News China sails carrier through Taiwan Strait

Ginvincible

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Taipei scrambles jets as China sails carrier through Taiwan Strait
November 17, 2019


Taiwanese air force fighter jets (picture-alliance/AP Photo/Ministry of National Defense)​

China sailed a carrier group through the politically delicate Taiwan Strait on Sunday, led by the communist country's first domestically built aircraft carrier.

In a statement released Sunday, Taiwan's defense minister announced the military presence in the 112-mile-wide (180-kilometer-wide) strait between the island and mainland China. The naval group progressed from north to south through the strait, trailed by US and Japanese ships, it said.

Taiwan scrambled its own ships and aircraft in order to monitor the Chinese movements.

Hours before, Taiwanese President Tsai Ing-wen named former Premier William Lai as her running mate in the 2020 presidential elections. Last year, Lai angered China when he expressed his view that Taiwan is a sovereign and independent country. A major Chinese newspaper then called for his arrest.

In a Sunday tweet, Taiwanese Foreign Minister Joseph Wu said Taiwan would not be intimidated.

Warning signal

Self-ruled Taiwan broke away from mainland China in 1949 after communists in Beijing emerged victorious from a civil war.

China considers the democratically ruled island to be part of its territory and has vowed to retake it — using military force if necessary.

The world power has increased pressure on Taiwan in the lead-up to the 2020 presidential elections in January. It has threatened force should the island seek independence.


Chinese aircraft and ships have repeatedly circled the strait in recent years. In response, in April the US sent two destroyers through the waterway in a sign of commitment to maritime freedom in the region.

Though President Tsai's Democratic Progressive Party is pro-independence, she has called for Taiwanese-Chinese relations to remain as they are, however not at the expense of security and democracy.

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Source: Deutsche Welles
 
Its interesting considering that 23 years ago the US sailed the USS Nimitz and her carrier battle group through the Taiwan straight during the third Taiwan Straight crisis. This action forced the CCP to acknowledge their inability to challenge the US militarily or otherwise dissuade it from coming to Taiwan's aid.

Now China is a much more powerful entity and is beginning to sail its own carrier battle groups, the US is seemingly on the backfoot and the world watches as new conflicts flare.

Here is an article written by the LA Times during the time of the third Taiwan Straight crisis:


U.S. Warns China on Taiwan, Sends Warships to Area
By JAMES RISEN | March 11, 1996 | 12 AM | TIMES STAFF WRITER​


WASHINGTON — Secretary of State Warren Christopher, accusing China of “reckless” military provocations against Taiwan that “smack of intimidation and coercion,” announced Sunday that the United States is responding by moving warships closer to the island.

In Washington’s strongest public warning yet about China’s belligerent round of military moves near Taiwan, Christopher said China will face grave consequences from the United States if it decides to use force against Taiwan.

Pentagon officials said Sunday that President Clinton and top administration policymakers will decide in the next few days whether to send U.S. Navy ships into the Taiwan Strait itself as an even stronger sign of American opposition to the Chinese moves--which have included firing three missiles near Taiwanese ports and scheduling live-ammunition maneuvers in the region this week and next.

Officials said they have directed the aircraft carrier Independence, which is in the East China Sea with a few screening ships, to move closer to the strait that separates mainland China from Taiwan, an island that Beijing maintains is part of its territory.

The aircraft carrier Nimitz also is being sent to the region from its station in the Persian Gulf, the Washington Post reported today, and is scheduled to arrive with support ships within two weeks.

The officials also said that the destroyer O’Brien, the guided-missile frigate Hewitt and the destroyer McCloskey, which are elsewhere in the region, have been dispatched to join the Independence. The officials said that the Aegis-class cruiser Bunker Hill, which has been at the southern end of the Taiwan Strait monitoring the Chinese missile tests, will also join the group if the ships are ordered into the strait.

The U.S. naval movements come in the face of a warning from China for foreign ships and aircraft to stay out of the area during the upcoming round of live-ammunition military exercises, which are scheduled to begin Tuesday.

At a Beijing news conference today, Chinese Foreign Minister Qian Qichen warned against direct U.S. military intervention.

“Should the foreign forces support and connive with the attempt by the Taiwan authorities to create independence or to split the motherland, then it could lead to a chaotic situation in Taiwan,” Qian said. “Should the foreign forces refrain, then there is no need to worry about tensions.”

China is seeking to intimidate Taiwan on the eve of the island’s first direct presidential election March 23, hoping to discourage the pro-democracy movement by raising voters’ fears that any drive for formal independent status could lead to war with China.

As the Clinton administration takes a more confrontational posture toward China’s saber rattling, it is using naval deployments as the favored tactic.

In December, the Nimitz, accompanied by other warships, led the first passage by a U.S. carrier group through the Taiwan Strait since 1979, when the United States cut off diplomatic relations with Taiwan and recognized Beijing as the only government of China.

As the Nimitz sailed through the strait, U.S. officials declined, at least publicly, to connect the action to American displeasure with China’s Taiwan policy. But Washington has now dropped any pretense about the purpose of U.S. naval activity in the region.

Christopher, National Security Advisor Anthony Lake and U.N. Ambassador Madeleine Albright, speaking on nationally televised news programs Sunday, sought to send a clear public warning to China against allowing its gestures to escalate.

In their interviews, the U.S. officials declined to say whether the U.S. would come to Taiwan’s aid militarily if it was attacked. Rather, they stressed repeatedly that any attack would bring “grave consequences” for China.

Conservative Republicans in Congress recently called for giving Taiwan guarantees of U.S. military protection, but administration officials oppose granting such a blank check.

While the United States does not recognize Taiwan as an independent country, the island’s rise as one of the newly powerful “tigers"--rapidly developing industrial nations along the Pacific Rim--means that a Communist Chinese takeover would be a major blow to U.S. efforts to foster Asian economic growth and political stability.

Yet administration officials were reluctant to link their concern about China’s military posture with U.S. trade policy toward the mainland. China has developed into a major trading partner for the United States--and a manufacturing location of choice for a growing list of U.S. companies. So the administration officials said that the White House still plans to recommend an extension of most-favored-nation trade status for China when the issue comes up again in June.

Times staff writers Art Pine in Washington and Rone Tempest in Beijing contributed to this report.
 
From the looks of it, China seems to be building the tempo upwards in preparation of invasion of Republic of China. If ROC falls, Japan and India will be under extreme pressure in my opinion. Why? For Japan, China will have the foothold in deep Pacific Ocean and would have already broken first island chain, consequences more for Japan and less for US, NATO and Australia/Newzealand as second line of chain will continue to exist however difficult to contain PLA. For India, China would have the best opportunity to focus less on Eastern front and India will remain sole major irritant in expansion of PRC Chinese influence, hence it will be forced to go full defensive against PLA then onwards if not already fully defensive.

What should be the logical response, if any, from India if PRC China invades ROC China.
 
We're going to have at least a month's notice of any attack like we did with Russia. They won't be able to hide their military pre-position movements US will have two carrier battle groups on scene with Japanese and Ozzy Naval forces within the battle group by the time they attack not to mention Okinawa will have 3-4 squadrons of stealth fighters defended by 2 batteries of THAAD and PAC-3's. If chicoms decide to attack Okinawa they'll only get one shot at it before the USN and USAF hits all naval ports, air bases being used to attack Taiwan. Also all known locations where their mobile missiles are at.


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Chicoms are going to have a lot on their plate the moment they fire on Taiwan. Many chicoms air bases are going to get hit by Taiwan cruise missiles and their naval ships will have to keep away from line of sight of land based anti ship batteries which will have a huge advantaged since a lot of Taiwan's coast is high ground.

US doesn't have to do much they can position their carrier fleet northeast and southeast of Taiwan using part of the island as a buffer while their fighters fly CAP. It's up to chicoms to escalate against US. They either hit/try to hit US bases and suffer a huge counter strike that will severely damage chicoms fighting capability when it comes to Taiwan or they can suck it up and just go for US aircraft and ships supporting Taiwan an almost gentlemen's war where chicoms won't hit US bases and US won't hit chicom bases.

What a dilemma the chicoms have, eh?