I don't understand.
You are speaking of a new order of Rafale or MSA/LSA/XYZ ?
The MSA can attack the MCA (201 jets) and the navy's future carrier aircraft program (100-150 jets).
There is no chance of it affecting the IAF's tender for 110 or the IN's tender for 57. In neither case will the forces allow a prototype to ruin their modernisation programs. As mentioned above, there is plenty of requirement for the MSA. But the IN tender of 57 can be stopped if Vstol delivers a jet that doesn't require significant modification of the carriers.
Not to mention its export potential. @vstol Jockey?