What has driven India’s poverty reduction?

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What has driven India’s poverty reduction?
55 % Indians were classified as poor by the MPI methodology in 2005-06. India halved its poverty rate in the next 10 years. In absolute terms, the number of poor fell from 630 million to 360 million during this period.
indiaUpdated: Nov 01, 2018 10:31 IST
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Arjun Srinivas
Hindutsan Times, New Delhi

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Improved nutrition, better sanitation and increased asset ownership have halved India’s poverty rate between 2005-06 and 2015-16, according to a study by the Oxford University.(HT File Photo)


Improved nutrition, better sanitation and increased asset ownership have halved India’s poverty rate between 2005-06 and 2015-16, according to a study by the Oxford University.

In the 10-year period, 270 million Indians were pulled out of poverty in what is perhaps one of the most significant wins of the Indian economic story. In this period, per capita GDP grew from Rs 38,750 to Rs 88,746, and India became a lower middle-income economy.

Poverty statistics are notoriously controversial. It is very difficult to evolve a consensus around them. Poverty ratio varies significantly, depending on what the cut-off is for classifying the poor from non-poor. They also come with a significant time lag. India’s official poverty estimates are not available after 2011-12. There are credible alternatives to track absolute and relative, vis-à-vis other countries, progress in India’s battle against poverty.

One such measure has been developed by the Oxford University-based Oxford Poverty and Human Development Initiative (OPHI), which release something called Multi-Dimensional Poverty Index (MPI) for 105 nations.

The MPI is a more holistic measure because it considers dimensions of health, education and living standards and its India results are based on the findings of the National Family and Health Survey (NFHS).

People are designated poor according to the MPI, if they are deprived in at least one of the 10 indicators across the dimensions of education, health and living standards.

Fifty-five% Indians were classified as poor by the MPI methodology in 2005-06. India halved its poverty rate in the next 10 years. In absolute terms, the number of poor fell from 630 million to 360 million during this period. The decrease in poverty headcount has been driven mostly by an improvement in living standards, through better availability of material goods such as cooking fuel, sanitation facilities, and household assets.

More significantly, improved nutrition, has also contributed to the reduction in poverty.

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India’s rapid strides in fighting poverty have made it the country with the lowest poverty ratio in the sub-continent. Sri Lanka is most likely ahead of India. While comparable data for Sri Lanka is not available in the latest MPI database, the 2010 numbers show that only Sri Lanka has a poverty rate of only 5%, a stark outlier among the South Asian countries.

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There is a large disparity in the population living in poverty across the country. The four poorest states of Bihar, Jharkhand, Uttar Pradesh and Madhya Pradesh comprise 196 million poor people, over half the number of poor people across the country.

While 52.2 % of the population in Bihar is classified as poor in 2015-16, the corresponding proportion for Kerala is a minuscule 1.1%. While the number of poor has decreased across all states, what is striking is the rate of poverty reduction is greatest for the states that already have a lower poverty to begin with. Kerala showed a relative annualised decrease in poverty headcount of 22.2% between 2005-06 and 2015-16, highest among all Indian states.

Reetika Khera, associate professor, economics, at IIM Ahmedabad, said that the states that have shown a greater commitment to investment in welfare schemes, such as Kerala, Tamil Nadu and Himachal Pradesh unsurprisingly have a higher rate of poverty reduction in this period.

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Although the reduction in poverty over the last decade is remarkable, there are some worrying trends. Over 34% of the population currently classified as poor are children, and childhood deprivation has adverse implications that will carry on to their adulthood.

Further, the data shows that the rate of poverty reduction is slower among the poorest states, which may result in exacerbated regional inequalities.



This chart shows the sad reality of India. The lowest reduction in poverty is in the poorest states of India. How exactly will we resolve this issue if reduction in poverty is too small in BIMARU states? Even with this supposed Modi magic rule, the reduction in poverty of Gujarat is just 5% in one decade !!! What a fvcking joke.
 
Economy works in very different way . BIMARU states will reduce extreme poverty when they transition from lower middle economy to middle income economy. Some states are worse than sub Saharan Africa GDP per capita . Until economy moves to middle income. People in lower strata will not get benefits .


First those states has to reduce furtility rates . To even reflect/ distribute wealth created .
 
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Economy works in very different way . BIMARU states will reduce extreme poverty when they transition from lower middle economy to middle income economy. Some states are worse than sub Saharan Africa GDP per capita . Until economy moves to middle income. People in lower strata will not get benefits .


First those states has to reduce furtility rates . To even reflect/ distribute wealth created .


BIMARU states are in an absolute disarray and a disaster. Their priorities are not straight. Peoples keep following the backward castist ideas and communalism rather than focusing on things that actually matter. Peoples workshop and follow political parties (which are affiliated with cast or religioun) like slaves.

In the last 13 years almost 300 million Indians are pulled out of poverty line and more than 80% of them arel from comparatively wealthy states from South India and north west Indian states .

Now, as things stand, vast majority of poor peoples, are from BIMARU and it's eastern neighboring states along with extremely high fertility rate. The biggest problem here is that there is no improvement in any of these states even though most of them get large amount of central funds to deal with these problems than any other states.
 
BIMARU states are in an absolute disarray and a disaster. Their priorities are not straight. Peoples keep following the backward castist ideas and communalism rather than focusing on things that actually matter. Peoples workshop and follow political parties (which are affiliated with cast or religioun) like slaves.

In the last 13 years almost 300 million Indians are pulled out of poverty line and more than 80% of them arel from comparatively wealthy states from South India and north west Indian states .

Now, as things stand, vast majority of poor peoples, are from BIMARU and it's eastern neighboring states along with extremely high fertility rate. The biggest problem here is that there is no improvement in any of these states even though most of them get large amount of central funds to deal with these problems than any other states.

I don't disagree with you but big problem is not poverty reduction . Because they share a political boundaries with rest of India. GDP gain from other states will help these states . I mean it's easy for those states to move from poor to middle income stage but if they don't change their political backwardness they will stuck in middle income trap , that will destabilize entire country.
 
I don't disagree with you but big problem is not poverty reduction . Because they share a political boundaries with rest of India. GDP gain from other states will help these states . I mean it's easy for those states to move from poor to middle income stage but if they don't change their political backwardness they will stuck in middle income trap , that will destabilize entire country.

Without considerable change and progress in those parts of the country, entire nation will never progress. Central Indian states and East Indian states constitute vast population of our country. If these states reduce their poverty and other social indicaters to the level of Tamilnadu for example, the entire social ranking of India will increase y a huge margin. If political backwardness,absolute corruption, pathetic law and order situation, castism and communalism is not stopped from those part of the country, entire country will be held hostage to it. A large majority of our parliamentarians and politicians come from those states and they actually decide who runs the country. All those problems will engulf the entire republic including regions with comparatively less issues.


At the top of that this rampant corruption, castism is actually creating massive law and order issues. Just look at the spread of mosists and mexals in the east India making use of tribals. If progress and poverty reduction didn't reach the peoples it will give rise to populist socialist kind or maoists in worst case scenario.
 
Without considerable change and progress in those parts of the country, entire nation will never progress. Central Indian states and East Indian states constitute vast population of our country. If these states reduce their poverty and other social indicaters to the level of Tamilnadu for example, the entire social ranking of India will increase y a huge margin. If political backwardness,absolute corruption, pathetic law and order situation, castism and communalism is not stopped from those part of the country, entire country will be held hostage to it. A large majority of our parliamentarians and politicians come from those states and they actually decide who runs the country. All those problems will engulf the entire republic including regions with comparatively less issues.


At the top of that this rampant corruption, castism is actually creating massive law and order issues. Just look at the spread of mosists and mexals in the east India making use of tribals. If progress and poverty reduction didn't reach the peoples it will give rise to populist socialist kind or maoists in worst case scenario.

Not that simple.

First we need to understand whether these social issues causes poverty or poverty is keeping people engaged in these cultural fallacies.

Need not to forget, geographic disadvantage these places has to face viz a viz southern and western coastal states.
 
'genius' and 'hard work' of manmohan singh and chidambaram.
You know, long term poverty reduction can only be done using productivity and business increase. Congress proper -- ie Congress under a Gandhi leadership -- has never given productivity or business its due. Congress was always all about giving hand-outs and buying votes. That model will always fail in the long term. Because you can feed only these many mouths using that, especially when number of mouths are increasing. You will have to force the mouths to move their hands too to feed themselves. Congress never made that a priority. Poverty was actually good for Congress, it made buying votes easier.

One of the biggest change which Modi brought was fixing business situation in India. It is still not completely done but it is moving in the right direction. Ofcourse you won't notice these changes right now, just like no one noticed the changes Narasimha Rao brought in early 90s during that time. Only in early 2000s it became apparent that liberalization was a major driver for employment and poverty reduction.
 
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You know, long term poverty reduction can only be done using productivity and business increase. Congress proper -- ie Congress under a Gandhi leadership -- has never given productivity or business its due. Congress was always all about giving hand-outs and buying votes. That model will always fail in the long term. Because you can feed only these many mouths using that, especially when number of mouths are increasing. You will have to force the mouths to move their hands too to feed themselves. Congress never made that a priority. Poverty was actually good for Congress, it made buying votes easier.

One of the biggest change which Modi brought was fixing business situation in India. It is still not completely done but it is moving in the right direction. Ofcourse you won't notice these changes right now, just like no one noticed the changes Narasimha Rao brought in early 90s during that time. Only in early 2000s it became apparent that liberalization was a major driver for employment and poverty reduction.

you got the context wrong.
- During second world war the capitalist companies were a massive problem for the world- IG Farben, the biggest industrial conglomerate at the time made money supplying chemicals Zyklon B for murdering jews in holocaust
-Even american companies were a major problem- look at what the United Fruit company did in Colombia, killing people there to supply banans for america
- India had historically been exploited by capitalists

With all these experiences spanning 100s of years it was the responsibility of the congress to experiment with a different model.

Fact- the reality of having a protected economy for a while did help Indian industry. If we had been capitalist from the stert MNCs would never have allowed the likes of Tata/ Birla/ Mahindra to evolve
- people who think if we had been capitalist from the start everything would've been peachy are wrong- look at Pakistan, venezuela, several African countries who have been capitalist from the start.
 
Kerala seems to have improved a lot (in comparison).....UP has the highest population and correction here would do wonder to the country figure......
 
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