious economy is even more doubtful. However in case they do go in for massive re armament which I won't rule out for this is Paxtan we're talking about, it comes at the cost of their economy.

Finally, after a CF is declared, start engagements across the LoC graduating our response, pummeling them across the LoC. Non stop. For a good 8-12 months tying up a good deal of Fauji Foundation there while increasing funding to the TTP, the Balochi Sarmachars etc to run amok inside Paxtan.
 
Just water blockage won't have much or any effect.
India has been blocking Pakistans water for quite sometime and agriculture has moved away from relying on canal water.
Plus this move will backfire as this may send Pakistan into so or die mindset, as water is a necessity of life.
If India cranks up this blocking, the only way out for Pakistan will be a full blown war.
Out of the two options, die thirsty because India is blocking our water, and die fighting with the aggressor who's intentions are to starve us , I rather take the later option.
The national security council of Pakistan has already called blockage of water and act of war.
But at the moment it's not doing much bad to Pakistans water situation.
If it does, we won't have much to lose anyway and best option will be to go full ape shi* on India.

Cruise missiles fired on dams shall do the job, if the need arises.
Maamu as usual you talk with your head up your behind. If as you claim India's been stopping waters flowing in the past, that was your red line whose violation was promised to be met by Atam Bam coz they're meant to be used on India not for shab e baraat or ammi's baraat with or without halala.

And if you didn't do anything then, why would you do so now? Besides another one of your red line was breached in Aug 2019 when Khansama was in power. Apart from kaape tang rahe the Qamar Qadiani didn't amount to much nor did Khansama except for the various takrirs he gave.

The solution for us blocking the waters is so simple. Fast track Green Paxtan Initiative & build those canals once things cool down with India diverting waters meant for the Seraikis & Sindhis.

It's easier to deal with one more internal schism than it is with a powerful external actor (till it's no longer possible to do so). After all this is textbook Fauji Foundation tactics not strategy for that word doesn't exist in the Green or Deen Book trainees at Hassan Abdal are provided with.

Alhamdulillah!
 
No, no. Things are not as simple as you think.
If India really intends to launch an attack in the Kashmir region, I think this is a good opportunity. The PLA can directly launch an attack in the direction of Leh and Srinagar, which can directly solve our troubles in the southwest direction. After all, after 2017 and 2020, The temperature between China and India has dropped to freezing point.
At this time, providing weapons directly is actually the simplest thing.
As for India being able to defeat Pakistan within a few days, well, I admire the confidence of the Indians

I hope you have seen these Google Earth fotos. If you have not, I am sure CCP, PlaN, Chinese Govt sure has did. Last they were squeaking about the range of Agni V being under reported by India and saying that actual range is 8000kms.... 😊
I think people working in chinese govt, CCP, PLAN are sane people unlike you...
 
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