Saudi Arabia signs mutual defence pact with nuclear-armed Pakistan

I'd have expected a joint statement from Quad in support of a fellow member country (even without the US) like the OIC typically does for Pak. Being free and open democracies and all that.
There was a joint statement. In Quad FM meet.

But nonetheless, you're right about Quad being US' eastern nato dream.
J-Aukus might be more agreeable to US' military demand. Let's see how it unfolds.
 
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People here really need to take a step back & chill. Not everything revolves around India, we are not the center of this world. Be a little humble.
This is the effect of Israel bombing Qatar, coupled with Iran raining missiles on Qatar a few weeks ago.


"Qatar hosts Al-Udeid, the largest US airbase in middle-east that homes thousands of US troops"
"The emirates in the crossfire of playing both sides has itself become the collateral"
"Qatar now holds the distinction of being bombed by both Iran & Israel"
"In matters of statecraft it(Qatar) is so poor that all it has is money"


US security guarantees to these nations now means very little. Trump is really a whimsical coward. Saudi Arabia is now hedging so that its not solely dependent on US for its security. It was widely known that SA funded Pakistan's nuclear program to counter Iran. Its just in the open now. Pakistan couldn't have denied it even if they wanted to cause they need saudi money.

All this has nothing to do with India, so stop trying to push that narrative. But, it does open some new opportunities for us to expand our trade & influence. Look at the countries that will be unnerved the most by it & start new dialogues with them. Those would be Iran, UAE, Qatar, etc, etc.

If you ever look at China's foreign Policy, they never get militarily involved in any one's affairs despite having such a powerful military. Pakistan's the opposite, they jump into military alliances & don't bother about trade at all. You can see the effects of these policies on these countries respectively as more & more MNCs exit Pakistan. Does this move improve the miserable lives of Pakistanis in any way???? No!! Can they use saudi funding to buy more weapons??? Sure, but that wouldn't alter the strategic calculus bw India & Pakistan that much. If money was everything Qatar wouldn't be bombed by both Iran & Israel.

A lesson to be learned here for all Indians. Economy & trade should be the priority, not military alliances.
Neither Saudi Arabia nor Pakistan face threat from Israel..... Pakistan on the other hand face existential threat from India...... The assumption being made that this is explicitly against Israel is complete BS.......attack on one is attack on other.....by whome exactly ?
 
We might not.
Don't think we will.
Lets not forget the water issue - you think its not being haggled behind the scenes? Its an existential issue for PakJab.
And what's the haggling going to result in ? Restoration of the IWT ? You think Modi'd be able to live it down after he revives the IWT what with his image he's carefully crafted & cultivated over the years ?

Alternatively the Paxtanis accept a revised IWT which takes into account the present day realities & needs of both populations & divides the water share equally.

You think any Paxtani leader will sign on such terms & if he does will the rest of Paxtan accept it irrespective he'd be a marked man for whatever span of life he's left .
 
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Don't think we will.

And what's the haggling going to result in ? Restoration of the IWT ? You think Modi'd be able to live it down after he revives the IWT what with his image he's carefully crafted & cultivated over the years ?

Alternatively the Paxtanis accept a revised IWT which takes into account the present day realities & needs of both populations & divides the water share equally.

You think any Paxtani leader will sign on such terms & if he does will the rest of Paxtan accept it irrespective he'd be a marked man for whatever span of life he's left .
Those negotiations if in progress failed before starting.

What I meant was the spark that sets off the firestorm is already brewing.

Eager to hear your thoughts on the matter. For various reasons Pak would want the firestorm in spring 26 when the yellows can pass through snow free. We would like to be done and dusted before that.

What do you think ?
 
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Those negotiations if in progress failed before starting.

What I meant was the spark that sets off the firestorm is already brewing.

Eager to hear your thoughts on the matter. For various reasons Pak would want the firestorm in spring 26 when the yellows can pass through snow free. We would like to be done and dusted before that.

What do you think ?
I'm all for action before the year is out. With such fast paced & unexpected changes like Israel striking Qatar & a month long campaign against Iran , the KSA Paxtan defence pact , the US gradually withdrawing the world over from their security commitments , it's only a matter of time before China steps up to fill in the vacuum & who knows what further surprises are in store in the near future ?
 
I'm all for action before the year is out. With such fast paced & unexpected changes like Israel striking Qatar & a month long campaign against Iran , the KSA Paxtan defence pact , the US gradually withdrawing the world over from their security commitments , it's only a matter of time before China steps up to fill in the vacuum & who knows what further surprises are in store in the near future ?
Those negotiations if in progress failed before starting.

What I meant was the spark that sets off the firestorm is already brewing.

Eager to hear your thoughts on the matter. For various reasons Pak would want the firestorm in spring 26 when the yellows can pass through snow free. We would like to be done and dusted before that.

What do you think ?

Do both of you think India will go for kill without a major incident on our soil? Personally, I don’t think so, however, I am curious to know what you guys think? Will we see a “resumption of operations” before year end?
 
People here really need to take a step back & chill. Not everything revolves around India, we are not the center of this world. Be a little humble.
This is the effect of Israel bombing Qatar, coupled with Iran raining missiles on Qatar a few weeks ago.


"Qatar hosts Al-Udeid, the largest US airbase in middle-east that homes thousands of US troops"
"The emirates in the crossfire of playing both sides has itself become the collateral"
"Qatar now holds the distinction of being bombed by both Iran & Israel"
"In matters of statecraft it(Qatar) is so poor that all it has is money"


US security guarantees to these nations now means very little. Trump is really a whimsical coward. Saudi Arabia is now hedging so that its not solely dependent on US for its security. It was widely known that SA funded Pakistan's nuclear program to counter Iran. Its just in the open now. Pakistan couldn't have denied it even if they wanted to cause they need saudi money.

All this has nothing to do with India, so stop trying to push that narrative. But, it does open some new opportunities for us to expand our trade & influence. Look at the countries that will be unnerved the most by it & start new dialogues with them. Those would be Iran, UAE, Qatar, etc, etc.

If you ever look at China's foreign Policy, they never get militarily involved in any one's affairs despite having such a powerful military. Pakistan's the opposite, they jump into military alliances & don't bother about trade at all. You can see the effects of these policies on these countries respectively as more & more MNCs exit Pakistan. Does this move improve the miserable lives of Pakistanis in any way???? No!! Can they use saudi funding to buy more weapons??? Sure, but that wouldn't alter the strategic calculus bw India & Pakistan that much. If money was everything Qatar wouldn't be bombed by both Iran & Israel.

A lesson to be learned here for all Indians. Economy & trade should be the priority, not military alliances.
Very well articulated. Pakistan whatever they are dancing on, things are not that rose. Misadventure of Pakistani Generals in India will be paid by Pakistan only not by Saudis whatever way Pak twist the fact.Sauds are not that fool to form NATO like alliance with Pakistanis. But dollars and diplomatic support from Sauds will be there as it was always in future war with India.

But Pakistan is missteping with Iran . First with Centcom Israel sponsor Michael Kurrila and with Defence pact with Saudis. And they are anyway in radar of Israel.
 
I hope Israel now realise that they are in as much danger from a Pakistani bomb as they are with an Iranian bomb. The transfer of nukes is now officially allowed from Pakistan to Saudi and then god knows who.
 

The PA will definitely be deployed in the next Yemen offensive. The previous one did not yield good results. The fauji foundation will definitely make bank. It is indeed a win for them. For the regular chap in Infantry, not so much.
 
Do both of you think India will go for kill without a major incident on our soil? Personally, I don’t think so, however, I am curious to know what you guys think? Will we see a “resumption of operations” before year end?
Already voiced my opinion in the post you've quoted.
 

The PA will definitely be deployed in the next Yemen offensive. The previous one did not yield good results. The fauji foundation will definitely make bank. It is indeed a win for them. For the regular chap in Infantry, not so much.
Another theory doing the rounds on SM which seems credible is MBS's reforms are running aground in KSA & the Islamists are re grouping.

Under such circumstances , if things get out of hand , Egypt can't be seen blooding its hands with Arab blood given kinship & other factors.

OTOH Paxtan has a reputation to live upto. They were deeply involved in lifting the siege of Mecca where the Grand Mosque was taken over by Islamists in 1979 & the crackdown which followed.

They were also involved in crushing the Black September rising in Jordan by the Palestinians which claimed the lives of upwards of 10,000 Palestinians. Kana aka then Brigadier Zia ul Haq was in charge of the Fauji Foundation detachment in Jordan then .

Jordan repaid Fauji Foundation's gesture by flying Royal Jordanian FAs to Paxtan for the PAF to fly in the 1971 war . It didn't amount to much in the final reckoning . Besides Jordan did it at the prompting of Kissinger & Nixon. But that's a story for another day.

So in addition to Iran & its proxies there's another angle which KSA had to consider when inking the pact with the Paxtanis .
 
Another theory doing the rounds on SM which seems credible is MBS's reforms are running aground in KSA & the Islamists are re grouping.

Under such circumstances , if things get out of hand , Egypt can't be seen blooding its hands with Arab blood given kinship & other factors.

OTOH Paxtan has a reputation to live upto. They were deeply involved in lifting the siege of Mecca where the Grand Mosque was taken over by Islamists in 1979 & the crackdown which followed.

They were also involved in crushing the Black September rising in Jordan by the Palestinians which claimed the lives of upwards of 10,000 Palestinians. Kana aka then Brigadier Zia ul Haq was in charge of the Fauji Foundation detachment in Jordan then .

Jordan repaid Fauji Foundation's gesture by flying Royal Jordanian FAs to Paxtan for the PAF to fly in the 1971 war . It didn't amount to much in the final reckoning . Besides Jordan did it at the prompting of Kissinger & Nixon. But that's a story for another day.

So in addition to Iran & its proxies there's another angle which KSA had to consider when inking the pact with the Paxtanis .

I am more inclined on the internal threat being the impetus for such pact. To act as a signal and deterrence for another royal faction.
Do you think there would be a clause in there somewhere which makes distinction b/w Saudi nation and Saudi royal family?

Or maybe a backroom agreement with USA&Israel that Saudi will handle the houthis problem after israelis degrade them a bit more.
 
Another theory doing the rounds on SM which seems credible is MBS's reforms are running aground in KSA & the Islamists are re grouping.

Under such circumstances , if things get out of hand , Egypt can't be seen blooding its hands with Arab blood given kinship & other factors.

OTOH Paxtan has a reputation to live upto. They were deeply involved in lifting the siege of Mecca where the Grand Mosque was taken over by Islamists in 1979 & the crackdown which followed.

They were also involved in crushing the Black September rising in Jordan by the Palestinians which claimed the lives of upwards of 10,000 Palestinians. Kana aka then Brigadier Zia ul Haq was in charge of the Fauji Foundation detachment in Jordan then .

Jordan repaid Fauji Foundation's gesture by flying Royal Jordanian FAs to Paxtan for the PAF to fly in the 1971 war . It didn't amount to much in the final reckoning . Besides Jordan did it at the prompting of Kissinger & Nixon. But that's a story for another day.

So in addition to Iran & its proxies there's another angle which KSA had to consider when inking the pact with the Paxtanis .
It has merit. The PA has always been itching to get hands on more funds and this is again one such opportunity. Even a favour by KSA at the right moment can help the Pakistanis. The cycle continues and the wheels turn. The more things change, the more they remain the same. By the way, the KSA FM had reached out to the Pakistanis saying that he could speak with MEA and try to get them on the table after Sindoor. It ended up in a failure or was abandoned.
 
They're clowns which is why no one in India takes them seriously.
It has merit. The PA has always been itching to get hands on more funds and this is again one such opportunity. Even a favour by KSA at the right moment can help the Pakistanis. The cycle continues and the wheels turn. The more things change, the more they remain the same. By the way, the KSA FM had reached out to the Pakistanis saying that he could speak with MEA and try to get them on the table after Sindoor. It ended up in a failure or was abandoned.
The Saudis want the Pakistanis to live because of their nukes, they want to use Pakistani nukes as deterrence against Iran. They are well aware that Pakistanis are randis for the gulf Sheikhs and are just taking use of that. Otherwise when it comes to India vs Pakistan they dont give a shit I feel. If Pakistan didnt have nukes, the Saudis wouldn't give 2 craps about Pakistan.

In the event of a conflict, they may send some hard military support such as jets however if they feel India can strike Pakistani nuclear bases.